I don’t know the reason to see England as a favorite here.

I think that England is a very overrated team. Bookmakers put them as one of the main title contenders along with France for this EURO, but their performances have been awful so far. Weren’t able to break the Scotland defence (0-0) and managed to win by minimum difference (1-0) against Croatia and Czech Republic.

But England has been so weak in attack, they have been the third team with less shots on target (22), just above Hungary and Finland. Also they are the team who managed to qualify to ⅛ finals with less goals scored (just 2). Harry Kane looks totally out of form and England looks harmless.

This team always fails in the big meetings, players don't look ready for those matches. Remember the World Cup in 2018, where they had to qualify in penalties in all the big/difficult games (Colombia in ⅛ finals) or even lost against a weak side like Croatia in ½ finals.

On the other hand, Germany managed to qualify, suffering a lot against Hungary. Is true that they aren’t at their best level either, but still are a very competitive team (as always). They have a great mentality and this will be very important in a tight game like this one.

Played well against France (even dominated them) and totally outplayed Portugal (won 2-4). I think that the match against Hungary was just an accident, but I still see them with enough confidence and quality to qualify to ¼ finals.

Germany has much more experience in these matches, they will manage much better this match where England will be under pressure and nerves. In terms of form, both sides are far from their best level and for me both squads are very similar so I’m expecting a very equal game here.

For me this is a 50-50 game, so undoubtedly the correct bet is the double chance in my opinion. Germany has enough weapons to achieve at least a draw in the regular time, while England hasn’t shown anything to deserve to be favorite.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

我认为英格兰是一支被高估了的球队。博彩公司将他们列为与法国队一起争夺欧洲杯冠军的主要竞争者，但到目前为止，他们的表现一直很糟糕。没能突破苏格兰的防线(0-0)，以最小的差距(1-0)战胜克罗地亚和捷克。

但是英格兰队的进攻实在是太弱了，他们成为了世界上射正次数最少的第三支球队(22次)，仅次于匈牙利和芬兰。他们也是那支以更少的进球(只有2个)进入总决赛的球队。哈里·凯恩看起来状态完全不佳。

这支球队在重大比赛中总是失败，队员们看起来还没有准备好参加这些比赛。还记得2018年世界杯吗?他们必须在所有重大/困难的比赛中都进入点球决赛区(像哥伦比亚这样的决赛)，甚至在二分之一的决赛中输给了像克罗地亚这样的弱队。

另一方面，德国在与匈牙利队的比赛中遭遇重创，成功晋级。确实，他们也没有处于最佳水平，但仍然是一支非常有竞争力的球队(一如既往)。他们有很好的心态，在这样一场势均力敌的比赛中这将是非常重要的。

在与法国队的比赛中表现出色(甚至控制了他们)，并完全击败了葡萄牙队(2-4胜)。我认为对匈牙利的比赛只是一个意外，但我仍然认为他们有足够的信心和实力进入1 / 4决赛。

德国队在这些比赛中有更多的经验，他们将在英格兰面临压力和紧张的比赛中管理得更好。在状态方面，两支球队都远远没有达到他们的最佳水平，对我来说，两支球队都非常相似，所以我期待一场非常平等的比赛。

对我来说，这是一场对半对半的博弈，所以毫无疑问，在我看来，正确的赌注是双倍的机会。德国队有足够的武器在常规赛中至少打平，而英格兰队还没有表现出任何值得被看好的东西。

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