Club Tijuana VS Cruz Azul
Club Tijuana and Cruz Azul lock horns in this Liga MX Apertura Playoffs first leg clash at Estadio Caliente in Tijuana early Thursday morning Beijing time. This the first tier of Mexican football. The level of this league is somewhat high by global standards.. A game of good quality by this league's standard's is on the cards here! Most importantly, us serious, profit-hungry bettors have yet another very interesting betting opportunity here! We have won 13/18 last picks betting on this league! Yes, Cruz Azul are the better team in terms of pure class here. They topped the standings after the regular season. They scored 39 goals and allowed 12 – and took 42 points. However, they were lucky in terms of expected goals (xG), expected goals allowed (xGA) and - most importantly - expected points (xPTS). They have been - and still are - too "hot" on the betting market and a professional bettor will, of course, oppose them here! Club Tijuana, on the other hand, performed pretty well – better than I would have expected before the season started - finishing in 7th place in the standings. They took a pretty good 29 points. I can see them improving even further as there are some players in the squad who have not performed at peak level so far this season.. The second leg will away from home will be a tough one so Tijuana probably need to win the first leg to have a good chance of eliminating Cruz Azul.. I want to highlight that at home Tijuana have been very strong, losing just one of the nine regular season home games! Moreover, they won 6/9 these games in front of their loud fans! Tijuana usually play pretty active football at home - with high confidence! Taking the substantial home advantage into account the odds of around 2.15 on the away win - offered by the bookmakers – are too low.. We will side with the hosts +0.5 goals handicap! As this is the first leg – and the stakes are high - I expect a pretty cautious - and more low-scoring game than the bookies do.. I see Cruz Azul being pretty happy with a draw - relying on home advantage in the second leg..
Let's keep in mind that Club Tijuana have lost just one of their last 10 games in the 90 minutes of play. Indeed, about a week ago they lost to one of the biggest teams in Mexico, Club America, 2-3 after penalties at home. Club America, despite being unable to meet expectations this season, were priced around 2.25 to win in the 90 minutes of play.. However, Club Tijuana had one more shot on goal – both teams generated 0.85 in xG. In their last game they were impressive, crushing Atlas 3-0 at home! This was surely a big boost to their confidence ahead of the two big games against Cruz Azul.. Tijuana recorded many more goal attempts (22-12) and shots on goal 8-2! They also had three more corner kicks. The xG numbers were 2.66-0.68. On the 11th of this month this Tijuana beat Puebla only 2-1 at home but recorded a whopping 28 goal attempts – allowing the visitors only five. Moreover, Tijuana recorded 11 shots on goal – nine more than Puebla! The xG numbers were 2.04-0.72. In round 16, some three weeks ago, Tijuana were the better team against Juarez on the road, recording many more goal attempts as well as shots on and off goal. The xG numbers were 2.04-1.63 in Tijuana's favour.
No, Cruz Azul have not lost a game for over two months but have had some luck on their side - to avoid defeat - in quite a few games recently.. Two of their last matches were draws and they seem to be in slight decline.. In their last game they were priced around 1.80 to beat U.N.A.L Tigres at home but it was a 1-1 draw.. Cruz Azul recorded just two more shots on goal and only 0.45 more in xG than the visitors.. It was a mediocre performance as a whole.. Before this Cruz Azul were clear favourites on the betting market to beat Atlas but could not do so.. It was a 2-2 draw and Atlas recorded two more goal attempts. The xG numbers were somewhat balanced - 1.01-1.18 to be precise..
GOOD LUCK!
蒂华纳俱乐部VS蓝色克鲁兹队
北京时间周四凌晨,蒂华纳俱乐部和蓝色克鲁兹队将在西甲联赛季后赛首回合的比赛中在蒂华纳的卡连特球场交锋。这是墨西哥足球的第一梯队。以全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平有点高。一场符合联盟标准的高质量比赛即将上演!最重要的是,我们这些认真的、渴望利润的赌徒在这里又有了一个非常有趣的投注机会!我们赌这个联赛赢了13/18 !是的,就纯粹的阶级而言,克鲁兹是更好的球队。他们在常规赛结束后排名第一。他们进了39球,失了12球,得到了42分。然而,他们在预期进球(xG)、预期允许进球(xGA)和最重要的预期得分(xPTS)方面是幸运的。他们已经-并且仍然-太“热”的投注市场和专业投注者,当然,反对他们在这里!另一方面,蒂华纳俱乐部表现得相当好——比我在赛季开始前预期的要好——在积分榜上排名第七。他们拿走了29分。我能看到他们的进步,因为球队中有一些球员本赛季到目前为止还没有达到巅峰水平。第二回合将在客场进行,这将是一场艰难的比赛,所以蒂华纳可能需要赢得第一回合才能有很好的机会淘汰蓝色克鲁兹。我想强调的是,在主场,蒂华纳一直非常强大,只输掉了九场常规赛主场比赛中的一场!此外,他们在球迷的欢呼声中赢了6/9 !蒂华纳通常在主场踢得很活跃,而且信心十足!考虑到主场的巨大优势,博彩公司开出的客场胜率约为2.15,这实在太低了。我们将支持东道主+0.5个进球的劣势!因为这是第一回合——而且赌注很高——我希望比赛会相当谨慎——比博彩公司预测的比分更低。我看到蓝色克鲁兹队对平局很满意——依靠第二回合的主场优势。
让我们记住,蒂华纳俱乐部在过去的10场比赛中,在90分钟的比赛中只输了一场。事实上,大约一周前,他们在主场点球后以2比3输给了墨西哥最大的球队之一美洲俱乐部。尽管本赛季美洲俱乐部未能达到预期,但在90分钟的比赛中获胜的价格约为2.25美元。然而,蒂华纳俱乐部(Club Tijuana)有一次射门,两支球队的射门得分均为0.85。在上一场比赛中,他们令人印象深刻,在主场3-0击败了阿特拉斯!这无疑对他们的信心起到了很大的推动作用,因为他们要面对两场重要的比赛。蒂华纳有更多的进球尝试(22-12)和射门(8-2)!他们还有三次角球。xG值为2.66 ~ 0.68。本月11日,蒂华纳主场仅以2-1击败普埃布拉,但他们的进球次数高达28次,只给客队5次机会。此外,蒂华纳有11次射门,比普埃布拉多9次!xG值为2.04 ~ 0.72。在大约三周前的第16轮比赛中,蒂华纳在客场对阵华雷斯的比赛中表现得更好,他们的进球次数和射门次数都比华雷斯多。xG的数字为2.04-1.63,对蒂华纳有利。
不,克鲁兹已经两个多月没有输过一场比赛了,但最近的几场比赛他们运气不错,避免了失败。他们最近的两场比赛都是平局,他们似乎在略有下降。在上一场主场击败美国老虎队的比赛中,他们的定价在1.80左右,但结果是1-1平局。克鲁兹·阿祖尔只比客队多了2次射门,在xG上也只比客队多了0.45次。总的来说,这是一场平庸的演出。在此之前,克鲁兹-阿祖尔在博彩市场上显然是击败阿特拉斯的热门球队,但未能如愿。双方以2比2战平,阿特拉斯又尝试了两次射门。xG的数字有些平衡——准确地说是1.01-1.18。
好运!