FC Neftci Baku vs Dinamo Tbilisi

The first leg between Dinamo Tbilisi from Georgia and Neftci Baku from Azerbaijan was a pretty balanced one. Perhaps the Georgians were slightly better overall and today's hosts were a little lucky winning 2-1. The Georgians had 56% ball possession and thirteen scoring chances whereas Baku had six but they were effective making the most of their opportunities. However, the result Baku achieved in Georgia offers them a very good chance to qualify for the next round of UEFA Champions League qualification. As mentioned in my previous Champions League qualification previews home advantage is big in international football and the same is very much the case here too. Indeed, I expect the tables to turn meaning the hosts will keep the ball more than in the first leg in front of their loud home fans and to be aggressive offensively too as trying to secure a draw which would as such be enough for them to qualify is a very risky approach. During the very end they will of course just defend hard if they are not trailing. Let's remember what we have seen happen to England or example versus Italy in the final last Sunday in EURO 2020 final when they started the second half with an ultra passive strategy allowing Italy to dominate and equalize and eventually " take it (the trophy) to Rome". Spain also screwed up a comfortable-looking lead versus Croatia in the same tournament. They did qualify through extra thirty minutes the end but allowed Croatia to score two late goals after just trying to keep the hard-earned 3-1 lead. In my power ratings that reflect a team's overall class I rank Baku slightly higher than Dinamo Tbilisi and with the substantial home advantage they are 50% favorites to win today.

There are no known injuries or suspension concerns for either team. An interesting historical fact is that Neftchi Baku qualified for the 2012-13 Europa League and while I would be surprised them to see them do that well in Europe this time I do recommend my fans to bet on Baku -0.5 goals handicap at tasty odds! Lastly, let's take a very quick look at both teams latest matches: Baku have seven wins from their latest ten matches in all competitions and six victories from their last seven at home. Dinamo Tbilisi lost their match before last week's first leg 1-2 to Dinamo Batumi in their domestic league and despite being the favorites on the betting market they were the worse time in that encounter and deserved to lose. Today's hosts on the other hand beat a strong Russian team 2-1 in a friendly match on the 29th of June and played well indeed.

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格鲁吉亚第比利斯的迪纳摩和阿塞拜疆的Neftci Baku之间的第一回合相当平衡。也许格鲁吉亚队总体上稍微好一点，今天的东道主有一点幸运以2-1获胜。格鲁吉亚人有56%的控球率和13次得分机会，而巴库有6次，但他们有效地利用了他们的机会。然而，巴库在格鲁吉亚取得的成绩为他们提供了进入下一轮欧冠资格赛的很好的机会。正如我在之前的欧冠预选赛中提到的那样，在国际比赛中主场优势是很大的，在这里也是如此。的确,我希望把意义的表主机将球比第一回合在他们面前大声主场球迷和侵略性的进攻也试图获得一场平局也同样对他们不够资格是一个非常危险的方法。在比赛的最后，如果他们没有落后，他们当然会努力防守。让我们回想一下发生在英格兰身上的事情，或者以上周日在2020年欧洲杯决赛中对阵意大利为例，他们在下半场开始采用了极端被动的战术，让意大利占据优势，扳平比分，最终“把奖杯带到罗马”。在同届世界杯上，西班牙也输掉了看似领先的克罗地亚。在比赛结束后的30分钟，他们确实通过加时赛晋级，但在克罗地亚努力保持来之不易的3-1领先优势后，他们又让克罗地亚进了两球。在我的实力评分中，我把巴库的排名略高于第比利斯的迪纳摩。

两支球队都没有已知的伤病或禁赛问题。一个有趣的历史事实是，Neftchi Baku获得了2012-13年欧罗巴联赛的资格，虽然我对他们这次在欧洲的表现感到惊讶，但我建议我的球迷们赌巴库0.5个进球的差点。最后，让我们快速看一下两支球队的最新比赛:巴库在最近的10场比赛中取得了7场胜利，在最近的7场主场比赛中取得了6场胜利。第比利斯在上周的国内联赛第一回合以1-2输给了迪纳摩巴图米，尽管在博彩市场上他们是最受欢迎的球队，但他们在这场比赛中表现最差，应该输。另一方面，今天的东道主在6月29日的一场友谊赛中以2-1击败了一支强大俄罗斯球队，表现确实不错。