In my opinion Birmingham have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.
Birmingham don't have any new important absences before today's match up, so they coming with the strongest possible squad and their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. Hosts with Lee Bowyer on the bench in first two matches of the season looked extremely solid at the back as they not conceded even a single goal yet. They won 1:0 on away against Sheffield (expected goals conceded: 0.75) and they had 0:0 at home against Stoke (expected goals conceded: 0.59). They kept clean sheet as wel in cup win against Colchester. They are very hard to break and I see same story today.
On the other hand Bournemouth currently have big squad problems. So many unavailable key players like Lerma, Lewis Cook, Danjuma or Steve Cook. At Saturday they recorded away win 2:1 against Nottingham, but that was extremely lucky. Previously Bournemouth played against Nottingham in February and from that match at Saturday we don't saw any player from first line up.. In defense (goalkeeper + defenders) played only only players under 23. In addition to that key winger Brooks (he scored goal against Nottingham) is unavailable today. It's another blow for the team. In first match Bournemouth had draw at home against WBA, but that was undeserved result. Expected goals scored for WBA 1.78, for Bournemouth 0.81.
Bournemouth manager Scott Parker said: ''Birmingham is very good, well-organised team. Their manager certainly knows what he’s doing, so it will be a big challenge for us in midweek.”
Birmingham should have chance against unexperienced Bournemouth defensive formation, but on the other hand they are really consistent and hard to crack at the back. Guest will have problems with goalscoring, especially without a Brooks. I trust for hosts here.
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在我看来,伯明翰有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。
在今天的比赛之前,伯明翰不会有任何新的重要缺阵,所以他们会有最强的阵容,他们的阵容应该和上一轮一样。在本赛季的前两场比赛中,李·鲍耶坐在替补席上的主队在后防线上看起来非常稳固,他们甚至没有失球。客场1:0战胜谢菲尔德(预期失球0.75),主场0:0战胜斯托克城(预期失球0.59)。在对科尔切斯特的杯赛中,他们同样保持了零失分。它们很难打破,我今天看到了同样的故事。
另一方面,伯恩茅斯目前有很大的阵容问题。很多关键球员无法上场,比如勒玛、刘易斯·库克、丹朱马或史蒂夫·库克。周六他们客场2:1战胜了诺丁汉,但那是非常幸运的。之前伯恩茅斯在2月对阵诺丁汉的比赛中,从周六的那场比赛开始,我们就没有看到任何一线球员。防守(守门员+后卫)只让23岁以下的球员上场。除了关键边锋布鲁克斯(他在对诺丁汉的比赛中进球)今天也不能上场。这是对球队的又一次打击。在第一场比赛中,伯恩茅斯在主场和WBA打成平局,但这是一个不合理的结果。WBA的预期进球为1.78,伯恩茅斯的0.81。
伯恩茅斯主教练斯科特·帕克说:“伯明翰是一支非常好的、组织良好的球队。他们的教练当然知道他在做什么,所以周中对我们来说将是一个巨大的挑战。”
伯明翰应该有机会对付伯恩茅斯缺乏经验的防守阵型,但另一方面,他们的后防线非常稳定,很难突破。客人会有进球的问题,尤其是没有布鲁克斯的情况下。我信任这里的主队。