This is my the best bet for Monday! 哈尔姆斯vs瓦尔贝里
2021-07-19

Przem

外籍分析师

瑞超

07/20 01:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Halmstads have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

It's a Hallands Derby. Very important match for both sides. Halmstads should have good advantage because of home crowd - due to restrictions only up to 150 away supporters have allowance to entry into the ground.

Halmstads don't have any new important absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. On the other hand Varbergs today have 2 new important absences - key central midfielder Albin Winbo and key striker Robin Simovic are suspended. It's big blow for the team because both of them played in all Varbergs matches in current season so far. In addition to that, key central defender Jon Birkfeldt is still unavailable.

For me Halmstads is simply better team and they should finish the season well above Varbergs. Central defenders pair Johansson/Baffo is extremely solid, Halmstads have second-best defensive formation in whole league. They conceded only 2 goals in 5 home matches. They conceded only 1 goal in last 3 matches. Varbergs have the worst defensive formation in whole league - they conceded already 20 goals in 10 matches. They conceded 8 goals in last 3 away matches. They didn't kept clean sheet since April. Halmstads should be able to control middle zone today. Hosts had 55 accurate passes more per game than Varbergs. Halmstads central midfielder Al-Ammari is probably their best player in current season so far. Varbergs today without Albin Winbo will have big troubles to have advantage in possession. Varbergs is able to score a goals, but like I mentioned before - Halmstads defensive formation is on top level. If they were able to keep clean sheet against the best offensive formations like Hacken or Djugarden, why not today? On the other hand Halmstads top striker Marcus Antonsson (5 goals, 2 behind league top scorer Colak) he should have good chances to score against very poor Varbergs defensive formation.

Halmstads after league restart played against two teams from top6. They recorded draw twice, but they didn't played worse than their opponents. On away against Hammarby they had more shots, created more big chances to score and finished with higher expected goals scored number. At home against Djugarden as well they had higher expected goals scored number and according to many experts they deserved for penalty kick, but for some reason referee doesn't used the whistle. Halmstads are newcomers with ambition to finish in top half of the table and they are able to do it.

It's the second season in Allsvenskan for Varbergs and looks like that will be much tougher season. They are in relegation zone. After league restart they played at home against Kalmar (1:1). They had only 39% ball possession there, only 211 accurate passes with 69% success. In second match they lost on away against AIK and they were completely outplayed. AIK had 17 shots more. Varbergs looked horrible - only 148 accurate passes with only 58% success.

Halmstads is a stronger team with better players in squad and is in better form. That should be enough to grab a win against poor opponent in prestigious match up.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,霍尔姆斯塔兹在今天的比赛中有很好的机会拿下三分。

这是一场哈兰德德比。这场比赛对双方都很重要。由于主场球迷的限制,只有最多150名客场球迷可以进入球场。

哈姆斯塔德没有任何新的重要缺阵,所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮一样。另一方面,varberg今天又有两个重要的缺阵——关键中场阿尔宾·温博和关键前锋罗宾·西莫维奇停赛。这对球队来说是一个巨大的打击,因为他们俩都参加了varberg在本赛季到目前为止的所有比赛。除此之外,关键中后卫乔恩·伯克菲尔德仍然无法上场。

对我来说,哈姆斯塔兹是一支更好的球队,他们应该在赛季结束时远远超过varberg。中后卫组合约翰逊和巴佛非常稳固,哈姆斯塔斯的防守阵型在全联盟排名第二。他们在5场主场比赛中只丢了2球。他们在最近三场比赛中只丢了一球。varberg拥有全联盟最差的防守阵型——他们已经在10场比赛中丢了20个球。他们在最近3场客场比赛中丢了8球。自4月份以来,他们就没有保持过零失误。霍尔姆斯塔兹今天应该能控制中区。东道主每场比赛比varberg多出55次准确传球。哈尔姆斯塔德的中场阿马里可能是他们本赛季到目前为止最好的球员。今天没有了阿尔宾·温博,varberg在控球方面将会有很大的困难。varberg能够进球,但是就像我之前提到的,Halmstads的防守阵型是顶级的。如果他们能够对哈肯和朱加登这样的最佳进攻阵型保持零失球,为什么今天不能呢?另一方面,哈尔姆斯塔德的顶级前锋马库斯·安东松(5球,落后于联赛顶级射手科拉克2球),他应该有很好的机会在非常糟糕的varberg防守阵型中进球。

在联赛重新开始后,哈尔姆斯塔斯对阵了两支前六的球队。他们打了两场平局,但并没有比对手打得差。在客场对哈马比的比赛中,他们有更多的射门机会,创造了更多的进球机会,并取得了更高的进球数。在主场对阵朱加登的比赛中,他们的预期进球数也更高,许多专家认为他们应该罚点球,但出于某种原因,裁判没有使用哨子。哈尔姆斯塔德是新来者,他们有雄心在积分榜上半名,而且他们能够做到。

这是varberg在奥尔斯文斯坎的第二个赛季,看起来这个赛季会更加艰难。他们处于降级区。联赛重新开始后,他们在主场对战卡尔马(1:1)。他们只有39%的控球率,只有211次准确传球,69%的成功率。在第二场比赛中,他们在客场输给了AIK,完全被击败。AIK多打了17枪。varberg看起来很可怕——只有148次准确传球,只有58%成功。

哈姆斯塔兹是一支更强的球队,有更好的球员,状态也更好。这应该足以在有声望的比赛中赢得一场对弱对手的胜利。


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