In my opinion Manchester United has bigger chance to win big than bookies want to suggest for us based on their odds.
Despite the poor season, Manchester United so far played much better than Leicester in Premier League. According to the expected goals scored model - United is top6, Leicester is bottom 3. According to the expected goals conceded model, Leicester is also one of the worst team in Premier League. That should be visible on the pitch.
I believe Manchester United has much bigger motivation to win in this game. They won this competition two years ago so team looking for deep run. This is first match without coach Ten Haag on the bench. I expecting reaction from the team because players lack of chemistry with him and now I can imagine positive energy. Today legendary striker Van Nistelrooy as a head coach. He loves to play offensive style and should be able to expose poor Leicester defensive formation.
Leicester motivation is under the big question mark for me. Without any shadow of doubt, their main priority is Premier League and they wants to avoid relegation. At the weekend Leicester have to play extremely important game against other relegation candidate Ipswich so I expect rotation in their squad and some second-choice players on the pitch. That should have bad impact on the guests performance today.
In those circumstances I see comfortable win for the home side.
在我看来,曼联有更大的机会赢得比赛,比博彩公司根据他们的赔率给我们的建议要大。
尽管这个赛季表现不佳,但曼联在英超联赛中表现得比莱斯特城好得多。按照预期进球数模型——曼联排名前6,莱斯特排名后3。根据预期失球模型,莱斯特城也是英超最差的球队之一。这在球场上应该是显而易见的。
我相信曼联有更大的动力去赢得这场比赛。他们两年前赢得了这项比赛,所以球队正在寻找深度奔跑。这是主教练滕·哈格首次缺席的比赛。我期待着球队的反应,因为球员们和他缺乏化学反应,现在我可以想象正能量。今天传奇前锋范尼成为了主教练。他喜欢进攻风格,应该能够暴露莱斯特城糟糕的防守阵型。
莱斯特城的动机对我来说是个大问号。毫无疑问,他们的首要任务是英超联赛,他们想要保级。周末莱斯特城将和另一个保级候选球队伊普斯维奇进行一场非常重要的比赛,所以我希望他们的阵容能够轮换,一些替补球员能够上场。这会对今天客人的表现产生不好的影响。
在这种情况下,我认为主队会轻松取胜。