Even, low-scoring, boring? 无聊的比赛?
2021-06-29

Jarkko

外籍分析师

欧预赛

06/30 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Sweden have played more or less similar style of football for the past 50 years, it has usually been the one or two individual players to make the difference in results and style. They have had Brolin, Henrik Larsson and Zlatan Ibrahimovic, in this team there are young stars Kulusevski and Isak.

So Sweden were defensive, somewhat lucky to win the group as their goal difference was 4-2 but according to underlying stats 4-6 would reflect the performances better. They were completely outplayed by Spain who wasted chances one after another, won a slow tempo game v Slovakia with a penalty goal after keeper’s mistake, and also had big chunks of luck vs Poland in the 3-2 win. Guess you have seen the chances Lewandowski missed in that game?

Sweden’s luck continues in the schedule, they have the easier path, but it is hard to see any success for them in the longer run as the luck can not accompany them forever.

Ukraine did not fully convince either, but class-wise they are the better team and can put up excellent performances, on the other hand on their bad day they can be really bad and this level of average performances is more balanced with the Swedes. This is a typical first goal wins - match and it may never come, which is why I would prefer a draw no bet - pick here.

For Ukraine it was enough to qualify to win one game and not to lose much in the other two, t was hardly a spectacular show but there is a lot more potential, and we are yet to see what Malinovsky, Zinchenko, Yarmolenko and co can do upfront! They can dribble, run, cross and especially shoot from a distance, which is skill which will be needed against the low-block Sweden who are likely to give up possession from the start.

Another key for this match is how does the Sweden keeper Robin Olsen succeed. So far in this competition he has been solid as a rock, but it is not what we always used to see, and shots outside the box have caused him a lot of troubles in Everton, and in fact he did play much for his club.

No major new worries at either camp, and hard to see dramatic changes in lineups, the media suggestions should be more or less correct as the one below.

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本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在过去的50年里,瑞典踢的足球风格或多或少类似,通常是一两个球员的个人决定了结果和风格的不同。他们有布洛林,亨里克·拉尔森和兹拉坦·伊布拉希莫维奇,在这支球队中还有年轻的新星库卢舍夫斯基和伊萨克。

所以瑞典防守很好,因为他们的净胜球是4-2,所以他们很幸运的赢得了小组的胜利,但是根据数据4-6可以更好地反映他们的表现。西班牙队一次又一次浪费机会,在慢节奏的比赛中凭借门将失误罚进一球战胜了斯洛伐克。在3-2战胜波兰的比赛中,西班牙队运气也不错。你也看到莱万多夫斯基在那场比赛中错失的机会了吧?

瑞典的运气继续在赛程中,他们有更容易的道路,但从长远来看,他们很难看到任何成功,因为运气不可能永远陪伴他们。

乌克兰也没有完全说服他们,但是从阶级上看,他们是一支更好的球队,可以做出出色的表现,另一方面,在他们糟糕的日子里,他们可以非常糟糕,这种平均水平和瑞典的表现更平衡。这是一个典型的第一个进球就赢的比赛,它可能永远不会来,这就是为什么我宁愿在这里平局没有下注选择。

对于乌克兰来说,这已经足够他们在预选赛中赢得一场比赛,而在另外两场比赛中也没有输太多。这算不上一场精彩的表演,但他们还有很多潜力,我们还需要看看马林诺夫斯基、津琴科、雅莫连科和科在前面能做什么!他们可以运球、跑动、传中,特别是远距离射门,这是对低盖帽的瑞典所需要的技能,瑞典很可能从一开始就放弃控球权。

这场比赛的另一个关键是瑞典门将罗宾·奥尔森如何成功。到目前为止,在这场比赛中他像一块石头一样稳固,但这不是我们过去所看到的,禁区外的射门给他在埃弗顿带来了很多麻烦,事实上他为俱乐部踢了很多球。

两大阵营都没有新的重大担忧,而且很难看到阵容的戏剧性变化,媒体的建议应该或多或少是正确的,如下所示。

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