Free Copa Libertadores
2021-09-30

Seleb

外籍分析师

解放者杯

09/30 08:30

已完赛

瓜亚基尔
1:0
弗拉门戈
解读理由:

Gameday in Guayaquil for the second leg of the semi final between Barcelona & Flamengo.

Barcelona will be without Nixon Molina who is suspended after his red card.

Flamengo will be without Thiago Maia & Leo Pereira who is suspended after his red card.

On first leg Flamengo won 2-0, early of game was really difficult and Barcelona surprised me, they made a huge pressing and were playing with a high tempo, they were close to score first with 2 big chances to score but against Flamengo the problem is that their qualities is too important and one action is enough to score. Despite a first half at 60% they were leading 2-0.

The second half they played less seriously and didn't score with 11 against 10.

Barcelona will have to play offensively on this game because they are behind on aggregate, their qualities is much lower than Flamengo as I mentioned on the first leg where I picked Flamengo -1,5.

Flamengo is not a team who will travel to Guayaquil to play defensively and keep the score. Of course they won't play offensivley as they can do at home because it's not needed with their advance.

Renato Gaucho, Flamengo's coach decided to rotate a lot on their last domestic league, it surprised me because in Brasileiro they can't loose point but yes it means that the focus on this game is very important.

As great news for Flamengo it's that De Arrascaeta is back from injury, he is one of the best midfield of South America.



He might be in the 11 but I'm not sure that Renato Gaucho will take some risk.

Also the important thing is that unlike in Europe, in CONCACAF away goal counts for 2 in case of a draw in aggregate, so they will be motivated to score on the road.

Barcelona's 11 should be : Burrai; Castillo, León, William Riveros, Pineida; Piñatares, Carcelén; Martínez, Preciado, Díaz; Mastriani.



Flamengo's 11 should be : Diego Alves; Isla, David Luiz, Rodrigo Caio, Filipe Luís; Willian Arão, Andreas; Arrascaeta, Everton Ribeiro; Bruno Henrique, Gabriel.



I expect a strong win by Flamengo, they are so much stronger on the fields. I expect 1-2.

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