SPAIN – SWITZERLAND

1x2 probabilities 62% - 24% - 14%

Spain has continued in the autumn League of Nations matches at the same level as in the European Championship, which ended with the championship. The only point loss of the autumn was suffered in the goalless draw against Serbia in the opening round of September. Head coach Luis de la Fuente is expected to make a lot of changes to the starting line-up for Monday's non-stakes final match.

For Switzerland, the autumn in the Nations League has been anything but a continuation of a strong EC tournament. Head coach Murat Yakin has so far failed to replace the gap left by the experienced Yann Sommer and Fabian Schär on the field and in the dressing room. On Friday, a 1-1 draw from the home match against Serbia ensured relegation to the B-League, even though Switzerland would have earned full points from the match in light of the goal expectations.

This match is non-stakes for both groups in light of competitive motivation. Spain wants to give opportunities to new players, while Switzerland is trying to break its ape streak. The hosts' higher basic level and home advantage make it, with the expected line-up information, about 65 percent of the pre-favorites. The expected goal value of the match is around three goals.

I believe in a fully rotated Spanish squad, it is still good but the odds decide this one!

SERBIA - DENMARK

1X2 probabilities 35% - 30% - 35%

In the final moments, Serbia reached a 1-1 draw as a guest of Switzerland, although it was weaker than the home team in light of the xG. The game performance level has been modest throughout the era of head coach Dragan Stojkovic. In the autumn matches, it has only managed to beat Switzerland, and the performance in the home match in October, which ended with a 2-0 victory, was not particularly high-quality either. Serbia's strength is missing Sasa Lukic, Sergej Milinkovic-Savic, and Ivan Ilic.

Denmark played a 1-2 loss at home against Spain on Friday. In terms of performances, Brian Reimer's debut as Denmark's head coach was a little behind expectations, and the defeat could not be considered undeserved.

The hosts' rise to second in the group requires a full points haul in the final match, while Denmark maintains its position in second place by avoiding defeat. The setup forces the home team to increase the risk levels at some point in the match, which can drive the match in the direction of a lot of goals. Serbia's playing power is about a grade lower than the guests'. With the home advantage, the starting points are completely equal, but in case of Serbian lead by 1 goal in the last minute there will be some many risks taken by the Danes, that I like to take -1.5 ahc instead as this is huge value!

西班牙-瑞士

1x2概率62% - 24% - 14%

西班牙队在秋季国际联赛的比赛中继续保持与欧洲杯相同的水平，后者以冠军结束。秋季唯一的一场失分是在9月的首轮对阵塞尔维亚的比赛中0 - 0战平。主教练路易斯·德拉富恩特预计将在周一的非赌注决赛中对首发阵容进行大量调整。

对瑞士队来说，今年秋季的国家联赛绝不是欧共体强队的延续。主教练穆拉特·亚金至今未能填补经验丰富的扬·萨默和法比安Schär在场上和更衣室留下的空缺。周五，瑞士队主场1-1战平塞尔维亚队，确保了b级联赛的降级，尽管根据进球预期，瑞士队本可以从这场比赛中获得满分。

鉴于双方的竞争动机，这场比赛是无利害关系的。西班牙队希望给新球员提供机会，而瑞士队则试图打破自己的“猿”纪录。东道主较高的基础水平和主场优势，加上预期的阵容信息，使其占预选赛的65%左右。这场比赛的预期进球数是3个左右。

我相信一个完全轮换的西班牙阵容，这仍然是好的，但几率决定了这一点！

塞尔维亚-丹麦

1X2概率35% - 30% - 35%

在最后时刻，作为瑞士的客人，塞尔维亚1-1战平，尽管在xG的影响下，他们的实力比主队弱。在主教练德拉甘·斯托伊科维奇的时代，比赛表现水平一直不高。在秋季的比赛中，它只击败了瑞士队，而在10月的主场比赛中，它以2-0取胜，表现也不是特别好。塞尔维亚的主力阵容缺少了萨维奇、米林科维奇和伊利奇。

丹麦周五主场1-2负于西班牙。就表现而言，布莱恩·雷默（Brian Reimer）作为丹麦队主教练的首秀有点落后于预期，这场失利不能被认为是不应该的。

东道主要想升到小组第二，就必须在最后一场比赛中拿到满分，而丹麦则要避免输球才能保住小组第二的位置。这种设置迫使主队在比赛的某些时刻增加风险水平，这可能会推动比赛朝着许多进球的方向发展。塞尔维亚的实力大约比客队低一个档次。在主场优势的情况下，起点是完全相等的，但如果塞尔维亚在最后一分钟领先1球，丹麦人将会承担很多风险，我喜欢用-1.5 ahc来代替，因为这是一个巨大的价值！