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2021-08-08

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外籍分析师

芬甲

08/08 22:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Vaasan Palloseura (VPS) VS JIPPO Joensuu

Vaasan Palloseura welcome visitors from Joensuu at the Elisa Stadion on Sunday for this Finnish Ykkönen match. Ykkönen is the second highest level of Finnish football and a league I, as a Finnish national, have watched very closely for some thirty years already and been betting on it professionally for some twenty years. VPS are a lot bigger club then JIPPO who were promoted from Kakkonen Group C to Ykkönen for this season. VPS are a traditional Veikkausliiga - the highest tier of Finnish footballc - club with much bigger player budget than JIPPO and also have a lot more quality players on the bench. JIPPO have never played in Veikkausliiga and I can assure you they very likely never will! VPS are very clear favorites here playing at home in front of loyal fans. Overall the home advantage in Ykkönen is lower than in European soccer on average though. However, hosts have some 65% chance of winning this one so current odds represent huge value! VPS -0.5 goals handicap is the pick I recommend my fans to take. The teams have already faced each other once this season and it was a 1-1 draw despite Vaasa playing with ten men after K. Moses was sent off in the fifth minute. Without the red card VPS probably would have won quite easily.

We went against JIPPO, and won the pick, earlier this week when they faced TPS at home losing 0-1. JIPPO were even worse than I would have expected in that match. The pitch (artificial turf) was in horrible condition and on a normal pitch TPS most likely would have won with ease as they would have been able to take advantage of the huge offensive skill they had compared to pretty poor JIPPO players. Indeed, the biggest problem for JIPPO is lack of offensive skill and creativity and I have not been impressed by their tactics either.. JIPPO have scored just ten goals this season. Before facing TPS JIPPO played versus Klubi 04 and were dominated by the hosts from Helsinki but managed to be effective in scoring and escaped with a quite lucky 1-0 away win. I was watching the match live in Helsinki at Bolt Arena and I must say that despite winning that match a similar performance will certainly be enough in Vaasa on Sunday.

VPS are in great shape having won four of their latest five matches. In their most recent match they defeated Mikkelin Palloilijat 3-0 away from home. The hosts had their player Räisänen sent off in the 28th minute but it was a very good performance from VPS! Before this they beat a dangerous team Jaro 2-1 at home. I would say even if they can not reach the level of football they played in these matches in Sunday they will anyway have a good chance to beat JIPPO. I expect a lot from Kalle Multanen who has scored four goals this season - Sebastian Strandvall has also scored four goals and is a very good player for this level indeed. Jamaican Steven Morrissey moves a lot on the pitch and let's hope he too can cause problems for JIPPO's defense. Tuomas Pöyhönen is the key defense player for the hosts and remembering the fact that Vaasan Palloseura have a solid defense overall I would not be surprised if JIPPO once again failed to score.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

瓦桑·帕洛修拉(Vaasan Palloseura)周日在伊利莎球场(Elisa stadium)欢迎来自朝鲜的游客,观看这场芬兰人的Ykkönen比赛。Ykkönen是芬兰足球的第二高水平和一级联赛,作为一名芬兰公民,已经密切关注了大约30年,并在职业上押注了大约20年。VPS是比JIPPO大很多的俱乐部,JIPPO本赛季从Kakkonen C组升级到Ykkönen。VPS是传统的Veikkausliiga——芬兰顶级足球俱乐部,拥有比JIPPO更大的球员预算,同时也有更多高质量的球员在板凳上。JIPPO从来没有在Veikkausliiga打过球,我可以向你保证,他们很可能永远不会!VPS在主场的忠实球迷面前是非常受欢迎的。总体而言,Ykkönen的主场优势低于欧洲的平均水平。然而,东道主有65%的机会赢得这次比赛,所以当前的赔率代表着巨大的价值!VPS -0.5个进球障碍是我推荐我的球迷的选择。两队本赛季已经交手过一次,在第5分钟摩西被罚下场后,瓦萨率领10人出战,但最终以1比1战平。如果没有红牌,VPS可能会轻松获胜。

我们在本周早些时候对阵JIPPO,并赢得了选秀权,当时他们在主场0-1输给了TPS。JIPPO在那场比赛中的表现甚至比我想象的还要糟糕。球场(人造草皮)的情况非常糟糕,在正常的球场上,TPS很可能会轻松获胜,因为他们可以利用巨大的进攻技巧,而JIPPO的球员则非常糟糕。的确,JIPPO最大的问题是缺乏进攻技巧和创造力,我也不喜欢他们的战术。JIPPO本赛季只进了10个球。在对阵TPS之前,JIPPO对阵Klubi 04,被来自赫尔辛基的东道主统治,但成功地取得了有效的进球,并以相当幸运的1-0赢得客场胜利。我在赫尔辛基的博尔特体育馆观看了现场比赛,我必须说,尽管赢得了那场比赛,但周日在瓦萨的类似表现肯定就足够了。

VPS在最近的五场比赛中赢了四场,状态很好。在最近的一场比赛中,他们客场3-0击败了帕洛里亚特。主队的球员Räisänen在第28分钟被罚下场,但是VPS的表现非常好!在此之前,他们在主场以2-1击败了危险的球队贾罗。我想说,即使他们不能达到他们在周日的比赛中发挥的水平,他们无论如何都会有一个很好的机会击败JIPPO。我对穆塔宁有很大的期待,他本赛季已经进了4个球,塞巴斯蒂安·斯特兰德瓦尔也进了4个球,他确实是这个级别的优秀球员。牙买加人史蒂文·莫里西在球场上移动频繁,让我们希望他也能给JIPPO的防守带来麻烦。托马斯Pöyhönen是主队的关键防守球员,记住瓦桑-帕洛修拉整体防守很好,如果JIPPO再一次没能得分,我也不会感到惊讶。

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