All right, we were betting against Italy last time out when they faced Belgium (Belgium 1X bet), and we lost. I was aiming the draw result at that game. However, my strategy failed. It's obvious how much Italians are united and harmonized on this Euro and seems no one will stop them from lifting the trophy.

The semifinal derby is a great European classic between Italy and Spain. Not only is it a duel between two big national teams, but it is the biggest rivalry of the European championships. This is not just a subjective opinion, but a statement supported by exact data. These are the two national teams that most often met in the entire history of the European championships, and most of those matches were played in modern times. This will be the seventh duel between Italy and Spain at the European Championships. The story of this Romanian-Mediterranean rivalry at the European championships began only in 1980 with the introduction of a new format of eight national teams in the final tournament. Interestingly, although these are geographically very close countries, and also countries that throughout history have been the protagonists of the finals of major competitions many times, until this duel in major tournaments they met only once, back in 1934 when the Italians kicked Spain out of the penalty area. quarterfinals of the World Cup and later won it.

However, on this Euro, the Italians left a better overall impression so far, since they conceded just one goal in regular time. Spain was allowing too much space to Croatia (3-3) and their previous game against Switzerland was very weird. Spaniards had total domination in the first half and were 1-0 up but they fail to convert their chances in the second half to double the lead. Even worse, body language is often poor for some of them- looking like some of the players are underestimating rivals visibly. That led to the equalizer for the Swiss team, 1-1 and Spain had to rely on their goalkeeper in the penalty lottery for the next phase. This cannot be tolerated against Italy and coach Enrique knows that. Italy looks simply wonderful with its good harmony, tight defense, and mobile attack. Simply unbeatable at the moment, and I feel they will win this Euro - for that, they will need a bit of luck of course, but they got everything else to be the number 1 favorites. Even injury of their left-back Spinazzola is not so big problem as they got very good replacements in every position on the field, and I repeat, this is about harmony and togetherness, on such competitions.

The game should be a tactical battle between two sides who know each other very well. Small details and nuances will decide, but I somehow have a strong feeling that Italy will reach the finals. Predicting 1-0 Italy to win. Regular stakes.

上次意大利对阵比利时时，我们选择了比利时。我预测那场比赛的结果可能是平局。然而，我的预测失败了。很明显，意大利人在欧洲杯中团结一致，似乎没有人会阻止他们举起奖杯。

半决赛德比是意大利和西班牙之间的一场伟大的欧洲经典比赛。这不仅是两大国家队之间的对决，更是欧洲杯最精彩的对决。这不仅仅是主观意见，而是有确切数据支持的陈述。这是整个欧洲杯历史上最常相遇的两支国家队，而且大部分比赛都是在近期进行的。这将是意大利和西班牙在欧洲锦标赛上的第七次对决。两队的较量始于 1980 年，当时在决赛中引入了八支国家队的新赛制比赛。有趣的是，虽然这些国家在地理上非常接近，而且历史上也曾多次成为重大赛事决赛的主角，但直到这次重大赛事的对决之前，他们只见过一次，早在 1934 年意大利人将西班牙踢出罚球区。世界杯八强，后来夺冠。

然而，在本次欧洲杯上，意大利人迄今为止给人留下了更好的整体印象，因为他们在常规时间内只丢了一个球。西班牙为克罗地亚（3-3）提供了太多空间，他们之前对阵瑞士的比赛非常奇怪。西班牙人在上半场占据绝对优势并以 1-0 领先，但他们未能在下半场转换机会将领先优势扩大一倍。更糟糕的是，他们中的一些人的肢体语言往往很糟糕——看起来有些球员明显低估了对手。这导致瑞士队扳平比分，1-1，西班牙不得不依靠点球晋级下一阶段。这对意大利是不能容忍的，教练恩里克知道这一点。意大利的和谐，严密的防守，移动的进攻，看起来简直太棒了。目前简直是无与伦比，我觉得他们会赢得这个欧洲杯——为此，他们当然需要一点运气，但他们有其他一切条件成为冠军。即使他们的左后卫斯皮纳佐拉受伤也不是什么大问题，因为他们在场上的每个位置都有很好的替补。在这样的比赛中，和谐与团结更加重要。

这场比赛应该是一场彼此非常了解的双方之间的战术较量。小细节和细微差别将决定赛果，但不知何故，我有一种强烈的感觉，意大利将进入决赛。预测 1-0 意大利获胜。

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