09月29日巴黎圣日尔曼 VS 曼彻斯特城比赛分析直播
解读理由：
Man City have conceded 1 goal in 6 matches played in the Premier League, and it is only narrowly over-performance as they are extremely solid in the back right as we can see from the top clash of last week, City won only 0-1 away at Chelsea, but they allowed Chelsea to shoot only 5 times - at home - and get less than 0.2 of xG. It means that if they would play Chelsea five times Chelsea would score one goal. And they are the current Champions League title holders!
PSG attack on paper looks naturally excellent with Mbappe, Messi and Neymar, but they have been rather poor when played all together. In the match vs Brugge the points and xG was shared, and they won Lyon only at extra time, after they had subsituted Messi off, who also has suffered from injuries in his new club.
As Angel di Maria is suspended there are however less attacking options, but more important is the half fitness of midfield engine Verratti. Also Sergio Ramos is out injured.
In French league PSG have expectedly won all 8 games, but some of them only just, and the 22 goals scored is way too much compared to their goal expectation. In fact all the 6 goals by Herrera and Idrissa Guye have come from almost nowhere and their scoring spree should stop. In case Messi is also still out, the one big worry for Guardiola to think about is Mbappe, but as City have stopped everyone else so far they will stop Mbappe. Or perhaps I have to make a tiny correction as in the first round CL game they conceded 3 goals to Leipzig, but fortunately managed to score 6 themselves!
Last season City won both mutual games v PSG, PSG took a red card in both, and I can easily see the same thing happening tonight in Paris. City are almost 50 % winners in this in my papers!
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本译文使用谷歌机器翻译，仅供参考：
曼城在英超联赛的6场比赛中丢了1球，他们的表现只是稍微好一点，因为他们在右路的防守非常稳固，我们可以从上周对阵切尔西的比赛中看到，曼城客场仅0-1获胜，但他们只让切尔西在主场有5次射门，xG得分还不到0.2分。这意味着如果他们与切尔西交手五次，切尔西就能进一球。他们是目前的冠军联赛冠军!
巴黎圣日耳曼的进攻在纸面上看起来很出色，有姆巴佩、梅西和内马尔，但他们在一起的时候表现得相当糟糕。在与布鲁日的比赛中，双方分享了积分，他们只是在加时赛中才赢下了里昂，而梅西也在他的新俱乐部受伤。
由于迪马里亚的停赛，进攻选择减少了，但更重要的是中场引擎维拉蒂的半健康状态。拉莫斯也因伤缺阵。
在法国联赛中，巴黎圣日耳曼已经赢得了所有的8场比赛，但有些只是刚刚赢了，22个进球与他们的进球预期相比太多了。事实上，埃雷拉和伊德里萨·古耶的6粒进球都是凭空而来的，他们的进球狂欢应该停止了。如果梅西仍然缺阵，瓜迪奥拉最担心的就是姆巴佩，但是曼城已经阻止了所有人，他们也会阻止姆巴佩。也许我需要做一个小小的修正，因为在冠军杯的第一轮比赛中，他们被莱比锡队丢了3个球，但幸运的是他们自己进了6个!
上赛季曼城在对巴黎圣日耳曼的两场比赛中都赢了，巴黎圣日耳曼在两场比赛中都被红牌罚下，我可以很容易地看到今晚在巴黎也会发生同样的事情。看好曼城
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