Fantastic value from League One today!
2021-09-06

Przem

外籍分析师

英甲

09/07 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Bolton have really good chances to make win in today's match up.

I see big difference between both clubs in terms of quality, potential and ambitions. Burton last year finished League One season just above relegation zone, but all season long they looked like relegation material. In pre-season they lost their best player of last season , central defender Hayden Carter. Their top scorer from last season Kane Hemmings (15 goals) didn't played in current season yet. In many experts opinion Burton was one of the favorites to be relegated at the end of the season. On the other hand Bolton are newcomer's and they wants go with momentum. Experts predicted them in top8 at the end of the season and I agree with that. Bolton signed contract with winger Afolayan from West Ham (he was on loan last year). That was great move , he is the best Bolton player at the moment-real game changer.

In last league match Bolton lost on away against Cambridge, but that was very undeserved result as they had 7 shots more, 73% ball possession and higher expected goals scored number (1.66 against 0.99). In the midweek Bolton played at home against Port Vale in Cup and recorded 3:2 win. In defensive formation and in the middle zone we saw many reserve players, but coach Evatt used upfront his top players and that was smart move because they scored goals (Doyle or Afolayan) and momentum for sure is on their side. Another home game today, team for sure is full of confidence.

In last two league matches Burton played against two other newcomers - they lost badly 0:3 on away against Cambridge and had 1:1 at home in last round against Cheltenham. In midweek they played at home against MK Dons - they lost and they looked very bad despite many first-choice players in squad. They recorded only 4 shots and looked very unstable at the back - morale in team must be on very low level. Today Burton will play without their key defender Mancienne and key defensive midfielder O'Connor. Is hard to expect consistency at the back without them today.

Bolton should be able to control the game without too many problems. They are one of the best team in whole league with the ball-358 accurate passes per game (average possession 54.9%). On the other hand Burton is one of the worst team with the ball in League One-only 209 accurate passes per game (average possession 43.6%).

Atmosphere at the stadium should be great, we can expect +15.000 people's. Additional energy for Bolton. Match will be broadcasted by TV, so extra motivation for the players to show up.

I see Bolton as a better team, in better moment and I simply trust for them today.


在我看来,博尔顿有很好的机会在今天的比赛中获胜。

我看到两家俱乐部在实力、潜力和动力方面存在巨大差异。伯顿去年在降级区上方完成了第一赛季,但整个赛季他们看起来都像是降级的队伍。在季前赛中,他们失去了上赛季最好的球员,中后卫海登卡特。他们上赛季的最佳射手凯恩·海明斯(15 球)在本赛季还没有上场。在许多专家看来,伯顿是本赛季末降级的热门人选之一。另一方面,博尔顿是新来到英甲的,他们想要顺势而为。专家预测他们会在赛季末进入前八,我同意这一点。博尔顿与来自西汉姆联的边锋阿弗拉扬签约(他去年被租借)。这是一个出色的签约,他是真正能改变比赛形势的球员。

上一场联赛博尔顿在客场输给了剑桥,但那是非常不应该的结果因为他们多出 7 次射门,73% 的控球率和更高的预期进球得分(1.66 对 0.99)。周中,博尔顿在杯赛中主场迎战维尔港,并取得了 3:2 的胜利。在防线和中场,我们看到了很多替补球员,但埃瓦特教练在锋线派出了他的首发球员,这是明智之举,因为他们取得进球(Doyle 或 Afolayan)并且势头肯定在他们这边。今天又是一场主场比赛,球队信心十足。

在过去的两场联赛中,伯顿与另外两名新军交手——他们在客场以 0:3 惨败于剑桥,而在上轮主场对阵切尔滕纳姆的比赛中则以 1:1 战平。周中他们在主场对阵 MK Dons——他们输了,尽管球队中有很多首发球员,但他们看起来很糟糕。他们只完成4次射门,后防线看起来很不稳定——球队士气肯定很低落。今天伯顿将缺少他们的关键后卫曼西恩和关键防守中场奥康纳。很难期待今天他们的后防。

博尔顿应该能够在没有太多问题的情况下控制比赛。他们是全联盟最好的球队之一,场均传球达到 358 次(平均控球率 54.9%)。另一方面,伯顿是联盟中控球最差的球队之一,场均只有 209 次准确传球(平均控球率 43.6%)。

主场的气氛应该很好,我们可以期待 +15.000 人。这是博尔顿的额外能量。比赛将通过电视转播,为球员出场提供额外动力。

我认为博尔顿是一支更好的球队,状态也更好,我今天完全信任他们。

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