I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements for today's match up. Odds on hosts slashed down by 0.15 since morning and I fully agree with this trend.

In my opinion Hamburg is clear favorite here and they should be able to make comfortable win, maybe even with 2-3 goals margin.

In previous season Hamburg completely destroyed Sandhausen 4:0 at home. I expect another good win hosts today.

Hamburg coming here after two draws - 2:2 at home against Darmstadt and 0:0 on away against Heidenheim. Hamburg should feels disappointed as they in both matches played better than their opponents. Twice they had ball possession above 63%, they looked good with the ball (twice more than 494 accurate passes). They looked very creative upfront (despite only 2 goals scored). They made 36 shots in that matches and had 9-10 really big chances to score. If they continue to play on this level, results for sure finally will come.

On the other hand Sandhausen is horrible team on away - they lost 17 of last 19 away matches on this level. At the moment they are in relegation zone and this is position about their potential (they are bottom half/relegation material).

Hamburg wants to back to Bundesliga 1. In that case they have to win such matches against lower rank opposition without any excuses. They have all required tools to do it.

I agree with market movement here. Hamburg is much better team and they deserve to be even bigger favorite here.