01月06日卡利亚里 VS 贝内文托比赛分析直播
解读理由：
I had Benevento last round vs AC Milan, and naturally the red card for Milan shaped the run of the game I would say that Benevento were the better team throughout the game, but individual errors led to goals, and missing a penalty too.
Last 7 games results and xG introduce us a decent club, who have the normal variation of good and bad luck but in general very good performances lately!
我在上轮AC米兰对阵贝内文托的比赛中分析了贝内文托，米兰的红牌决定了比赛的进行。贝内文托在整个比赛中是表现更好的球队，但是个人失误导致失球，也罚失了点球。
最近的7场比赛结果和预期进球展示了他们的水准，最近的运气不是很好，但总的来说表现都非常出色！
Cagliari hosted Napoli last time, were badly outplayed and probably the new signing Nainggolan will not be alone enough to stop the active Benevento side. Look at the last 7 games,
卡利亚里上轮对阵那不勒斯时表现不佳，新签下的纳因格兰可能不会阻止贝内文托最近的活跃表现。过去的7场比赛，
the results are poor, but a closer look at the conceded xG clearly explaines why. The only team they have kept under 1.0 xG is Parma, but teams like Spezia, Verona, Inter, Roma and Napoli have created scoring chances for fun! Nainggolan will be useful more in creating chances, not defensively. He might even be a risk there in the midfield with his aggression. In the actual table Cagliari have 14 points, it is not much but still could be a few too many. In the conceded xG-data Cagliari are the bottom class of their own with 33 xG against, the 2nd worst team are around at 27. Mosf of the goals come from open play. A defensive disaster!
The injury situation at Cagliari is not great either. All the 5 players are defensive ones.
结果都不是很好，但仔细观察预期进球可以清楚地解释原因。他们唯一迫使对手的预期进球在1.0 以下的球队是帕尔马，但斯佩齐亚，维罗纳，国际米兰，罗马和那不勒斯等球队都非常轻松的创造了得分机会。Nainggolan将在创造机会方面更多地发挥作用，而不是在防守方面。他的进攻甚至可能会在中场冒险。积分榜上卡利亚里有14分，虽然不多，但仍比预期的要多少。在失球数据中，卡利亚里是联赛中的最差水平，预期失球33球，第二糟糕的球队为27。被射正次数也是最多。防守端的表现非常糟糕！
卡利亚里的伤病情况也不是很好。5名受伤的球员都是防守球员。
Benevento miss defenders Caldirola and Letizia, and it has to be admitted that they have defensive faults too and I am not ruling out a Cagliari goal here, or two, but the value is definitely on the away side.
1-3
贝内文托将会缺少后卫卡尔迪奥拉和莱蒂齐亚，必须承认的是他们也有防守失误，我并没有排除一两个卡利亚里进球的可能性，但贝内文托客场拿分的可能性非常大。
比分参考1-3
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作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论，意见，倾向等都只是作者本人的观点，和平台，组织网站等第三方没有关系。