01月05日南安普敦 VS 利物浦比赛分析直播
38：英超单关赛事！
解读理由：
In my opinion Liverpool have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.
Liverpool have excellent streak against Southampton - they won 6 consecutive Premier League matches against them. Liverpool won last 3 Premier League matches at this stadium and in each game scored at least 2 goals. It's a Monday match - Southampton failed to win in 14 of last 15 such matches.
I believe Liverpool have massive advantage before today's match. Southampton don't have big depth in their squad and players like right defender Walker-Peters, left defender Bertrand or central midfielders Ward-Prowse and Romeu plays almost in every game because they don't have replacement on the same level and they looks tired. Liverpool loves to play by wings and I see big troubles for Southampton tired defenders. On the other hand Liverpool today in the midfield will have Henderson + relatively fresh Alcantara and Wijnaldum (both played less than 25 minutes in last round). They should be able to control middle zone without too many problems. As well Oxlade-Chamberlain, Milner, Shaqiri and Minamino provide strong options from the bench. Unfortunately, Southampton don't have such a luxury.
Southampton have serious problems in attack at the moment - Adams (4 goals and 4 assists in 16 matches) is very doubtful for today's match, their top striker Ings (6 goals and 3 assists in 12 matches) doesn't looked convincing in last matches. They don't have more options - Long (0 goals and assists in 10 matches) is not good enough. Against poor Fulham (relegation zone) Southampton expected goals scored number was only 0.21. In last round against West Ham only 0.56. It's hard to image big improvement today.
Liverpool three round ago destroyed on away 7:0 Crystal Palace, but in last two rounds (1:1 at home against WBA and 0:0 on away against Newcastle) they failed to win. Both opponents played very defensive football, but Liverpool still created a lot of chances to score and should win these matches. Expected goals scored against WBA 1.69, against Newcastle 1.47. Today task should be easier because Southampton plays more open football and Liverpool should have much more space and will have chance to play some deadly counter attacks. Liverpool top striker Salah (13 goals and 3 assists in 15 matches so far) loves to play against Southampton - he scored 7 goals in his 6 Premier League matches against them.
Currently Liverpool in the table have the same amount of points with Manchester United and I expect big motivation in the team and big reaction after two unsatisfied results. I trust for guests.
本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：
在我看来，利物浦在今天的比赛中有很好的机会拿到3分。
利物浦在对南安普顿的比赛中取得了优异的连胜——他们在英超联赛中6连胜。利物浦在这里赢得了最近三场英超比赛，每场比赛都至少进了2球。这是周一的比赛——南安普顿在过去15场这样的比赛中有14场没有获胜。
我相信利物浦在今天的比赛前有巨大的优势。南安普顿在他们的阵容中没有很大的深度，像右后卫沃克-彼得斯，左后卫伯特兰，中前卫沃德-普劳斯和罗梅乌几乎每场比赛都有上场，因为他们没有相同水平的替补，而且他们看起来很疲惫。利物浦喜欢打侧翼，我看到南安普顿疲惫的后卫会遇到大麻烦。另一方面，今天利物浦的中场将有亨德森和相对新鲜的阿尔坎塔拉和维纳尔达姆(他们在上一轮都出场不到25分钟)。他们应该能够在没有太多问题的情况下控制中区。此外，张伯伦、米尔纳、沙奇里和米纳米诺在板凳席上也提供了强有力的选择。不幸的是，南安普顿没有这样的奢侈。
南安普顿现在在进攻上有严重的问题——亚当斯(16场比赛4个进球4次助攻)在今天的比赛中很可疑，他们的顶级前锋(12场比赛6个进球3次助攻)在最近的比赛中看起来并不令人信服。他们没有更多的选择-长(10场比赛0个进球和助攻)是不够的。对阵可怜的富勒姆(保级区)，南安普顿的预期进球数只有0.21个。在上一轮对阵西汉姆的比赛中只有0.56分。现在很难想象会有什么大的改善。
3轮之前，利物浦在客场7比0击败水晶宫，但在最后两轮(主场1:1击败WBA，客场0:0击败纽卡斯尔)他们没有赢。两支球队都踢得很守势，但利物浦仍然创造了很多进球的机会，应该会赢得这些比赛。对WBA和纽卡斯尔的预期进球分别为1.69和1.47。今天的任务应该会简单一些，因为南安普顿踢的是更开放的足球，利物浦应该有更多的空间，也会有机会进行一些致命的反击。利物浦的顶级前锋萨拉赫(到目前为止15场比赛中打进13球和3次助攻)很喜欢对阵南安普顿——他在对阵南安普顿的6场英超比赛中打进7球。
目前利物浦在积分榜上和曼联有同样多的积分，我希望球队在两个不满意的结果后有很大的动力和反应。我信任利物浦。
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