Team news and prediction 西甲 马洛卡VS马竞
2024-11-10

Milos

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Atletico Madrid head to Mallorca this Sunday in pursuit of a fourth straight win in all competitions. Diego Simeone's squad currently occupies third place in La Liga, with 23 points from 12 matches, just one point shy of rivals Real Madrid in second. Meanwhile, Mallorca, under Jagoba Arrasate, have had a respectable season so far, standing in eighth with 18 points from the same number of games. Despite Mallorca’s recent losses and Atletico’s improving form, this clash could be closer than expected given both teams’ focus on defensive stability.


Mallorca’s season has been marked by a compact defense, having allowed just nine goals in their 12 matches, the third-best defensive record in the league, behind only Atletico. However, their offensive struggles have limited them to only ten goals, ranking them among the league’s least prolific teams. The team has won five games but suffered a recent dip in form, winning just one of their last four La Liga matches, including a narrow 1-0 loss to Alaves and a goalless draw against Athletic Bilbao at home. They have performed well at home, losing just once at Son Moix, and held Real Madrid to a 1-1 draw earlier this season. Notably, however, they have lost their last three league meetings with Atletico Madrid, including a 1-0 defeat in this same fixture last season.


For Atletico Madrid, confidence will be high after their recent 2-1 Champions League win against Paris Saint-Germain at Parc des Princes. This victory provided a much-needed morale boost in Europe, where they have only two wins so far. Atletico have been strong in La Liga as well, securing recent wins against Vic in the Copa del Rey and Las Palmas in the league. However, the Red and Whites’ offense has been slightly underwhelming by top-tier standards, with only 18 goals scored in 12 games, but their defense has been solid, conceding just seven goals — the best record in La Liga this season. This match will showcase two of Spain's most disciplined defenses, meaning chances could be few and far between. With Atletico now only a point behind Real Madrid, they are eager to continue their ascent, but Mallorca's defensive resilience will not make it easy.

In terms of team news, Mallorca will be without Valery Fernandez, Ivan Cuellar, and Takuma Asano due to injuries. However, Samu Costa returns from suspension and is expected to reclaim a spot in the lineup. Additional changes could include the return of Vedat Muriqi, Sergi Darder, Johan Mojica, and Dominik Greif, as Arrasate prepares his side for a tough encounter. For Atletico, several players remain sidelined, including Thomas Lemar, Marcos Llorente, Robin Le Normand, and Cesar Azpilicueta. Simeone may make a few adjustments to the squad that faced PSG, with Rodrigo Riquelme and Koke pushing for starting roles. Julian Alvarez and Antoine Griezmann are expected to continue as the preferred forward pairing, while Alexander Sorloth, despite scoring four goals in 16 appearances, may start on the bench.

Given both teams' defensive tendencies, this matchup is likely to be a low-scoring affair. Mallorca’s inability to find the net consistently could hinder their chances of pulling off an upset, while Atletico’s organized defense could keep the home side at bay. Both sides are likely to struggle to create clear-cut chances, and while Atletico may have the edge in quality, Mallorca's home form and tactical discipline could frustrate them.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

马德里竞技本周日将前往马洛卡岛,追求各项赛事的四连胜。迭戈·西蒙尼的球队目前在西甲联赛中排名第三,12场比赛积23分,仅比排名第二的对手皇马少1分。与此同时,马略卡在亚戈巴·阿拉萨特的带领下,到目前为止表现不错,在同样的场次中以18分排名第八。尽管马略卡最近输球,马竞的状态也在改善,但考虑到两支球队都注重防守的稳定性,这场冲突可能会比预期的更接近。


马略卡本赛季的特点是紧凑的防守,12场比赛只丢了9个球,在联赛中排名第三,仅次于马竞。然而,他们在进攻端的挣扎限制了他们只有10个进球,使他们成为联盟中最不多产的球队之一。这支球队已经赢了五场比赛,但最近状态有所下降,在最近的四场西甲比赛中只赢了一场,包括0 - 1负于阿拉维斯和主场0 -0战平毕尔巴鄂竞技。他们在主场只输过一次,本赛季早些时候与皇马1-1战平。然而,值得注意的是,他们最近三次与马竞交手都输掉了比赛,包括上赛季在同一场比赛中0 - 1被马竞击败。


对于马竞来说,在他们最近在王子公园2-1战胜巴黎圣日耳曼之后,他们的信心将会很高。这场胜利给欧洲赛场带来了急需的士气鼓舞,目前他们在欧洲只赢了两场。马竞在西甲也很强大,最近在国王杯和拉斯帕尔马斯的比赛中都取得了胜利。然而,红白军团的进攻在顶级联赛的标准下显得有些平淡,他们在12场比赛中只进了18个球,但他们的防守很稳固,只丢了7个球——这是本赛季西甲联赛的最佳纪录。这场比赛将展示西班牙最守纪律的两支防线,这意味着机会可能很少。马竞现在只落后皇马1分,他们渴望继续上升,但马洛卡的防守弹性不会让他们轻松。

球队方面,由于伤病,马略卡队将失去瓦莱里·费尔南德斯、伊万·奎利亚尔和浅野佐马。然而,萨穆·科斯塔从停赛中回归,并有望在首发阵容中占据一席之地。其他的变化可能包括穆里奇、达尔德、莫吉卡和格雷夫的回归,因为阿拉萨特正在为他的球队准备一场艰难的比赛。对于马竞来说,几名球员仍然缺阵,包括托马斯·勒马尔、马科斯·略伦特、罗宾·勒诺曼和塞萨尔·阿兹皮利奎塔。西蒙尼可能会对面对巴黎圣日耳曼的阵容做出一些调整,里克尔梅和科克将争取首发位置。朱利安·阿尔瓦雷斯和安托万·格列兹曼预计将继续作为前锋组合,而亚历山大·索洛斯虽然出场16次打进4球,但可能会在替补席上首发。

考虑到两支球队的防守倾向,这场比赛很可能是一场低得分的比赛。马略卡无法持续进球可能会阻碍他们取得反超的机会,而马竞有组织的防守可能会让主队陷入困境。双方都在努力创造机会,虽然马竞在质量上可能有优势,但马洛卡的主场状态和战术纪律可能会挫败他们。

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