Namely, if they achieve a worse result against Croatia than Poland against Portugal (they lose and the "eagles" don't lose or they draw and the Poles beat the Portuguese), the Scots will be eliminated, because in the last round even a victory over the Poles won't bring them anything.On the other hand, a win for Croatia would ensure a place in the quarterfinals, as well as a draw in case Poland does not beat Portugal, and even a defeat if the Portuguese justify their role as favorites against Poland.In the last round, after three defeats, Scotland finally managed to get a point against group leader Portugal in a goalless draw, which was a rare situation for Steve Clark's team to record a clean sheet.That result may have eased some of the pressure on Clarke's shoulders, but Scotland still endure the longest home winless streak (six matches) as well as the longest competitive winless streak (ten) in history. In fact, failure to get maximum points on Friday night would tie them for their worst overall winless streak, including friendlies, which was a nine-game streak dating back to 1998. Croatia have never won in Scotland and are now preparing for their first visit to Hampden Park since October 2013, when they lost 2-0 in a World Cup qualifier.Three days after a 2-1 win over the Scots, they squandered a two-goal lead against Poland and had to settle for a 3-3 draw, missing the chance to secure a quarter-final spot.Starting with a loss in Portugal and a win at home to the Poles, last season's Nations League runners-up have picked up seven points so far, putting them on the brink of qualifying for the knockout rounds again.Croatia have scored in each of their last 14 away games overall, averaging just over two goals per game in the process, so they can head to Glasgow confident of tearing through their hosts' back line. A draw here looks like most logical bet.

也就是说，如果他们对阵克罗地亚的结果比波兰对阵葡萄牙的结果更糟糕（他们输了，“老鹰”没有输，或者他们平局，波兰人击败葡萄牙人），苏格兰人将被淘汰，因为在最后一轮，即使战胜波兰人也不会给他们带来任何东西。另一方面，克罗地亚的胜利将确保进入四分之一决赛，如果波兰不击败葡萄牙，则平局，如果葡萄牙证明自己是最受欢迎的波兰，甚至会失败。在上一轮比赛中，经过三场失利，苏格兰最终以0比0战平小组第一葡萄牙队，拿到1分，这对于史蒂夫·克拉克的球队来说是罕见的零封的情况。这样的结果可能减轻了克拉克肩上的一些压力，但苏格兰仍然保持着历史上最长的主场无胜纪录（6场）和最长的比赛无胜纪录（10场）。事实上，如果不能在周五晚上拿到满分，他们就会追平他们自1998年以来最糟糕的九连败纪录，包括友谊赛。克罗地亚从未在苏格兰赢过球，目前正在准备2013年10月世界杯预选赛0 - 2失利后首次造访汉普登公园球场。在2-1战胜苏格兰人的三天后，他们在对阵波兰的比赛中浪费了两球领先优势，不得不以3-3战平，失去了进入四分之一决赛的机会。从输给葡萄牙和主场战胜波兰人开始，上赛季国家联赛亚军到目前为止已经获得了7分，使他们再次处于晋级淘汰赛的边缘。克罗地亚在过去的14场客场比赛中都取得了进球，平均每场进球超过2球，因此他们可以自信地前往格拉斯哥，撕开主队的后防线。平局似乎是最合理的赌注。