Will 2018 vice champion be eliminated?
2021-06-22

Daniel

外籍分析师

欧预赛

06/23 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Scotland made a good game against Czech Republic, but Patrick Schick is in an incredible moment and destroyed them. In that game Scotland was doing a good game, created many chances, but then that "Puskas" goal of Schick closed the game. Against England they made a very good game defensively and did not concede any clear chance of goal to England and in my opinion the best chance of the game was from Scotland. They impressed me as I wasn't expecting them to play like how they played on those 2 last games, but for this game against Croatia the approach to the game needs to be different, as with the draw they will be eliminated. So we will have 2 teams playing for the win and whoever wins this game in my opinion will get qualified as 4 points will be enough to be on the top of the 3rd places. They are a good team defensively and trying to explore the counters, but for this game Scotland won't play like that as if they do that Croatia will do the same for them to start taking more risks. I cannot see Scotland playing a different game from what they are used to and they will feel tremendous difficulties to stop Croatia. They have a very important miss, Billy Gilmour that tested positive to Covid-19 and so is expected that Jack Hendry will return to the XI and so Scott McTominay will return to midfield.

Probable line-up: Marshall; Hendry - Hanley - Tierney - O'Donnell - Robertson; McTominay - McGregor - McGinn; Dykes and Adams.

Croatia started bad in my opinion against a weak England, but in my opinion that game should have ended in 0-0 as both teams were really poor. We are talking about the team that lost in the final in the last World Cup 2018 against France. They are not the same team as they were there as they don't have Mario Mandzukic, Rebic not in the same shape as he was, Modric is not as good as 3 years ago, but anyway they are Croatia and deserve a lot of respect. They are so much better collectively and individually than Scotland without doubt. Borna Barisic is in doubt for this game, but I still think that they won't miss him and will destroy Scotland. The must win is really big for both teams as both will need to win if they want to get qualified, but the pressure is bigger on Croatia as they were in the final of 2018. They improved a bit on the 2nd game against Czech Republic but created few chances for a team that wanted to win the game. I feel like Croatia were letting go the games and now the pressure increased and now the margin of error is nil. They still have amazing players like Kovacic (European champion), Modric (Ballon d'or 2018 winner), Perisic, Rebic, Kramaric... I cannot see Croatia getting eliminated by this Scotland and I am really sure that they will win this.

Probable line-up: Livakovic; Vrsaljko - Vida - Caleta-Car - Gvardiol; Kovacic - Modric - Rebic - Perisic; Kramaric and Petkovic.

I am highly confident for this bet as the difference is really big between both teams.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

苏格兰在对阵捷克的比赛中表现出色,但帕特里克·希克的表现令人难以置信,他摧毁了他们。在那场比赛中,苏格兰表现不错,创造了很多机会,但随后舒适的“普斯卡什”进球结束了比赛。对阵英格兰时,他们的防守做得很好,没有给英格兰任何明显的进球机会。在我看来,比赛最好的机会来自苏格兰。他们给我留下了深刻的印象,因为我没有料到他们会像上两场比赛那样踢球,但这场对阵克罗地亚的比赛需要有所不同,因为平局会让他们被淘汰。所以我们将有两支队伍争夺胜利,在我看来,谁赢了这场比赛谁就能获得资格,因为4分将足以进入第三名。他们在防守上是一支优秀的球队,他们试图探索反击,但在这场比赛中,苏格兰不会像他们那样打,克罗地亚也会这样做,让他们开始冒更多的风险。我不认为苏格兰的比赛会和他们以往的比赛有什么不同,要想阻止克罗地亚,他们会感到非常困难。他们有一个非常重要的失误,比利·吉尔摩的Covid-19检测呈阳性,预计杰克·亨德利将回归十一队,斯科特·麦克托米奈将回归中场。

在我看来,克罗地亚开局不好,对阵虚弱的英格兰,但在我看来,那场比赛应该以0-0结束,因为两支球队都很糟糕。我们谈论的是2018年世界杯决赛中输给法国的那支球队。他们已经不是当年的那支球队了,因为他们没有了曼祖基奇,雷比奇的状态也不如三年前了,莫德里奇也不如三年前了,但无论如何,他们是克罗地亚,值得我们尊重。毫无疑问,他们在集体和个人方面都比苏格兰强得多。博尔纳·巴里斯奇在本场比赛中能否出场仍有疑问,但我仍然认为他们不会想念他,并且会摧毁苏格兰。对于两支球队来说,胜利是非常重要的,因为如果他们想进入决赛,他们都需要胜利,但是克罗地亚的压力更大,因为他们在2018年的决赛中。他们在第二场对捷克的比赛中有所进步,但却没有为想要赢得比赛的球队创造多少机会。我觉得克罗地亚放弃了比赛,现在压力增加了,现在错误的幅度为零。他们仍然有像科瓦奇(欧洲冠军),莫德里奇(2018年金球奖得主),佩里西奇,雷比奇,克拉马里奇……我不认为克罗地亚会被苏格兰淘汰,我确信他们会赢的。

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