It's a late call from me, but odds on hosts raised too much and now I see excellent value on home side. In my opinion Colon not deserved to be favorite of this match up.

Huracan coming for this match with the strongest possible line up. On the other hand Colon is without important defender Paolo Goltz and key midfielder Rodrigo Aliendro.

So far only two rounds have been played, but Colon had a lot of luck in opening match on away against River Plate. They won 2:1 and they created only 2 big chances. River Plate had 17 shots more in that game and finished 74% ball possession. In last round 3 days ago Colon have been totally destroyed 1:4 at home by Lanus. Morale in team must be on very low level after such loss.

For me Huracan looks like more solid team, especially at the back. They played only once at home and they recorded 1:0 against Defensa. They allowed opposition to make only 5 shots. Really solid performance in defense.

H2H as well looks great for my bet. Huracan went unbeaten in last 4 matches in a row against Colon. They won last 3 home matches in a row against them and I simply don't see them as a underdog today. Odds moved in wrong direction in my opinion..