My initial reaction to this game to go for a low-scoring encounter with perhaps some advantage to take Kaz with a plus handicap, but as the odds decide we go now for Finland -1.5.Why?

It is a must win situation for Finland if they want to compete of the qualification. Their Euro final tournament this summer was their first time, and they are still hungry for more.

Personally I see it about impossible to achieve as only 13 teams make the Wolrd cup finals from Europe, but for this match only win will do.

Finland started the qualification with draws against both Ukraine and Bosnia in March in this very tight group, today they host Kazakstan, on Tuesday they meet the big favourites France.

All the other teams surely budgeted all 6 points from Kazakstan games, but they drew already with Ukraine twice, and lost by two goals vs France. Exceptionally good results, but the friendly 4-0 loss to North Macedonia raises questions, and Finland is pretty much same level with them.

Finland are not quite in full strenght as midfielders Lod and Kamara are out, but the good news is that there are new exciting faces available, Kaan Kairinen and Onni Valakari who both are classy and attacking options and can score from a distance, and create a bit different kind of threat not usually seen at Finland midfield. Also team captain Tim Sparv is a doubt, but as he is another defensive player they are probably not that badly missed against a Kazakstan team who come to Helsinki to defend extremely deep. Actually.. I think Sparv's time in the national team is up, he will turn into coaching rather soon with his tired legs.

Finland played a friendly vs Wales earlier this week at the same venue, but it was a match neither team wanted to play and there were only a couple of regular starters on the pitch.

Finland are defensively solid, but to score today Finland need either Norwich’s Teemu Pukki to find top form again, or Leverkusen’s Joel Pohjanpalo to score with his pure will power like he did in the Euros.

All in all, in this match it is good to have also these long shoot options from the midfield the increase the area of danger, and it has to be noted that Kazakstan have a goalkeeper problem!

Keeper Pokatilov who shone vs Ukraine twice and was the main man for the good results is suspended today, and both of the keepers who were on the bench have almost 0 matches of international experience.

Kazakstan have been under a lot of pressure in all of their games so far and the keeper has saved them several times. They do have a 5-man defense, and try to stay under the ball all times and their own attacks will be as risk-free as possible, and also rather rare.

I am not shocked if they can Finland to rather limited goal chances, but then again, there is so much talent now that I see Finland scoring twice here and the 2-0 scoreline is the most likely.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

我对这场比赛的第一反应是要打一场低比分的比赛，也许会有一些优势，以更大的障碍拿下卡兹，但由于胜率决定了我们现在去芬兰队-1.5，为什么?

如果芬兰想参加资格赛，这是一个必须赢的局面。他们今年夏天的欧洲杯决赛是他们的第一次，他们仍然渴望更多。

就我个人而言，我认为这是不可能实现的，因为只有13支来自欧洲的球队能进入世界杯决赛，但对于这场比赛，只有胜利才能做到。

芬兰在3月份的预选赛中战平了乌克兰和波斯尼亚，今天他们将迎战哈萨克斯坦，周二他们将迎战大热门法国。

其他球队肯定都把哈萨克斯坦的6分都算进了预算，但他们已经和乌克兰打了两次平，对法国输了两个球。非常好的结果，但是友谊赛0 - 4负于北马其顿带来了问题，芬兰和他们差不多处于同一水平。

芬兰不太全面力量中场Lod和卡马拉,但好消息是,有新的令人兴奋的脸,Kaan Kairinen和Onni Valakari谁都是优雅和攻击选项和从远处能得分,并创建一个有些不同的威胁通常不会出现在芬兰中场。球队队长蒂姆·斯帕夫也是个疑问，但作为另一名防守球员，他们在对阵来赫尔辛基防守极深的哈萨克斯坦队时可能不会太想念他。其实. .我认为斯帕夫在国家队的时间已经结束了，他的腿很累，很快就会变成教练。

本周早些时候，芬兰和威尔士在同一场地进行了一场友谊赛，但这是一场双方都不想参加的比赛，球场上只有两名常规首发球员。

芬兰的防守很稳固，但是今天要进球，芬兰需要诺维奇的普基和勒沃库森的波詹帕洛，要么像在欧洲杯上一样，用纯粹的意志力得分。

总而言之，在这场比赛中，中场也有这些长射的选择，增加了危险区域，必须注意的是，哈萨克斯坦有一个守门员的问题!

门将波卡蒂洛夫在对乌克兰的比赛中两次表现出色，是球队取得好成绩的关键人物，今天他被禁赛，而这两位坐在替补席上的门将几乎没有参加过任何国际比赛。

到目前为止，哈萨克斯坦在所有的比赛中都承受着很大的压力，而门将已经拯救了他们好几次。他们确实有一个5人防守，并试图一直呆在球下，他们的攻击将尽可能没有风险，也相当罕见。

预测比分2:0。