In my opinion Mainz have really good chances to make at least one point in this match up.

3 positive information for Mainz - first goalkeeper Zentner (13 matches) back to the first line up, same as key central defender Niakhate (12 matches) and important right winger Oztunali (2 assists in 8 matches). No new absences. Their quality should go up. Mainz changed coach after last match - Bo Svensson (former club player) is new coach. Svenssson knows the club very well and atmosphere should be good - spent 12 years at Mainz as player, team supervisor, assistant coach and youth coach. For sure players want to show up in first game with him and this is extra motivation. Despite bad results, Mainz really not played bad in last matches. In 4 of last 6 matches they had bigger expected goals scored number than their opponents. Against Hoffenheim (1.83 to 1.12), against Bielefeld (2.56 to 1.47), against Koln (1.90 to 0.90), against Hertha (0.76 to 0.60). Mainz in 7 home matches scored 6 goals, but they should score more (expected goals scored: 10.42).In last round they played against the strongest German team Bayern on away and they were able to lead 2:0 after half time.

In overall Frankfurt hates to play against Mainz on away - they didn't won in Mainz in last 12 matches in a row. In previous season Mainz won twice against Frankfurt - 2:0 on away and 2:1 at home. Mainz played 24 Bundesliga matches against Frankfurt and 18 times they went unbeaten. Mainz scored at least one goal in 18 of last 19 matches between both teams. They should be able to score today - Frankfurt defense is unstable, they conceded at least one goal in 13 of 14 Bundesliga matches so far. Frankfurt conceded 14 goals in 7 away matches (expected goals conceded: 15.33)

Of course Frankfurt plays better season, but they won only 4 of 14 matches so far. Their top scorer and best player Silva failed to score in last two games.

I believe in new coach effect in this match up. Looks like Frankfurt is perfect opposition for Mainz to make good result at home.

在我看来，美因茨确实有很好的机会在这场比赛中至少取得一分。

美因茨的3个正面信息-主力守门员Zentner（13场比赛）回到球队，关键中卫Niakhate（12场比赛）和重要的右翼边锋Oztunali（8场比赛中有2次助攻）同样回归。没有新的缺席。他们的实力应该提高。美因茨在上一场比赛后更换了教练-博·斯文森（前俱乐部球员）为新任教练。斯文森非常了解俱乐部，球队现在的气氛应该很好-在美因茨效力了12年，担任过球员，球队主管，助理教练和青年教练。可以肯定的是，球员希望与能够在第一场比赛有所发挥，这是额外的动力。尽管成绩不佳，但美因茨在上一场比赛中的表现并不差。在过去6场比赛中的4场，他们的预期进球数都高于对手。对霍芬海姆（1.83：1.12），对比勒费尔德（2.56：1.47），对科隆（1.90：0.90），对赫塔（0.76：0.60）。美因茨在7场主场比赛中攻入6球，但是他们应该得到更高的积分（预期进球数：10.42）。在最后一轮中，他们与客场最强的拜仁队比赛，半场后他们能够以2：0领先。

总体而言，法兰克福不擅长在客场对阵美因茨-在过去的12场比赛中他们没有在美因茨的主场获得胜利。在上赛季，美因茨对阵法兰克福两次均获胜-客场2：0，主场2：1。美因茨与阵法兰克福进行了24场德甲比赛，其中18场保持不败。美因茨在两队之间的最近19场比赛中有18场至少进球。他们今天应该能够再次-法兰克福防守不稳定，到目前为止，他们在14场德甲比赛中有13场都有失球。法兰克福在7场比赛中入场14球（预期入球：15.33） 当然法兰克福打的更好，但是到目前为止，他们只赢了14场比赛中的4场。他们的头号得分手和最佳球员席尔瓦（Silva）在最近两场比赛中均未进球。

我相信在这场比赛中新教练可以发挥作用。看起来美因茨可以在主场不败。