A derby of a kind!
2021-09-27

Jarkko

外籍分析师

英超

09/28 03:00

已完赛

水晶宫
1:0
布赖顿
解读理由:

There are some 70 km between the venues, but as they are connected by a motorway they are locally called a M23-derby because of that. Silly, but so are also the Brighton results vs performances this season as well as the past!

Last season they were under relegation threat even if their performances would had deserved them some 20 points, more, this season they would go on top of the league if they win today even if the performances according to xG-data is just mediocre and not really any better than of Palace. Let us take a look:

The Palace fixture list has been far from easy, but they have gained decent results!

No one expected to get anything away at Chelsea and Liverpool, but otherwise there is nothing to complain about, and a special note to keeping Tottenham at 0.08 xG even if there was a red card, it was only after an hour of play.

Brighton on the other hand have these results to show:

Only team both have met is Brentford. Brighton got a lucky reslt from there. Winning Leicester is a fine result and almost a fair one, but all in all they have faced a lot easier opponents than Palace so far.

This is not the same Palace it was under Hodgson, the new coach Vieira has a lot more entertaining and attacking bunch in his hands. It will be interesting to see how they approach this, is it a defensive one against a top-10 team, or do they see Brighton as equal and try to dominate them? Last season´s results are best forgiven, and especially the latest Palace win was an undeserved one.

The injuries are not playing a big role in this,not many of them, mostly long-term. The one of biggest interest is the status of Brighton midfielder Bissouma as he would be hard to replace. I like the work rate and class of Cucurella at Brighton, his departure left a big hole in Getafe team we discussed last night!

Palace home advantage narrows down the slight superiority of Brighton, to me this is as close a 50/50 it gets, goals may be hard to find.

0-0?

本译文使用谷歌机器翻译,仅供参考:

场地之间有大约 70 公里,但由于它们由高速公路连接,因此在当地被称为 M23 德比。愚蠢,但布莱顿本赛季和过去的表现也是如此!

上个赛季他们面临降级威胁,即使他们的表现应该得到大约 20 分,更多,如果他们今天获胜,本赛季他们将在联赛中名列前茅,即使根据 xG-data 的表现只是平庸而不是真的比宫殿更好。让我们来看看:

Palace 的赛程清单远非易事,但他们取得了不错的成绩!

没有人期望在切尔西和利物浦得到任何东西,但除此之外没有什么可抱怨的,并且特别说明即使有红牌也要将托特纳姆热刺保持在 0.08 xG,这只是在一个小时的比赛之后。

另一方面,布莱顿有这些结果显示:

双方唯一交手的球队是布伦特福德。布莱顿从那里得到了幸运的结果。赢得莱斯特城是一个不错的结果,几乎是一个公平的结果,但总的来说,到目前为止,他们面对的对手比宫殿要容易得多。

这与霍奇森执教的宫殿不同,新教练维埃拉手上有更多的娱乐性和进攻性。看看他们如何处理这一点会很有趣,是对阵前 10 名球队的防守,还是他们认为布莱顿平等并试图主宰他们?上赛季的结果是最好的原谅,尤其是最近的皇宫胜利是不配的。

伤病在这方面的作用不大,不是很多,主要是长期的。最大的兴趣之一是布莱顿中场比苏马的地位,因为他很难被取代。我喜欢布莱顿库库雷拉的工作效率和班级,他的离开给我们昨晚讨论的赫塔菲队留下了一个大洞!

水晶宫主场优势缩小了布莱顿的微弱优势,对我来说这是接近 50/50,进球可能很难。

预测比分0:0。


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