Freshness will make a difference today? 球员状态决定一切?
2021-01-03

Przem

外籍分析师

英超

01/03 22:15

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Leicester have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

I believe Leicester have good advantage fitness wise - 8 of Newcastle players from today's line up played in last 2 full matches in a row, 4 of them played in last 3 full matches in a row. They might feel tired. In addition to that Newcastle without their captain and key central defender Lascelles (8 matches), important midfielder Fraser (7 matches), key midfielder Saint-Maxim (1 goal and 1 assist in 8 matches) and key central midfielder Hayden (12 matches) - he played in last 3 matches in a row and is suspended today. Leicester should be able to control middle zone without too many troubles, especially with Newcastle midfielders squad problems. Leicester average ball possession in current season 54.3%, Newcastle only 38%. On the other hand Leicester don't have any new important absences before today's match - all key players are available, including key central Fofana (11 matches) and offensive midfielder Maddison (3 goals and 2 assists in 14 matches) - both didn't played in last round. I believe Leicester manager Brendan Rogers dealt better with heavy schedule - from his today's line up only 4 players played 2 full matches in a row and many of his key players like Tielemans, Maddison or Vardy have much bigger freshness than Newcastle players. That should make a difference.

Newcastle looks poor since they came after covid problems - 5 matches without a win, 3 losses in the process. They have big problems with creativity - only one goal scored in last 4 matches. In last two matches expected goal scored number was below 0.80. In current season they have only 3.2 shots on target per game (17th in league). Their defense as well is poor - they conceded 9 goals in last 5 matches - 1.6 goals per game conceded in current season. They conceded at least one goal in 12 of 15 matches.

Leicester is in much better form - they won 4 of last 7 matches. They don't have any problems with goalscoring as they scored more than one goal in 5 of last 7 matches. Leicester defense as well have some solidity - they kept clean sheet 2 times in last 5 matches.

Leicester likes to play against Newcastle - they won 7 of last 9 Premier League matches against them. Leicester won last 4 matches in a row at this stadium, 3 times they kept clean sheet. In previous season match between both teams here finished with Leicester comfortable 3:0 win.

Newcastle manager Steve Bruce don't likes to play against Leicester - he never won home game against them as a manager (7 matches). On the other hand Leicester top striker Vardy scored 5 goals and made 1 assist in last 7 Premier League matches against Newcastle.

Leicester as well have much better record in first matches of new year - they are unbeaten in last 12 years in a row and they recorded 8 wins in the process. On the other hand Newcastle lost 6 of last 8 such a matches.

I trust for Leicester here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,莱斯特城在今天的比赛中有很好的机会得到3分。

我相信莱斯特在体能方面有很大的优势——今天阵容中的8名纽卡斯尔球员已经连续打了2场比赛,其中4人已经连续打了3场比赛。他们可能会感到疲劳。除此之外纽卡斯尔没有他们的队长和关键中后卫拉塞尔斯(8场比赛),重要的中场弗雷泽(7场),关键的中场Saint-Maxim(1目标和1协助8场比赛)和关键中场海登(12场)——他在连续3场比赛,今天暂停。莱斯特城应该能够没有太多麻烦的控制中场,特别是纽卡斯尔的中场阵容问题。本赛季莱斯特城的平均控球率为54.3%,纽卡斯尔只有38%。另一方面,在今天的比赛之前,莱斯特城并没有出现任何新的重要缺阵——所有关键球员都可以上场,包括核心中锋福法纳(11场比赛)和进攻中场麦迪森(14场比赛3球2助攻)——他们都没有参加上一轮的比赛。我相信莱斯特主教练布伦丹·罗杰斯在繁忙的日程安排中处理得更好——在他今天的阵容中,只有4名球员连续打了2场比赛,而他的许多关键球员,如蒂勒曼斯、麦迪森或瓦尔迪,都比纽卡斯尔的球员更有新鲜感。这应该会有所不同。

纽卡看起来很糟糕,因为他们受到了新冠肺炎的困扰——5场比赛没有赢,3场比赛输了。他们在创造力方面有很大的问题——近4场比赛只进了一个球。在最近的两场比赛中,预期进球数低于0.80。在本赛季,他们场均只有3.2次射正(联盟第17位)。他们的防守也很糟糕——他们在最近5场比赛中丢了9个球——本赛季场均丢1.6个球。他们在15场比赛中有12场至少丢了一个球。

莱斯特的状态要好得多——他们在最近的7场比赛中赢了4场。他们在进球方面没有任何问题,他们在过去7场比赛中有5场都进了一个以上的球。莱斯特的防守也很稳固——他们在最近5场比赛中有2场没有失球。

莱斯特喜欢对阵纽卡斯尔——他们在最近的9场英超比赛中赢了7场。莱斯特队在这个球场连胜四场,有三场没有失球。在上个赛季的比赛中,两队都以莱斯特城3:0轻松取胜。

纽卡斯尔主教练史蒂夫·布鲁斯不喜欢和莱斯特的比赛——他作为主教练从来没有赢过主场比赛(7场比赛)。另一方面,莱斯特的顶级前锋瓦尔迪在最近7场对阵纽卡斯尔的英超比赛中打进5球,助攻1次。

莱斯特城在新年的首场比赛中也有更好的表现——他们在过去的12年里保持不败,并且取得了8场胜利。另一方面,纽卡斯尔在过去8场这样的比赛中输了6场。

我相信莱斯特

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