Riga FC VS Lincoln Red Imps

Latvian Riga FC welcome visitors from one of the smallest countries in Europe - Gibraltar. The Latvians are not a great team by any standards but come into this match as heavy favorites. They put up a decent fight even against Swedish Malmö some weeks ago in the Champions League qualification - despite playing with ten men in the first leg for some 45 minutes. Malmö are a seriously good team beating Glasgow Rangers 4-2 on aggregate in the previous round despite playing with ten men in the second leg for a long time! Just yesterday they defeated a tough opponent Bulgarian champions Ludogorets 2-0 after a very solid performance. In the previous round Rigaa FC defeated Maltese Hibernians 4-2 on aggregate after a 30 minutes extra match and I must say were slightly disappointing but the betting market seems to have reacted too much to these two matches. One key to winning long-term is not to react to recent matches too much. Before getting the better of Hibernians they defeated a decent team, North Macedonian Shkendija 1-0 twice and fully deserved to win -they should have been bigger favorites in this match up. Riga FC are most certainly not the most creative team offensively and I do not expect them to crush Red Imps here - a 1-0 or 2-0 win seem pretty probable results to me. On the 8th of this month they beat Tukums 3-1 away from home in a Latvian Cup 1/8 final - a good performance. They were of course heavy favorites in this match though. Riga FC do defend well even at this level- Malmö only scored twice in two matches against them..

Red Imps were defeated by Romanian Cluj some weeks ago twice and stood no real chance at all to qualify for the next round. many of their scoring chances had a pretty low chance of actually materialising to a goal. Let's still remember Cluj, of course, are a good team. However, I have read some analyses about how well Red Imps played versus Slovan Bratislava in the previous round of Europa League qualifying.First of all, Slovan Bratislava are not a much better team than Riga FC in my opinion.. Yes, Red Imps did record a decent expected goals number but I would say Slovan Bratislava defended badly and I would not get too excited by the 1-1 draw in Slovakia in the second leg. They had a very slim chance of qualifying for the next round after all.. By raw class Red Imps are a very limited team for this level and have without a doubt over-performed lately. They lack a big enough number of truly competitive matches as their domestic league is very a low-quality one and sooner or later they will probably stop over-performing! Their lack of success in Europe confirms their true level. I do not expect them to get many scoring chances in Riga tonight. A draw, however, would not be a major upset here.

Let's also take a quick look at some numbers too to show the difference in raw class between Riga FC and Lincoln Red Imps. According to a respected and well-known German website Transfermarkt.com Riga FC's players have a total market value of 9.51 million euros whereas Lincoln Red Imps' players are valued at only 1.10 million euros - a ridiculously low number for this level! Based on what I have seen from the Latvian club recently I would say their team's real market value should be about 14 million.. While the total market of a team's players does not fully reflect the overall class of a team as older but still very good players, like Ballon d'Or winner Croatian Luca Modric or the Italian legend and fresh European Champion Giorgio Chiellini, are less valuable than their true current value on the pitch. On the other hand, young and very promising future star players like Manchester United's Marcus Rashford, 21 have a higher market value than their current level in action would indicate. However, a team's players' total market value still does give us a good picture on how good the team is.

To sum up, Riga are very clear favorites here with over 70% chance of winning. Riga -0.5 goals is the pick I recommend for my growing fan base!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

拉脱维亚里加俱乐部欢迎来自欧洲最小国家之一直布罗陀的游客。以任何标准来看，拉脱维亚都不是一支伟大的球队，但在这场比赛中，他们是夺冠热门。即使在几周前的欧冠预选赛中对阵瑞典(Malmö)，他们也表现得很好——尽管他们在首回合中十人上阵，打了大约45分钟。Malmö是一支非常好的球队，尽管在第二回合有很长一段时间只有10人，但在上一轮比赛中以4-2的总比分击败了格拉斯哥流浪者!就在昨天，他们以非常稳定的表现以2-0击败了对手保加利亚冠军卢多戈雷茨。在前一轮里加FC在加赛30分钟后以4-2击败马耳他Hibernians，我必须说有点令人失望，但博彩市场似乎对这两场比赛反应过度。长期获胜的一个关键是不要对最近的比赛做出太多反应。在战胜Hibernians之前，他们两次以1-0击败了不错的球队北马其顿的Shkendija，完全应该赢，他们本应该是这场比赛中更大的热门。里加队在进攻上肯定不是最有创造力的球队，我不认为他们能在这里击败红小鬼——对我来说，1-0或2-0的胜利是很有可能的结果。本月8日，在拉脱维亚杯1/8决赛中，他们客场3-1击败了图库姆斯，表现不错。在这场比赛中，他们当然是大热门。里加队在这个级别的比赛中防守也很好，Malmö在两场比赛中只进了两球。

几周前，红色小鬼两次被罗马尼亚的克鲁日击败，根本没有机会进入下一轮。他们的很多进球机会都很低。当然，克鲁日是一支优秀的团队。然而，我读了一些关于红小鬼在欧罗巴联赛预选赛上对阵斯洛伐克布拉迪斯拉发的分析。首先，在我看来，斯洛伐克布拉迪斯拉发并不比里加好多少。是的，红魔的预期进球数确实不错，但我想说布拉迪斯拉发防守很差，我不会对第二回合1-1战平斯洛伐克太兴奋。他们晋级下一轮的机会毕竟很小。在这个关卡中，红色小鬼是一个非常有限的团队，毫无疑问，他们最近表现得非常出色。他们缺少足够多的真正有竞争力的比赛，因为他们的国内联赛是非常低质量的联赛，迟早他们可能会停止超常发挥!他们在欧洲的失败证实了他们的真实水平。我不指望他们今晚在里加能有多少进球机会。然而，一场平局在这里不会是一场重大的颠覆。

让我们也快速看一些数据，以显示原始级别之间的差别里加FC和林肯红色imp。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，里加FC的球员总市值为951万欧元，而林肯红精灵的球员市值仅为110万欧元——这对于这个级别的球员来说是一个低得离谱的数字!根据我最近从拉脱维亚俱乐部所看到的，我认为他们球队的真正市场价值应该在1400万左右。虽然整个市场团队的球员并不完全反映团队的整体类旧但仍然很好的球员,像金球奖得主克罗地亚卢卡·莫德里奇或意大利传奇和新鲜的欧洲冠军基耶利尼,不如他们真正有价值的当前值在球场上。另一方面，年轻且前途光明的未来明星球员，如曼联的马库斯·拉什福德，21岁的市场价值高于他们目前的水平。然而，球队球员的总市场价值仍然能让我们清楚地知道这支球队有多优秀。

总而言之，里加在这里是非常受欢迎的，有超过70%的机会获胜。里加-0.5的目标是我推荐给我不断增长的粉丝群体的!