11/13 last WON in this competition! $$$
2024-11-12

Tapio

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Reading VS Newport County




Reading welcome Newport for this EFL Trophy round 3 clash at Select Car Leasing Stadium early Wednesday morning Beijing time. The hosts play in the League One, the 3rd tier of English football. It is the best 3rd tier on the planet – by a wide margin! Newport play in the League Two. I want to highlight that the difference between these two leagues is significant – especially in terms of tempo and players' average skill level... Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of somewhat average quality by this competition's standards here. Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another very lucrative better opportunity here! We have won 11/13 last picks betting on this competition! Reading finished in 17th place with a decent 53 points last season. Their score difference was 68:70. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was bigger! This season Reading have been better – currently occupying 9th place with 23 points to their account. They have scored 22 goals and have allowed 21 goals. Newport, on the other hand, are only in 15th place in the League Two with 19 points. Their score difference is somewhat poor – 19:26 to be precise. Nothing in their game really excites me.. Let's also remember that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Reading are the bigger team here – by a significant margin! Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of some eight million euros, which is definitely too low.. Four of their players are undervalued. The Newport squad is valued at only around three million. This is marginally too low..


Both teams have lost once – and taken one win in the EFL trophy so far – and consequently really need points here. Yes, some squad rotation from both teams' managers would not be a surprise here but Reading should have a much deeper enough squad than the lowly visitors.. Let's not forget that Newport have won only one of their last six away matches, losing 5/6. Reading have won five home games in a row – and 10/11 last matches in front of their loud fans! Indeed, with the substantial home advantage the hosts deserve to be very clear favourites here! Odds of around 1.70 on the home win are offered by the biggest bookies - at the time of posting this preview. Newport right-back Shane McLoughlin has returned from a knee injury that he got in September and he could earn his first start since returning from injury.. Kyle Hudlin netted the ball in the defeat to Tranmere last Saturday and is expected to lead the offensive line once again, Aaron Wildig, has scored four league goals for Newport so far this season and should also start in midfield here. Andy Yiadom has not played competitively for the hosts since April, and the right-back is unfortunately expected to be out for Tuesday's game.. Their top-scorer, Sam Smith, has missed the last three matches, leaving Harvey Knibbs with a chance to lead the offensive line once again after scoring in last Saturday's draw against Stevenage in League One.


Newport have won only one of their last seven games, losing 5/7. In their last game they lost to Tranmere 1-2 on the road. The hosts were the much better team, recording many more goal attempts and shots on goal - 6-2 to be precise. The xG numbers were 2.03-0.74 in the hosts' favour. Before this Newport were pretty imbalanced on the pitch for the most of the 90 minutes – losing to Peterborough 2-4 at home. It was a FA Cup battle. In round 14 Newport had some luck on their side at home against Fleetwood. No goals were scored but the visitors recorded many more goal attempts and shots off target -15-10. I want to highlight that Reading played very well in their last game – despite having to settle for a 1-1 draw with Stevenage on the road. Reading were pretty clear underdogs on the betting market but generated 1.87 in xG. Stevenage managed only 0.54. Moreover, Reading recorded 20 goal attempts – 13 more than the hosts. They also recorded many more shots on target - 9-2!  They were - once again -  undoubtedly undervalued by the bookies! Before this they lost to Cheltenham 0-1 away from home in an EFL Trophy clash. The match was somewhat balanced as a whole though.. Reading had more shots on goal but the hosts managed more goal attempts. On the 2nd of this month Reading performed well at home – beating Fleetwood 2-0. It was a FA Cup battle.




GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

雷丁队VS纽波特郡队




北京时间周三凌晨,雷丁将在Select Car Leasing体育场迎来与纽波特的联赛杯第三轮比赛。东道主在英甲联赛踢球,这是英国足球的第三级联赛。它是这个星球上最好的第三梯队——遥遥领先!新港队在乙级联赛。我想强调的是,这两个联赛之间的差异是显著的——尤其是在节奏和球员的平均技术水平方面……足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比赛,以这项比赛的标准来看,这是一场中等质量的比赛。最重要的是,我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个非常有利可图的更好的机会!我们在这次比赛中赢了11/13 !上赛季雷丁以53分的不错成绩排在第17位。他们的得分差距是68:70。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)更大!本赛季雷丁表现更好,目前以23分排名第九。他们进了22球,丢了21球。另一方面,纽波特以19分仅排在英乙第15位。他们的比分差距有点小,准确地说是19:26。他们的比赛没有什么能让我兴奋的。让我们也记住,根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站,Transfermarkt.com,雷丁在这里是更大的球队-明显的差距!事实上,他们球员的总市值估计在800万欧元左右,这肯定太低了。他们的四名球员被低估了。纽波特队的身价只有300万左右。这有点太低了…


两支球队都输了一场,在联赛奖杯中只赢了一场,因此在这里真的需要积分。是的,两队主教练的轮换阵容不足为奇,但雷丁的阵容应该比客队更有深度。别忘了新港最近6场客场比赛只赢了1场,6胜5负。雷丁在主场赢了5场比赛,最近的10/11场比赛都是在他们的球迷面前赢的!的确,凭借主场的巨大优势,东道主应该在这里成为非常明显的热门!主场获胜的赔率约为1.70,由最大的博彩公司提供-在发布此预览时。纽波特右后卫谢恩·麦克劳克林已经从9月份的膝伤中恢复过来,这可能是他伤愈后的第一次首发。凯尔·哈德林在上周六输给特兰米尔的比赛中破门得分,预计他将再次领导进攻线。亚伦·威尔迪格本赛季至今已经为纽波特打进4球,他也应该在中场首发。安迪·亚亚多姆自4月以来就没有代表东道主参加过正式比赛,不幸的是,这位右后卫预计将缺席周二的比赛。他们的头号射手山姆·史密斯已经缺席了最近三场比赛,使得哈维·尼布斯在上周六与斯蒂夫尼奇的比赛中进球后,有机会再次领导进攻线。


新港在过去的七场比赛中只赢了一场,输了5/7。在上一场比赛中,他们客场1-2输给了特兰米尔。东道主表现要好得多,他们的射门次数和射门次数更多——准确地说是6比2。对东道主有利的xG值为2.03-0.74。在此之前,纽波特在90分钟的大部分时间里都很不平衡——在主场2-4输给了彼得伯勒。这是一场足总杯之战。在第14轮,纽波特在主场对阵弗利特伍德的比赛中运气不错。虽然没有进球,但客队的进球次数和射门次数都比对手多,比分是15比10。我想强调的是,雷丁在上一场比赛中踢得非常好——尽管不得不在客场1-1战平斯蒂夫尼奇。雷丁在博彩市场上明显处于劣势,但在xG中产生了1.87。斯蒂夫尼奇只有0.54分。此外,雷丁队有20次射门,比东道主多13次。他们也记录了更多的射正——9比2!毫无疑问,他们再一次被博彩公司低估了!在此之前,他们在客场0-1输给了切尔滕纳姆。不过比赛总体上还是比较平衡的。雷丁的射门次数更多,但主队的射门次数也更多。本月2日,雷丁在主场表现出色,2-0击败了弗利特伍德。这是一场足总杯之战。




好运!

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