The flight is finished? 芬兰VS比利时
2021-06-21

Jarkko

外籍分析师

欧预赛

06/22 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

平局足以让比利时赢得小组赛并让芬兰获得资格,但平局将是一个巨大的惊喜!

芬兰 在 2007 年对比利时的比赛中获得了他们的绰号,当时在赫尔辛基奥林匹克体育场的主场,当地的猫头鹰“Bubi”飞过球员打断了比赛一段时间,然后平静地坐在比赛场地上。横杆很长一段时间。

然而最近芬兰的表演并没有飞起来。他们在过去的 8 场比赛中赢了 1 场,这是一场戏剧性的丹麦比赛,埃里克森的所有事故都毁了丹麦队的表现,而芬兰队却只进行了一次正确的进攻和射门。事实是,芬兰是这届欧洲 2020 年最弱的球队,无论他们多么讨人喜欢,球员素质都不够好。您也可以从他们的俱乐部状态和上场时间轻松看出这一点,只有少数球员来自顶级球队,并且处于最佳状态。最大的明星蒂姆·普基从伤病归来后一直是自己的影子,他缺乏比赛健康,只有同胞前锋乔尔·波扬帕洛的才华让芬兰队看到了一丝希望。 HJK 后卫 O'Shaughnessy 以某种方式幸存至今,但他的表现远远超出了他的正常水平,Veikkausliiga 的比赛并没有准备好遇到像 Lukaku、Benteke 这样的球员!

对阵俄罗斯芬兰队虽然没有完全被击败,但仍然是明显的弱队,而俄罗斯队在第一轮就被比利时队淘汰了。俄罗斯的久巴给芬兰带来了巨大的麻烦。

比利时也遭遇了对阵精神振奋、表现出色的丹麦,但被换下的德布劳内迅速扭转了局面。

所以比利时如果愿意可以轮换,但对芬兰来说坏消息是伊登·阿扎尔和德布劳内在恢复期后需要更多的上场时间,例如顶级前锋卢卡库曾表示他想帮助丹麦度过难关,他是芬兰的密友埃里克森!


Thorgan Hazard 和 Dries Mertens 是最有可能休息的球员。让 Chadli 和 Jeremy Doku 加入对芬兰的事业没有帮助,年轻的 Doku 是一位出色的 1v1 球员! Tielemans 或 Dendocker 也将为 Axel Witsel 腾出空间。


比利时的胜率几乎是 80%,0-3 或者是我能想到的最接近的结果。


A draw would be enough for Belgium to win the group and for Finland to qualify, but a draw would be a huge surprise in my papers!

Finland - the Eagle owls - got their nick name from a match against Belgium back in 2007, at home in Helsinki Olympic stadion when the resident owl “Bubi” interrupted the game for some time by flying over the players, and then sitting calmly on the cross-bar for a longish time.



However recently the Finland performances have not been flying. They have won 1 of their last 8 games, and it was the dramatic Denmark-game with all the Eriksen accident ruining the Danish performance, yet Finland managed to make only one proper attack and shot on goal. The fact is that Finland are the weakest team in this Euro2020, no matter how likable they are the player material quality just is not good enough. You can see it easily also from their club status and played minutes, only a few players come from top teams, and in top form. The biggest star Teemu Pukki was been a shadow of himself since returning from injury and he lacks match fitness, and only the brilliance of fellow striker Joel Pohjanpalo has given Finland a glimpse of hope. The HJK defender O’Shaughnessy has somehow survived so far but he is playing way beyond his normal level, the Veikkausliiga matches do not prepare to meet players like Lukaku, Benteke and company!

Against Russia Finland were not completely outplayed but were still clearly the weaker team, and that Russia team got destroyed by Belgium on the first round. Russia’s Dzyuba caused Finland huge problems.

Belgium were also in troubles v Denmark who had high spirits and gave a brilliant performance, but the substituted De Bruyne turned the match quickly upside down.

So Belgium could rotate if they want to, but the bad news for Finland is that Eden Hazard and De Bruyne need more minutes after recovery period, and for example top striker Lukaku has said he wants to help Denmark through, he is a close friend of Eriksen!

Thorgan Hazard is likeliest rested player along with Dries Mertens. Getting Chadli and Jeremy Doku in instead would not help Finland´ s cause, young Doku is a superb 1v1 player! Also Tielemans or Dendocker will give room for Axel Witsel.

Belgium to win % is almost 80%, and a 0-3 or is the closest result I can think of.

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