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2021-08-14

Tapio

外籍分析师

芬甲

08/14 22:00

已完赛

洛瓦涅米
1:0
克鲁比04
解读理由:

RoPS vs Klubi 04

RoPS welcome visitors from Helsinki at Rovaniemen Keskuskenttä at the Arctic Circle for this Finnish Ykkönen match. Ykkönen is the second highest level of football here in Finland and a league I, as a Finn, have watched extremely closely for some thirty years already and been betting on for some twenty years achieving a very good return on investment. RoPS are a traditional Veikkausliiga - which is the highest level of Finnish football - club and have a very good change to return to Veikkausliiga for next season. They had a very young - way too young for Veikkuasliiga I would say team last season and the results were bad as expected. This mostly because of a lack of financial resources and they had also lost their great coach Toni Koskela already in the middle of the previous season. Koskela left RoPS to coach HJK Helsinki, the biggest team in Finland. For this level RoPS are perhaps even too good and lead Ykkönen at the moment. They have won four of their latest five matches and performed well this season at home in Rovaniemi in front of their loyal fans. They were defeated last week-end in Ekenäs but Ekenäs IF are a good team and were some 47% favorites to win that match. Ekenäs were the better team but RoPS played still a decent match. I rate them as the second best team in Ykkönen at the moment after VPS.

Klubi 04 are HJK Helsinki's academy team and most players are young talents but still very inexperienced. Sometimes experienced players from HJK like Markus Halsti and Sebastian Dahlström have also played some matches for Klubi 04. For years the team played in Kakkonen which is one level below Ykkönen. At the moment I rate Klubi 04, who are the rock-bottom team at the moment, as the 9th best team in Ykkönen. JIPPO, MuSa and Mikkelin Palloilijat are worse than Klubi 04 in my opinion. Last week they crushed MuSa at Bolt Arena in Helsinki 4-0 and surely they were the better team but they were also some 45% favorites to win and 4-0 does not quite reflect the events on the pitch. They did improve quite a lot from previous matches but most definitely were not super good. In my view MuSa were simply quite bad overall but still had 52% ball and some scoring chances too. Perhaps a win by two goals for Klubi 04 would have been the justified result. Ahead of this match versus RoPS it seems to betting betting market over-emphasizes the meaning of the 4-0 win. It is also worth noticing that Baba Mensah who has played in Veikkausliiga and two promising youngsters Taddeus Nkengi and Marcello Beuker have recently joined the team which does make them stronger but again I think not as much as the betting market and some football analysts seem to think..

To sum up, RoPS are clear favorites at home and have some 56-57% chance of winning. My pick for my fans is RoPS -0.5 goals handicap.


洛瓦涅米在主场Rovaniemen Keskuskenttä迎战来自赫尔辛基的游克鲁比。芬甲是芬兰足球水平第二高的联赛,作为芬兰人,我已经密切关注了大约 30 年,并且投注了大约 20 年,取得了非常好的投资回报。洛瓦涅米是一家传统的芬超球队- 这是芬兰足球的最高水平 - 俱乐部并且有一个很好的变化,可以在下个赛季重返芬超。他们有一个非常年轻的阵容 - 上赛季的球队过于年轻,结果正如预期的那样糟糕。这主要是因为缺乏财政的支持,而且他们在上个赛季中期就已经失去了伟大的教练托尼·科斯凯拉(Toni Koskela)。 Koskela 离开球队去执教芬兰最大的球队赫尔辛基。对于这个级别,洛瓦涅米甚至可能太好了,目前领先芬甲。他们赢得了最近五场比赛中的四场,并且本赛季罗瓦涅米主场在忠实球迷面前表现出色。他们上周末在埃克纳斯被击败,但埃克纳斯 IF 是一支优秀的球队,并且有 47% 的人希望赢得这场比赛。 埃克纳斯是更好的球队,但洛瓦涅米仍然表现得不错。我认为他们是芬甲目前仅次于科高拉的第二好的团队。

克鲁比04 是 HJK 赫尔辛基的青训队,大多数球员都是年轻的天才,但仍然非常缺乏经验。有时像 Markus Halsti 和 Sebastian Dahlström 这样的 HJK 经验丰富的球员也为 Klubi 04 打过一些比赛。多年来,球队在比芬甲低一级的芬乙踢球。目前我将目前处于垫底的球队克鲁比04 评为 芬甲排名第 9 的球队。在我看来,JIPPO、MuSa 和 Mikkelin Palloilijat 都比克鲁比04 差。上周他们在赫尔辛基的博尔特竞技场以 4-0 击败了穆萨,他们肯定是更好的球队,但他们也有 45% 的热门获胜,而 4-0 并不能完全反映球场上的表现。他们确实比之前的比赛进步了很多,但绝对不是很好。在我看来,穆萨总体上非常糟糕,但仍有 52% 的控球率和一些得分机会。或许克鲁比04 以两个进球获胜将是合理的结果。在与 RoPS 的这场比赛之前,投注市场似乎过分强调 4-0 获胜的意义。还值得注意的是,曾在维考斯利加踢过球的巴巴·门萨和两个很有前途的年轻人塔德乌斯·恩肯吉和马塞洛·博克最近加入了球队,这确实让他们变得更强大,但我再为不像机构和一些足球分析师认为的那样多..

总而言之,洛瓦涅米在主场显然是最受欢迎的,并且有 56-57% 的获胜机会。北单推荐洛瓦涅米-0.5。

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