在我看来，克莱蒙有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少取得一分。

在纸面上，里尔是这场比赛的最爱，但我今天不相信他们，我相信克莱蒙在这里被严重低估了。

当然，到目前为止，里尔的防守阵型在本赛季看起来要好得多，但我们在上轮看到了克莱蒙在该部门的巨大进步。他们在客场对阵洛里昂的比赛中，他们只允许对手出手6次，根据模型他们只有0.47个预期失球。里尔今天将在没有他们的关键前锋布拉克·耶尔马兹（Burak Yilmaz）的情况下参加比赛（到目前为止有 2 个进球和 2 次助攻），这对东道主来说应该非常有帮助。

克莱蒙是更好的球队。到目前为止，他们每场比赛的准确传球次数比里尔多 79 次，平均控球率也更高（53.6% 对 51.3%）。克莱蒙应该能够控制中间区域。

里尔的后防线有问题——他们在本赛季的最后 9 场比赛中有 8 场至少丢了一个球。克莱蒙也应该能够得分。他们在前期非常危险——他们每场比赛有 4.7 次射门，全联盟只有 3 支球队在该部门拥有更好的数据。除此之外，里尔今天将没有他们的两名关键后卫博特曼和雷尼尔多（他们都参加了上轮比赛）。这对他们的防守阵型来说是巨大的打击。

克莱蒙在过去 19 场主场联赛中有 18 场没有输球，我相信他们今天能够阻止备受青睐的里尔。

In my opinion Clermont have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

On the paper Lille is favorite of this game, but I don't trust them today and I believe Clermont is very underrated here.

Of course, Lille defensive formation looked much better in current season so far, but we saw big improvement in last round from Clermont in that department. They played on away against Lorient, they allowed opponents to make 6 shots only and according to the model they had only 0.47 expected goals conceded. Lille today will play without their key striker Burak Yilmaz (2 goals and 2 assists so far) and that should be very helpful for hosts.

Clermont is better team with the ball. So far they have 79 accurate passes per game more than Lille and higher average ball possession (53.6% against 51.3%). Clermont should be able to control middle zone.

Lille have problems at the back-they conceded at least one goal in 8 of last 9 matches in current season. Clermont should be able to score as well. They are very dangerous upfront-they have 4.7 shots on target per game, only 3 teams in whole league have better stats in that department. In addition to that Lille today will play without their two key defenders Botman and Reinildo (both of them played in last round match). That is huge blow for their defensive formation.

Clermont didn't lost in 18 of last 19 home league matches and I believe they are able to stop favoured Lille today.