Wrong odds
2021-08-15

Daniel

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Farense was the most unlucky team that I remember seeing in the 1st League. They had a lot of games where they were playing really well and didn't score and then in the last minutes suffering goals and with a lot of errors by the referees, I specially remember one disallowed goal against Rio Ave where the referee whistled a second before the ball entered the net and because of that the VAR couldn't do anything. But since the new coach Jorge Costa arrived in the last season the team improved a lot and made amazing games against Sporting where they lost 1-0 but deserved to drew the game, they scored but the VAR cancelled, they dominated Braga and suffered the 2-1 in the last minute of the game. Talking about this season, they only lost their best player Ryan Gauld, who was said that he could go to Braga or back to Sporting, but he went to MLS. They kept the base of the team, and in my opinion are the best team to be champion this season, same coach, same team, very strong home factor. That's another very important thing, they will play at home with their supporters who have the best atmosphere in the 2nd League and that will cause a lot of pressure to Rio Ave. They don't have any absences for this game. Their last game against Leixoes they didn't play so well as I expected, but after scoring the equalizer goal the 1-1 they were completely over Leixoes but then the Leixoes player Sapara scored a Puskas goal and it affected a lot the team's confidence.

Probable line-up: Ricardo Defendi; Alex Pinto - Gut - Eduardo Mancha - Abner; Amine - Lucca - Fabricio Isidoro; Vasco Lopes - Elves Balde and Pedro Henrique.

Rio Ave coming from their worst season ever in the main league, with 3 coaches. They had an incredible team with Gelson Dala, Carlos Mane, Rafael Camacho and Francisco Geraldes on the attack, all formed on Sporting CP. From the last year they lost all of them from the attack, they lost Filipe Augusto, Fabio Coentrao, Ivo Pinto and the centre-back Borevkovic and bought some important players like Hugo Gomes, Ze Manuel, Pedro Mendes, Zimbabwe and got back some important players like Gabrielzinho that started really well the season and Joca who was playing for Leixoes last season. In their first official matches they showed a lot of problems, first against Varzim as away, where Varzim was clearly better and they won with some luck by penalties, and in the next phase they beat Arouca, but Arouca got reduced to 10 men since the minute 42 and in the 2nd half Arouca was dominating Rio Ave like they were the team with 10 players. Their last match they won 5-1 against Academica, but in strange game where Academica was clearly out of the game and concede a lot of space for Rio Ave to explore the speed of Gabrielzinho. The market is overeacting because of this 5-1 and the odds are wrong, as Farense needs to be always favorite playing at home. Farense will be the team with the best home factor of the league and for sure I expect them to control the game.

Probable line-up: Jhonatan; Costinha - Aderllan - Hugo Gomes - Savio; Zimbabwe - Joca - Guga; Gabrielzinho - Ze Manel and Pedro Mendes.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

法伦斯是我在联赛中看到的运气最不好的球队。他们有很多场比赛踢的很好,但没有得分,然后在最后一分钟痛苦目标和裁判的错误,我特别记得一个无效的目标对里约热内卢大街,裁判吹第二个球进入净,因为之前的VAR不能做任何事情。但由于新教练乔治·科斯塔抵达上赛季球队进步了很多比赛,取得了惊人的运动,他们失去了1 - 0,但应该把游戏,他们得分但是VAR取消,布拉加和的2 - 1在比赛的最后一分钟。说到这个赛季,他们只失去了他们最好的球员赖安·高德,据说他可能会去布拉加或者回到里斯本竞技,但他去了美国职业足球大联盟。他们保持了球队的基础,在我看来,他们是本赛季夺冠的最佳球队,同样的教练,同样的球队,非常强大的主场因素。这是另一件非常重要的事情,他们将在主场和拥有第二联赛最好气氛的球迷一起比赛,这将给大道带来很大的压力。他们不会缺席这场比赛。上一场对阵莱克索斯的比赛,他们的表现没有我想象的那么好,但在1-1扳平比分后,他们完全超过了莱克索斯,但后来莱克索斯的球员萨帕拉打进了普斯卡什的一球,这极大地影响了球队的信心。

里奥阿维从他们在大联盟史上最糟糕的赛季,有3个教练。他们有一个令人难以置信的团队Gelson过程,卡洛斯鬃毛,拉斐尔·卡马乔和弗朗西斯科杰拉尔德攻击,形成体育CP。他们从去年他们失去了所有的攻击,他们失去了菲利浦-奥古斯托,法比奥-科恩特朗,Ivo平托和中后卫Borevkovic买了一些重要的球员像雨果·戈梅斯,泽曼纽尔,佩德罗·门德斯(Pedro Mendes),津巴布韦人,并带回了一些重要的球员,比如本赛季开局良好的加布里埃尔津尼奥(Gabrielzinho)和上个赛季在莱克索效力的约卡(Joca)。在他们的第一场正式比赛中,他们表现出了很多问题,首先是客场对阵Varzim, Varzim明显更好,他们凭借一些运气在点球中获胜,下一阶段他们打败了Arouca,但是从第42分钟开始阿洛卡队就只剩下10人了,在下半场阿洛卡队就像一支有10人的球队一样统治着里奥阿维。上一场比赛他们5-1战胜了阿奇米卡,但是阿奇米卡在奇怪的比赛中明显出局了,给了里奥阿维很大的空间去探索加布里埃尔津诺的速度。由于5-1的比分和赔率都是错误的,市场反应过度了。

法伦斯将是联盟中主场因素最好的球队,我当然希望他们能控制比赛。

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