Viborg VS Randers FC
Viborg host Randers in this Danish Superliga round 17 clash at Energi Viborg Arena Saturday evening Beijing time. The level of this league is above average by European standards. A game of slightly better than average quality by this league's standard's is on the cards here. Most importantly, we have a lucrative betting opportunity to extend the fine run of last 5/6 picks won betting on this league. Viborg have not been able to defeat Randers in any of the last three competitive games between the two teams. These teams last locked horns in July and Randers took a fine 3-1 home win. They allowed Viborg just two two shots on goal. Randers were better than Viborg last season already, but both teams played in the Relegation Group at the end of the season. Randers, however, have improved a lot for this season. Indeed, they are currently as high as in 4th place. They have a fine score difference of 29:18. The 29 goals scored is, together with FC Copenhagen, the current leaders and Aarhus (3rd place) the second-highest number of goals scored in the Superliga. Randers have grabbed 27 points, just three less than the biggest team in Denmark, FC Copenhagen. They are also above two much bigger teams, Brondby and Nordsjaelland, in the standings. The bookies should respect them much more. Viborg are nothing special as a team, they are in 8th place with 21 points to their account. I do not see them having potential for much improvement.. They cannot match Randers in any area of the game, Even with the mediocre home advantage, Randers deserve to be the favourites here. The bookies disagree, offering Viborg odds of only around 2.45 to win. Randers +0.5 is the obvious smart bet here. They play much better as a team than the list of players would suggest. I also trust their coach a lot in terms of both tactical skills and as a leader.
Randers have lost only one of their last seven games! In their most recent match they were excellent, dominating Vejle at home. They won "only" 2-0 but the expected goals (xG) were 4.78-0.32 in their favour. Vejle managed just one shot on goal. Before this they lost to Silkeborg 0-1 on the road. However, Randers had two more goal attempts and also generated more in xG – 1.74-1.44 to be precise. In rounds 12-14 Randers took three fine consecutive wins! In round 4-1 they crushed Sonderjyske 4-1 away from home, generating 3.11 in xG. Before this they were extremely good, trashing Nordsjaelland 4-0 at home – as clear underdogs on the betting market! They recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal and shots off target. The visitors generated only 0.43 in xG. Viborg have won one of their last three games. In their most recent match they played a goalless draw on the road, against Aalborg. Aalborg played below their normal level in this game though. Silkeborg were priced around 2.20 to win and did record two more shots on goal. Before this Viborg beat Midtjylland 1-0 at home but the visitors generated marginally more in xG – 1.76-1.69. Either team could have won the game. On the 3rd of last month, Viborg were poor, despite losing only 1-2 to Nordsjaelland on the road. The xG numbers were 2.93-0.37 in the hosts' favour!
维堡VS兰德斯FC
北京时间周六晚,丹麦超级联赛第17轮将在维堡主场迎战兰德斯。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平高于平均水平。以联盟的标准来看,一场比平均水平稍好一点的比赛是可能的。最重要的是,我们有一个有利可图的投注机会,可以延长过去5/6次选秀获胜的良好势头。维堡在两队之间的最近三场比赛中都没能击败兰德斯。这两支球队上一次交锋是在7月,兰德斯在主场3-1大胜。他们只给了维堡两次射门机会。兰德斯上赛季已经比维堡强了,但两支球队在赛季结束时都在保级组。然而,兰德斯本赛季进步很大。事实上,他们目前的排名高达第四位。他们的分数差是29:18。这29个进球,与目前排名第一的哥本哈根足球俱乐部和排名第三的奥胡斯足球俱乐部一起,是英超射手榜上第二高的进球。兰德斯拿到了27分,只比丹麦最大的球队哥本哈根少3分。在积分榜上,他们也超过了两支更大的球队,布隆德比和北荷兰。博彩公司应该更尊重他们。维堡作为一支球队并没有什么特别之处,他们以21分排在第8位。我看不出他们有很大的改进潜力。他们在比赛的任何方面都无法与兰德斯匹敌,即使主场优势一般,兰德斯也应该成为这里的热门。博彩公司不同意这种说法,他们给出的维博格获胜的赔率只有2.45左右。兰德+0.5显然是明智的选择。他们作为一个团队比球员名单上显示的要好得多。我也非常信任他们的教练,无论是战术技巧还是领导能力。
兰德斯在过去的七场比赛中只输了一场!在最近的一场比赛中,他们表现出色,在主场控制了韦耶勒。他们“只”赢了2-0,但预期进球(xG)是4.78-0.32,对他们有利。韦勒只射正了一脚。在此之前,他们客场0-1输给了锡尔克堡。然而,兰德斯有两个进球尝试,并且在xG(1.74-1.44)也有更多的进球。在第12-14轮,兰德斯连续赢了三场!在第4-1轮比赛中,他们在客场以4-1大胜桑德兰斯克,全场进球3.11。在此之前,他们的表现非常出色,在主场4-0击败了北荷兰队——在博彩市场上,他们显然处于劣势!他们记录了更多的进球尝试、射正和射偏。访问者在xG中仅生成0.43。维堡在最近三场比赛中赢了一场。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们在客场0比0战平奥尔堡。Aalborg在这个游戏中扮演了低于正常水平。希尔克堡的胜率在2.20美元左右,而且他们又射正了两球。在此之前,维堡主场1-0击败了米特耶兰,但客队在xG - 1.76-1.69的比赛中创造了更多的进球。任何一个队都有可能赢得这场比赛。上个月3日,维堡表现不佳,尽管客场只1-2输给了北荷兰。xG的数字是2.93比0.37,对东道主有利!