Suns too strong tonight 快船VS太阳
2021-06-29

Tapio

外籍分析师

NBA

06/29 09:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Clippers vs Suns

Suns lead the series 3-1 and have definitely earned their lead. I believe they have a good chance of covering the -4.5 points handicap tonight. Clippers will for sure fight hard but they did look somewhat fatigued in the previous game which is a very bad sign for them as they would need three wins in a row. I wonder if they really believe they can do it.. Clippers would definitely need to be more efficient offensively to stand a true chance tonight. They shooting was simply abysmal in game 4. Tonight they will have to again try beat Bridges and Crowder who have been amazing in defense - a very difficult task. Most likely Clippers would need to score a high percentage of 3-pointers today which is always a change for the underdog to pull a surprise in basketball. Some fans and bettors seem to be worried about the fact that Suns have not been able to create enough open three-pointer chances recently but this happens in pro basketball and they have the tools to do better tonight. Clippers will be missing Serge Ibaka and Kahwi Leornard which will hurt too a lot, perhaps more than the betting market in general realizes. Quite frankly I believe probably missing these two key players will be too much for Clippers to overcome. Overall Suns seem to be stronger in every aspect of the game, perhaps expect for the only game the team from Los Angeles managed to win. Suns have been getting more pressure on the perimeter and often have cleaner and faster rotations than many other teams which will truly challenge Clippers today. It suspect they don't have the means to stop this in tonight's game 5.

The latest game between the teams was a very low-scoring for today's NBA but despite the relatively low tempo not favoring Suns they grabbed a 84-80 win. They will for sure try to force a faster tempo for tonight's game and certainly have the skills to do that. Suns head coach Monty Williams stated before the latest game that kick-ahead passes were a good tool to achieve this and it did work at the early stages of the game. This is something they will probably bring to today's game too. I also believe the Suns will again try create clear-cut advantage for Paul when attacking the visitor's I. Zubac. Indeed, this was a successful change the Suns made for last game. Talented Paul will likely improve his play for this game quite a lot as he just returned over practically missing 11 days because of Covid-19. The Sun's Booker was stunningly good in the first game and the hosts need him at his best for this one and I strongly believe he will deliver despite Beverley being able to mask him recently and the Clippers as team making life difficult for him. At his best Booker is an amazingly good at both play-making and shot-making, even a 90% of his best kind of performance would probably mean Suns are a lot bigger favorites than the odds suggest here.

I have written about a few key players on the analysis to offer interesting information for my fans but as already also mentioned the key rationale for the pick is that Suns are overall of better quality and more fresh physically and unless they are really off as a team tonight they will very likely win.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

太阳队在系列赛中以3-1领先,这无疑是他们赢得的领先。我相信他们今晚有很好的机会弥补-4.5分的不利。快船肯定会打得很努力,但他们在上一场比赛中看起来有点疲劳,这对他们来说是一个非常糟糕的迹象,因为他们需要三连胜。我怀疑他们是否真的相信自己能做这件事。快船肯定需要更有效率的进攻来赢得今晚真正的机会。他们在第四场的投篮简直糟透了。今晚他们将不得不再次尝试击败在防守上表现出色的布里奇斯和克劳德,这是一个非常困难的任务。今天的快船很有可能需要得到很高的三分球命中率,这对于处于劣势的对手来说总是一个改变,这样才能在篮球界制造一个惊喜。一些球迷和赌徒似乎担心太阳队最近不能创造足够的空位三分机会,但这在职业篮球中是常有的事,他们有工具今晚做得更好。快船将失去塞尔日·伊巴卡和卡维·莱纳德,这将带来很大的伤害,也许比博彩市场普遍意识到的还要严重。坦白地说,我相信失去这两名关键球员对快船来说太难了。太阳队似乎在比赛的各个方面都更强大,也许这是湖人队唯一一场赢球的比赛。太阳队在外线的压力更大,而且他们的轮换比其他球队更干净、更快,而这些球队也将在今天真正挑战快船。他们可能没有办法在今晚的第五场比赛中阻止这一切。

两队之间的最新一场比赛在今天的NBA中得分非常低,但尽管节奏相对较慢,太阳队还是以84-80获胜。他们肯定会在今晚的比赛中加快节奏,当然他们也有能力做到这一点。太阳队的主教练蒙提·威廉姆斯在最近的比赛之前说过,超前传球是实现这一目标的好工具,而且在比赛的早期阶段确实起作用。这也是他们可能会带到今天的游戏中去的内容。我也相信太阳会再次尝试为保罗创造明显的优势来攻击客队的祖巴克。确实,这是太阳在上一场比赛中做出的一个成功的改变。天才保罗可能会在这场比赛中提高很多,因为他刚刚因为Covid-19缺席了11天。太阳队的布克在第一场比赛中表现得非常出色,东道主需要他发挥出最佳状态,我坚信他会做到的,尽管贝弗利最近能把他蒙住,而快船也让他的日子不好过。在他最好的时候,布克在组织进攻和投中方面都非常出色,即使他90%的最佳表现也可能意味着太阳队比这里显示的可能性要大得多。

我已经做了大约几个关键球员在分析提供有趣的信息,我的粉丝也已经提到的关键理由的选择是太阳整体更好的质量和更新鲜的身体,除非他们真的今晚作为一个团队,他们将很有可能获胜。

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