Italian A seria game between Genoa and Fiorentina.

Maybe this looks weird to you, but I will fade public here and will go for at least draw here. Of course, things don’t look too good for Genoa this season and they look quite terrible, BUT results are bad, but they play ok at home – they toke points already from Inter, Roma and Bologna and these are top Italian teams. They lost over Juve recently, but still we can’t say that this team need to be such a underdogs here at home. Even in games where Genoa is losing (no matter home or road) they are still quite close in goal creation moments and their Xg (expected goals) number is quite high always or at least pretty even to another team.

We can get here very good odds on at least draw here against Fiorentina.

Fiorentina on the road so far won pretty solid only one game against Lecce, so I think there is a good chance to pull the trigger for this selection here tonight.

There is also huge list of players for Genoa who are questionable for this game and if we will see at least one of them in tonight’s game it will be pretty massive boost for this selection as well.

Good value here for me.

【意大利语】热那亚和佛罗伦萨之间的一场意甲比赛。

也许这看起来很奇怪，但我将在这里淡出公共，然后至少在这里绘制。当然，热那亚这个赛季的情况看起来不太好，他们看起来很糟糕，但是结果很糟糕，但他们在主场踢得还不错——他们已经从国际米兰、罗马和博洛尼亚那里拿到了积分，这些都是意大利顶级球队。他们最近输给了尤文，但我们仍然不能说这支球队需要在主场成为失败者。即使在热那亚输球的比赛中（无论是主场还是客场），他们在创造进球的时刻仍然相当接近，他们的预期进球（Xg）数字总是相当高，或者至少与另一支球队相当。

我们至少可以在这里和佛罗伦萨打成平局。

到目前为止，佛罗伦萨在客场只赢了一场对莱切的比赛，所以我认为今晚有很好的机会为这次选择扣动扳机。

热那亚也有很多球员在这场比赛中有问题，如果我们能在今晚的比赛中看到他们中的至少一个，那将是一个很大的提升。

对我来说，这里物有所值。