In my opinion Wales have very good chances to avoid big loss in today's match up. +1 AH looks like very good bet here. Odds on this option slashed down by 0.20 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with that trend. I expect even bigger drops prior to the kick off.

It's a fight for the first place at the end of the group stage. Wales have clear motivation to win here because if they finish at first place next game they will play in England at Wembley, Gareth Bale said: ''"I think for the Welsh fans to be able to come and watch us is definitely something we would love to see.''

Italy today will rotate squad little bit, manager Mancini decided to give a chance for some second-choice players. Obviously, they are good class players, but we should some kind of drop in quality. Italy looked impressive in first matches, but like I said - it's not the same line up today. Only twice in history of Euro matches Italy scored more than 2 goals in one match. They kept clean sheet in last 10 matches in a row, but every streak have to finish at one stage. I believe Wales have all tools to score a goal today.

Wales coming to this game with the strongest possible line up, with their top stars like Bale or Ramsey in red-hot form. In last match Wales produced high quality performance against Turkey, especially upfront - they had 3.71 expected goals scored. If they continue to play on that level, they should be able to score today.

Draw is good result for Italy here and I don't see easy game for them against dangerous Wales.

在我看来，威尔士有很好的机会在今天的比赛中避免惨败。让球平+让球负看起来是非常好的选择。指数从开始到目前下降了 0.20，我完全同意这一趋势。我预计在开球前会有更大的跌幅。

这是小组赛结束时的第一名争夺战。威尔士有明确的动力在这里获胜，因为如果他们在下一场比赛中获得第一名，他们将在英格兰的温布利球场比赛，加雷斯·贝尔说：“我认为威尔士球迷能够来观看我们绝对是我们会做的事情喜欢看。''

意大利今天将轮换阵容，主教练曼奇尼决定给一些第二选择的球员机会。显然，他们是优秀的职业球员，但我们应该在质量上有所下降。意大利在首场比赛中看起来令人印象深刻，但就像我说的——今天的阵容不同了。意大利欧战历史上仅有两次进球超过2球在一场比赛中。他们连续 10 场比赛保持零封，但每场连胜都必须在一个阶段结束。我相信威尔士拥有今天进球的所有工具。

威尔士以最强大的阵容参加这场比赛，他们的顶级球星如贝尔或拉姆齐都处于炙手可热的状态。在上一场比赛中，威尔士在对阵土耳其的比赛中表现出色，尤其是前场——他们的预期进球数为 3.71。如果他们继续在那个水平上比赛，他们今天应该能够得分。

平局对意大利来说是个好结果，我认为他们对阵危险的威尔士并不容易。