Big value! 芬甲 TPS土尔库vsPk35万塔
2021-08-07

Tapio

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芬甲

08/07 22:00

已完赛

解读理由:

TPS Turku versus PK-35 Vantaa

TPS Turku welcome visitors from Vantaa for this Finnish Ykkönen match on Saturday. Finnish Ykkönen is the second highest league in Finland after Veikkausliiga. As a Finn I follow Ykkönen very closely and have watched almost all of Ykkönen matches this season and all TPS's matches. Earlier this week won a pick on TPS when they beat JIPPO 1-0 away from home. TPS performed well and dominated the match especially on the second half and almost twenty scoring attempts whereas JIPPO had only two attempts and one shot on target and did not create much goal expectancy. The pitch (artificial turf) was in horrible condition in Joensuu and this made playing quality offensive football very hard for TPS and on a normal pitch TPS probably would have won by two or three goals.

PK-35 are a slightly better team than JIPPO but nothing special and are not, unlike TPS, serious contender to promote to Veikkausliiga for next season. TPS have the resources, most importantly a decent budget for this level to pay their players and also have a lot better options on the bench than PK-35 who are a lot smaller team. TPS are, as I mentioned boosted by the joining of Kasper "Kappe" Hämäläinen who played a very good career abroad for over ten years, for example in Poland and also for the Finnish national team. He is a true leader and fighter and was in a big role in Joensuu versus JIPPO creating a chance for Atakayi to score the winning goal.

TPS are, as expected climbing up the table and are now in sixth place and six teams qualify for the Championship Group at the end of the season. I am expecting them to grab a top-3 position if they can enhance their level even a bit and with the way they have been playing lately and the if injuries don't hinder them too much even top-2 is within their reach. TPS have a good head coach in Jonatan Johansson who is a former English Premiership and Finnish national team striker. At the moment the situation in terms of missing players is very good - only Jasper Jalonen (international duties), Onnipekka Pajula and Roope Pakkanen are not available for this match. Once again we should not be fooled by the standings which suggest teams are pretty balanced. TPS have played a lot better lately than the latest results suggest and with just a little bit of luck a few draws would have been wins. The hosts really are clearly the better team and whilst the home advantage is not huge in Ykkönen the hosts are over 60% favorites to win this one and TPS -0.5 goals handicap is the pick I recommend my fans to take. PK-35 have not played well lately and have won just one of their latest five matches and that was a 2-1 versus Klubi-04 who are the rock-bottom team in Ykkönen. The match was a pretty balanced one and P-35 would need to improve a lot to grab even a point versus TPS on Saturday. I do not see PK-35 making it to the top-6 and rate them as 10th best team in Ykkönen whereas TPS are the second best team in my papers.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

图尔库TPS欢迎来自万塔的游客观看周六的芬兰Ykkönen比赛。芬兰的Ykkönen是继Veikkausliiga之后的芬兰第二高联赛。作为芬兰人,我非常关注Ykkönen,并且看了这个赛季几乎所有的Ykkönen比赛和TPS的比赛。本周早些时候,他们在客场1-0击败了JIPPO,赢得了一个选秀权。TPS表现很好,统治了比赛,特别是在下半场,几乎20次射门,而JIPPO只有两次射门和一次正射,没有创造多少进球期望。在Joensuu的球场(人造草皮)条件非常糟糕,这使得TPS很难踢出高质量的进攻足球,在正常的球场上TPS可能会以2到3个进球获胜。

PK-35比JIPPO稍微好一点,但没什么特别的,不像TPS,也不是下赛季升级到Veikkausliiga的有力竞争者。TPS有足够的资源,最重要的是有足够的预算来支付他们的球员,而且比起PK-35这个规模小得多的球队,他们在板凳上有更好的选择。正如我所提到的,TPS是由Kasper“Kappe”Hämäläinen的加入而提升的,他在国外打了10多年非常好的职业生涯,比如在波兰和芬兰国家队。他是一个真正的领袖和战士,在Joensuu对JIPPO的比赛中发挥了重要作用,为Atakayi创造了制胜的进球机会。

正如预期的那样,TPS在积分榜上有所上升,现在排名第六,有六支球队有资格在赛季结束后进入冠军小组。我希望他们能拿到前三的位置,如果他们能提高他们的水平,以他们最近的表现,如果伤病没有太大的阻碍,即使前二也在他们的范围之内。TPS有一个很好的主教练约翰森,他是前英超和芬兰国家队的前锋。目前球员的缺阵情况很好,只有贾隆宁(国家队),帕尤拉和帕克卡宁不能参加这场比赛。再一次,我们不应该被排名所愚弄,这表明球队是相当平衡的。TPS最近的表现比最近的结果显示的要好得多,如果有一点点运气,几场平局就能赢。东道主显然是更好的球队,虽然在Ykkönen的主场优势不是很大,东道主有超过60%的希望赢得这场比赛,TPS -0.5个进球的障碍是我推荐我的球迷的选择。PK-35最近表现不太好,最近的五场比赛只赢了一场,那是2-1战胜了Klubi-04,后者在Ykkönen排名垫底。这是一场非常平衡的比赛,P-35要想在周六对阵TPS的比赛中拿到一分,还需要提高很多。我没有看到PK-35进入前6名,在Ykkönen排名中排名第10,而TPS在我的论文中排名第二。

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