下注 -1.5 的让分有点冒险，但我相信我们应该在这里获胜。

匈牙利在对阵葡萄牙的比赛中表现不错，但不知何故0-3不敌，在比赛最后6分钟丢球。他们打了一场非常防守的比赛，只有 35% 的控球率。这个结果肯定会影响匈牙利球员的积极性，因为在一场精彩的比赛后，他们丢了 3 个球，几乎失去了晋级 ⅛ 决赛的所有机会（这是由于他们在小组中的对手而在意料之中的。

我们必须记住，正如我之前的选秀所说：他们最好的球员索博斯莱受伤了，将缺席比赛，所以他们唯一的顶级球员是守门员古拉西和欧尔班（都来自莱比锡RB）。其余的都是非常弱的球员。

他们的资格赛阶段非常幸运，他们在小组赛中排名第 4（8 场比赛仅进 8 球），但在对阵保加利亚（1-3）和冰岛（2-1）的季后赛中，他们在 88'和 92'，最后一个是 Szoboszlai 惊人的个人表现。

另一方面，法国队在首轮展示了为什么他们是夺冠的主要候选人。他们现在是欧洲（也许是世界上）最好的国家队。姆巴佩、本泽马和格列兹曼的出色进攻，最佳状态，非常稳固的防守和出色的中场，无论是防守阶段还是进攻阶段。

在上一场对阵德国的比赛中进球无效后，本泽马将在一段时间后渴望与法国队的第一个进球。

我们还必须记住，这支国家队并不只是现在强大。这支球队赢得了 2018 年的世界杯冠军，并在 2016 年的欧洲杯上打进了决赛。

为了获得下一轮的参赛资格，他们知道他们需要战胜匈牙利，因为下一轮对阵葡萄牙会很艰难。此外，由于葡萄牙队对阵匈牙利（0-3）的结果，他们需要尽可能多地进球，以达到更好的平均进球数。

这里的主要问题将是我们是否看到一个懒惰的法国人与 0-1 保持一致。尽管拥有主场优势（满是匈牙利球迷的体育场），法国仍比匈牙利高出几步。法国队以 100% 的状态踢球，我们应该至少看到 2-3 个进球的差距。如果匈牙利停放公共汽车（就像他们会做的那样），这将是法国的礼物，法国的进攻充满了选择和质量，可以找到防守中的漏洞。

根据我在第一轮看到的情况和我的分析，法国是欧洲最好的球队，应该能够轻松战胜最弱的球队之一。

It’s a bit risky to bet on a -1.5 handicap but I believe that we should win here.

Hungary made a good performance against Portugal, but somehow lost 3-0, conceding all goals in the last 6 minutes of the game. They made a very defensive game, with just 35% possession. That result for sure affected to hungarian players' motivation, because after a good game they conceded 3 goals and lost almost all chances to qualify for ⅛ finals (something expected due to their rivals in the group.

We must remember, as said in my previous pick: Their best player Szoboszlai is injured and will miss the tournament, so their only top players are the goalkeeper Gulacsi and CB Orban (both from RB Leipzig). The rest are very weak players.

Their qualification stage was pretty lucky, as they ended 4rd in their group (scoring just 8 goals in 8 games) but managed to win in the playoffs against Bulgaria (1-3) and Iceland (2-1) scoring both goals at 88’ and 92’, the last one an amazing individual performance by Szoboszlai.

On the other hand, France showed in the first round why they are the main candidates to win the title. They are the best national team in Europe (and maybe in the World) right now. An amazing attack with Mbappe, Benzema and Griezmann and at best form, a very solid defence and a great midfielder for the defensive stages and also for attacking.

Benzema will be hungry looking for their first goal with France after a while after the goal disallowed in the previous one against Germany.

We must remember also that this national team isn't strong only now. This squad won the World Cup in 2018 and played the final in the EURO 2016.

To qualify for the next round they know that they need to win against Hungary because the next round against Portugal will be hard. Furthermore, due to the result of the portugese side against Hungary (0-3) they need to score as more goals as possible to achieve a better goal average.

Main problem here will be if we see a lazy France conformist with the 0-1. In spite of the home advantage (stadium full of hungarian fans), France is several steps above Hungary. With french team playing at 100%, we should see at least 2-3 goals difference. If Hungary parks the bus (as they will do), it will be a gift for France who has an attack full of alternatives and quality to find gaps in the defences.

According to what I saw in the first round and my tournament analysis, France is the best team in the EURO and should be able to win easily against one of the weakest sides.