BIG GAME! 72% WINS IN SERIE A! 意甲 恩波利VS国际米兰
2024-10-30

Ricards

外籍分析师

解读理由:

On Wednesday night, 4 games in the Italian Serie A are going to happen and one of the matches is going to be between Empoli and Inter. After 9 games, Empoli has 2 wins, 5 draws, 2 losses, a total of 11 points and 10th place while Inter has 5 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, a total of 18 points and 2nd place. In this game, I predict Inter's win.

Empoli hasn't won 4 Serie A games in a row as they have 2 draws and 2 losses. Their last game was on the road against Parma which ended 1:1. If we look from the xG perspective, Parma should have won as their xG was 1.74 compared to Empoli's 0.13. Empoli is a weird team because they haven't won a single home game this season and they haven't scored even 1 goal! The team has 3 draws and 1 loss and they also have conceded just once in front of their fans. At home this season, Empoli has created xG of 2.0 (the worst in the league), xGA is at 3.2 with a difference of -1.2.

Over the weekend, Inter had a very entertaining game against Juventus as it ended 4:4. It was a bitter-sweet game for Inter because they lost a 1:0 lead, but managed to turn 1:2 into 4:2 but conceded two goals in the last 30 minutes and got only a point. From the xG perspective, Inter created more scoring chances (2.99 vs. 2.17). Before that, Inter won 5 games in a row in all tournaments and they are in the title chase in Italy with Napoli and Juventus. On the road, Inter drew two times at the start of the season but after that, the team has beaten Udinese and Roma. Inter has created an xG of 6.7 on the road, xGA is at 4.1 with a difference of 2.6.

Empoli are again without Samuele Perisan, Tyronne Ebuehi and long-term absentee Saba Sazonov due to injury. Brazilian wing-back Carlos Augusto and veteran defender Francesco Acerbi are still sidelined for Inter.

I'm backing Inter in this game. They should be angry after the draw against Juventus as they deserved three points more. As they are 4 points behind Napoli, they can't afford to lose points, especially against teams like Empoli that aren't from the top tier. Inter has beaten Empoli in 12 out of the last 13 matchups. The only loss was because of the red card, and Inter should be able to get another win.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周三晚上,意甲将有4场比赛,其中一场是恩波利和国米之间的比赛。经过9场比赛,恩波利2胜5平2负,积11分,排名第10,而国米5胜3平1负,积18分,排名第2。在这场比赛中,我预测国米会赢。

恩波利在意甲联赛中2平2负,没有取得4连胜。他们的上一场比赛是客场对阵帕尔马,比赛以1:1结束。如果我们从xG的角度来看,帕尔马应该赢,因为他们的xG是1.74,而恩波利是0.13。恩波利是一支奇怪的球队,因为他们本赛季没有赢过一场主场比赛,他们甚至没有进过一个球!这支球队3平1负,而且他们在球迷面前只丢了一次球。本赛季在主场,恩波利的xG值为2.0(联赛最差),xGA值为3.2,两者相差-1.2。

上周末,国米与尤文图斯进行了一场非常有趣的比赛,最终以4:4结束。这场比赛对国米来说是一场苦乐参半的比赛,因为他们在1比0领先的情况下失去了领先优势,但在最后30分钟丢了两个球,只得到1分。从xG的角度来看,国米创造了更多的得分机会(2.99比2.17)。在此之前,国米在所有赛事中都取得了5连胜,他们在意大利与那不勒斯和尤文图斯一起争夺冠军。在客场,国米在赛季初两平,但在那之后,球队击败了乌迪内斯和罗马。国米在客场创造了6.7的xG, xGA是4.1,相差2.6。

恩波利再次失去了佩里桑、埃布希和长期缺阵的萨巴·萨佐诺夫。巴西边后卫卡洛斯·奥古斯托和老后卫弗朗西斯科·阿塞比仍然缺阵国米。

这场比赛我支持国米。在与尤文图斯战平后,他们应该感到愤怒,因为他们应该再得到三分。由于他们落后那不勒斯4分,他们不能丢分,特别是面对像恩波利这样的非顶级球队。国米在过去的13场比赛中12次击败恩波利。唯一的损失是因为那张红牌,国米应该能够再赢一场。

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