HIGH CONFIDENCE 世预赛葡萄牙VS爱尔兰
2021-09-01

Daniel

外籍分析师

欧洲预选

09/02 02:45

已完赛

解读理由:

Portugal goes for this game after the fail on the Euro 2020. Everyone expected Portugal to reach more advanced stages on the Euro and we played really bad during almost the whole competition, Portugal just made one good game, that was against Belgium and the game that decided the goodbye to the competition, but the true is that the coach is very defensive and Portugal just started to play after the Belgium goal as then they were behind and was too late to react and overcome the bad result. The pressure is all on the coach Fernando Santos that needs to change the mentality of the players and his own mentality and if he keeps playing for the 1-0 probably he can be sacked in the near future as Portugal have the best team ever with Cristiano Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes, Joao Cancelo, Bernardo Silva, Ruben Dias... A lot of the best players in the world. Portugal at the moment is leading the group A with the same points as Serbia but Portugal should have 9 points in 3 games as Cristiano Ronaldo scored in the last minute of the game against Serbia and the referees said that the ball did not cross the line and as there is no VAR in this stage the goal didn't count. I expect a different mentality and different approach on the next matches by Fernando Santos as he knows that the pressure is really high now. Portugal have players very motivated like Cristiano Ronaldo that already announced the return to home to Manchester United, Bruno Fernandes that helped a lot and convinced Cristiano to go to United, the amazing left-defender Nuno Mendes that started this season on Sporting very bad as his "head" was already not there but yesterday he was already announced on PSG and for sure will be on the main XI as he is better than Diallo and Bernat. Joao Cancelo should be very excited as he failed the Euro 2020 because of Covid and it will be his first match after that. Diogo Jota in a very good moment too and Portugal playing at home I cannot expect Portugal to not win by more than 2 goals here. Another important fact is that we all know how Cristiano Ronaldo mentality is, and with his 2 last goals against France he is tied with Ali Daei with 109 goals and so he will make everything to score 1 goal to be the top goal scorer in international football history.

Probable line-up: Rui Patricio; Joao Cancelo - Pepe - Ruben Dias - Nuno Mendes; Ruben Neves - Danilo Pereira - Bruno Fernandes; Diogo Jota - Bernardo Silva and Cristiano Ronaldo.

Ireland are at the moment with 0 points and are in the 4th position out of 5 teams. They already lost with Serbia (3-2) and at home where they should have won against Luxembourg. The coach Stephen Kenny already said that he wants to change the way that Ireland is used to play. Ireland since I remember was always a team that plays on the fast transitions, counters... and this new coach wants the team to have more the control of the game, to have more time the ball and in my opinion they don't have players for that as I don't think that Molumby and Cullen don't have this kind of profile. Another good thing here is that the draw is not enough for Ireland if they keep having the dream to get qualified as only the 1st place goes direct to the World Cup and the 2nd can go to play-offs and so Ireland needs to fight to win this game and will need to take more risks and Portugal will explore this fact for sure.

Probable line-up: Travers; Doherty - Coleman - Clark - O'Shea - Stevens; Hourihane - Cullen - Molumby; Long and Connolly.


葡萄牙在 2020 年欧洲杯失利后参加了这场比赛。每个人都希望葡萄牙在欧洲杯上取得更高的成绩,而我们几乎在整场比赛中的表现都非常糟糕,葡萄牙只打了一场精彩的比赛,那场比赛是对比利时的决定告别比赛,但事实是教练非常防守,葡萄牙队在比利时进球后才开始上场,当时他们落后,反应迟钝,克服了糟糕的结果。压力都在主教练费尔南多·桑托斯身上,他需要改变球员的心态和他自己的心态,如果他继续以 1-0 的比分踢球,他可能会在不久的将来被解雇,因为葡萄牙拥有克里斯蒂亚诺有史以来最好的球队罗纳尔多、布鲁诺·费尔南德斯、若昂·坎塞洛、贝尔纳多·席尔瓦、鲁本·迪亚斯……很多世界上最好的球员。葡萄牙目前以与塞尔维亚相同的积分领先A组,但葡萄牙应该在3场比赛中得到9分作为克里斯蒂亚诺罗纳尔多在对阵塞尔维亚的比赛最后一分钟打进一球,裁判表示皮球没有越界,由于本阶段没有VAR,进球不算数。我期待费尔南多·桑托斯在接下来的比赛中会有不同的心态和不同的方法,因为他知道现在压力真的很大。葡萄牙的球员非常有动力,比如已经宣布重返曼联的克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多,帮助了很多并说服克里斯蒂亚诺去曼联的布鲁诺·费尔南德斯,本赛季在葡萄牙体育开始的出色的左后卫努诺·门德斯,他的表现非常糟糕。 “头”已经不在了,但昨天他​​已经在巴黎圣日耳曼宣布了,并且肯定会出现在主要的 XI 中,因为他比迪亚洛和伯纳特更好。若昂·坎塞洛 (Joao Cancelo) 应该非常兴奋,因为他因为新冠病毒而未能参加 2020 年欧洲杯,这将是他之后的第一场比赛。迪奥戈·若塔(Diogo Jota)也处于非常好的时刻,葡萄牙在主场比赛,我不能指望葡萄牙不会赢更多比这里的 2 个目标。另一个重要的事实是,我们都知道克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多的心态,他在对阵法国的最后2个进球中以109个进球与阿里·戴伊并列,因此他将全力以赴打进1球,成为国际足坛的历史最佳射手。

爱尔兰目前积0分,在5支球队中排名第4。他们已经输给了塞尔维亚(3-2),并且在主场输给了他们本应战胜卢森堡的比赛。教练斯蒂芬肯尼已经说过,他想改变爱尔兰习惯的比赛方式。自从我记得以来,爱尔兰一直是一支擅长快速转换、反击的球队……这位新教练希望球队能够更多地控制比赛,有更多的时间控球,而在我看来他们没有因为我不认为 Molumby 和 Cullen 没有这种个人资料。这里的另一个好处是,如果爱尔兰继续梦想获得资格,那么平局是不够的,因为只有第一名可以直接进入世界杯,第二名可以进入附加赛,所以爱尔兰需要争取胜利这场比赛将需要承担更多风险,葡萄牙肯定利用这一点。预测葡萄牙净胜2球以上。

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