Excellent value in Brazil Serie A today
2021-07-02

Przem

外籍分析师

巴甲

07/02 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

It's a late call from me, but odds on guests raised up too much and now I see excellent value on them. In my opinion Ceara have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Both teams without any new important absences today so their line ups should look exactly the same like in previous round and that don't have any impact on the odds movements.

I believe we can see here big market overreaction for Bragantino last results. Of course, they won last 4 matches in a row, but as well they had a lot of luck and that wasn't fully deserved results. They shouldn't win on away against Flamengo. Flamengo had 2.73 expected goals scored, Bragantino only 1.03. They shouldn't win as well in last round Atletico. Atletico had 1.61 expected goals scored, Bragantino 0.90.

Ceara looks very solid in last week's. They didn't lost in 4 of last 5 matches, but even when they lost at home 1:2 against Bahia they had bigger number of expected goals scored. What is interesting and very underrated by bookies in odds - Ceara in last 5 matches in a row had bigger expected goals scored number than their opponents. Without any shadow of doubt they are in very good form.

Value is on away team.

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