I did preview Barcelona also last time away at Huesca. They won 0-1, even were a little worried in the end not to concede, but in truth it was a good decent performance and even if there is some dead wood on the pitch in form of Braithwaite Barcelona kept on creating - and wasting - good goal chances. The fair result would had been 0-3,4. I do not see current Bilbao side much better than than Huesca, and as there are no new injury worries at Barcelona they are naturally of interest.

So far Bilbao have collected 21 points, they are ninth with a 19-19 goal difference, and all in all they have been fairly treated if we compare the actual results to their xG-data.

我上一轮也预测过巴塞罗那对阵韦斯卡的比赛。他们以1-0获胜，虽然最后时刻有点担心，但实际上这是一个不错的表现，巴萨一直在创造并且浪费良好的进球机会。正常的结果应该是0-3或者0-4。我认为目前毕尔巴鄂并没有比韦斯卡更好，而且由于巴塞罗那没有新的伤病困扰，他们对本场比赛非常有信心。

到目前为止，毕尔巴鄂已经拿到21分，他们以19-19的净胜球排名第九，如果我们将实际结果与他们的xG数据进行比较

The sample of the last 7 games hints that vs the better teams they are easily outplayed, but they get their points vs the bottom half teams. It is understandable, they have defensively ok, but lack the x-factor in the attack. None of their strikers is a real threat, and the midfielder Iker Muniain has a huge role in winning games.

The previous manager Gaizka Garitano was under firing threat all season, but then he miraculously kept on winning the right games. In the end he got fired after the win over Elche, but naturally the process had been going on for some time and this was just random timing. Athletic Club managed to sign Marcelino, a well-respected coach, whose last 3 stints as a coach are Sevilla, Villarreal and Valencia where he earned his first trophy from the Copa del Rey last season, but got into trouble with the owner Peter Lim.

What can we expect from him?

He will rely on wingers and probably change Muniain from the middle as a right winger, the quick pressure is essential after losing the ball, but only for the one who has the ball, otherwise they will just try to cut the open passing channels and stop any counters. The midfielder roles will be clear, one will protect central defense, one will help with the attack. In case of trouble in defense there will be long - panic - balls to get out of immediate danger, and he has no desire to long attacks and ball possession.

The problem he has that the player material is not good, so compromises will be made and I am not at sure they will score with any better rate in the future. Actually I am afraid one of the reasons for his contract was that in his 16 games against arch rivals Real Sociedad -and the future cup final opponent - he has never lost!

Garitano was a boring and defensive minded one-trick pony as a coach, it will be interesting to see Marcelino's success but it is not given, and in the long run they really need to find several better players especially in the attack.

The expected lineup of Bilbao naturally is unknown, one local specialist outlined it like this:

过去7场比赛的结果显示，与强队相比，他们很容易被打回原形，但与下游球队的比赛，他们可以得到积分。可以理解，他们在防守上还可以，但是在进攻中缺乏x因素。他们的前锋无法形成真正的威胁，中场球员Iker Muniain在赢得比赛中发挥着巨大作用。

前任主教练加兹卡·加里塔诺（Gaizka Garitano）整个赛季都有着被解雇的风险，但随后他奇迹般地继续赢得了一些比赛。但最终，他在击败埃尔切之后被解雇，但是实际上他的下课只是时间问题。毕尔巴鄂聘请了备受推崇的教练马塞利诺，他之前执教的3支球队分别是塞维利亚，比利亚雷亚尔和巴伦西亚，在巴伦西亚获得了他的第一个冠军奖杯，但和球队老板彼得·林出现了问题。

毕尔巴鄂竞技能从他那里得到什么？

他将依靠边锋，并有可能把Muniain的位置调整到右翼，丢球后的快速施压必不可少的东西，但仅限于拥有球的人，其他球员将试图切断对手的传球路线，阻止反击。中场角色将很清楚，一个将保护中央防御，一个负责帮助进攻。万一防守出现麻烦，他们将会通过长时间的跑动摆脱威胁，而他的球队不会长时间进攻和控球。

他面临的问题是球员的实力不强不好，因此我不确定他们将来的得分会更高。实际上，我怕与他签约的原因之一是，在他与主要对手皇家社会队（Real Sociedad）以及之后的杯赛，他从未输过！

加里塔诺教练在教练中的战术比较单调，马塞里诺有可能会取得成功，但从长远来看，他们真的需要签下一些更好的球员，尤其是在进攻方面。 毕尔巴鄂的首发阵容仍然是未知的，一位当地专家将预测如下：

Not much to add for Barcelona. They are still the best goal chance creators in La Liga, and it seems Koeman is finally finding more use to De Jong.

0-2.

对于巴塞罗那来说，他们仍然是西甲最好的进攻机会的创造者，而且看来科曼终于找到了对德容的正确用法。

比分参考0-2