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2021-07-28

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Australia can’t be favorite here.

Australia won against Argentina but made a really poor performance against Spain, where they just defended and were totally outplayed. Against Argentina they were pretty lucky also because their rivals received a red card at 45’.

Comparing the matches against Spain (strongest rival in the group), Egypt played much better and was the best team. They achieved a point, but also did not allow Spain to create danger, while Australia conceded many chances and were lucky to receive just one goal.

For this match, Australia will miss Duke, Atkinson and McGree, all suspended and key players.

On the other hand, Egypt played well against Spain as said, while against Argentina (lost 0-1) created several chances but weren’t able to convert them. They need a victory to qualify, the only way to not qualify winning this match is if Argentina beats Spain by exactly 1 goal.

Both teams are at a similar level, but I think that Egypt made better performances in spite of the results. For Australia, a draw would be enough to qualify. Even a defeat if Spain wins Argentina. That’s why they will use the same plan as always: defend and let the time run. Egypt will dominate the match, which is the first step to win it.

In my opinion Egypt should be even slightly favorite, so happy to take the double chance for them.


澳大利亚本场不应该成为赢球的热门。

澳大利亚队战胜了阿根廷队,但在对阵西班牙队的比赛中表现非常糟糕,他们只是防守,完全被击败。对阵阿根廷时,他们也很幸运,因为他们的对手在 45 分钟收到了一张红牌。

与西班牙(小组最强对手)的比赛相比,埃及的表现要好得多,是最好的球队。他们取得了一分,但也没有让西班牙制造危险,而澳大利亚丢了很多机会,幸运地只进了一个球。

本场比赛,澳大利亚将缺少杜克、阿特金森和麦格里,他们都是关键球员。

另一方面,如前所述,埃及对阵西班牙的比赛表现出色,而对阵阿根廷(0-1 失利)则创造了几次机会,但未能将其转化。他们需要一场胜利才能晋级,唯一不能赢得这场比赛的方法是阿根廷以恰好 1 个进球的优势击败西班牙。

两支球队都处于相似的水平,但我认为尽管埃及表现更好的结果。对于澳大利亚来说,平局就足以获得参赛资格。如果西班牙赢了阿根廷,那就算输了。这就是为什么他们会像往常一样使用相同的计划:防守并让时间流逝。埃及将主宰这场比赛,这是赢得比赛的第一步。

在我看来,埃及应该可以至少不输球。

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