Real Betis and Atlético Madrid, who played the Euro games during the week, will meet on Sunday in Seville at Benito Villamarín. Betis played their European game on Thursday against FC Copenhagen in the Conference League and Atleti was in action on Wednesday in the UCL against Lille. On the La Liga side, Betis is seventh and Atlético third – the difference in points between the two is five points.

In the xG-table however their expected points are about equal, but Atletico matches offer less goal chances. At this point, it depends a lot who the teams have met and the xG-table should not be too strictly analyzed, perhaps Atletico's schedule has been a bit easier, but they have done well!

Betis was on the pitch on Thursday with a some rotation so there is not much rest advantage for Sunday's match. Manuel Pellegrini's team has played well in the league at the beginning of the season, but for the second time in a row, they failed to win in Europe and it looks difficult now.

Top player Natan will be suspended for the hosts on Sunday, but Marc Bartra and Diego Llorente form a perfect defending duo. Marc Roca's fitness is still a question mark, but Isco, Giovani Lo Celso and William Carvalho are not fit.

Atlético also wandered through the lands of sorrows in Europe this week, when Lille claimed three points from Civitas Metropolitana thanks to a 1-3 victory. The defeat was already the second in a row against Diego Simeone's squad in the UCL, but they have played well the entire early season. It seems that now the red and white side of Madrid has returned to its "roots" and tight team defense has been at the center of Simeone's Game Plan. Atlético has conceded the fewest goals of all teams and that sounds very familiar!

Clément Lenglet, Robin Le Normand and possibly Pablo Barrios, César Azpilicueta and Marcos Llorente will be on the sidelines on Sunday. Reinildo Mandava, Axel Witsel and, of course, good old José María Giménez are the strongest contenders for the top three. As Koke and Rodrigo De Paul's partner in the midfield, Conor Gallagher is being talked about in Spain.

With these odds, Betis should earn a little more appreciation in the market, although of course it is worth remembering Lo Celso's absence. Atlético has performed strongly in the fall, but the same can be said for good reason about the hosts as well!

But then, the Atletico away games.. they are the weak spot.

The balance is ok with 2-3-0, but looking at the performances and xG-numbers reveal that away to Atletic Club early in August they were the better team on the pitch, and in that light they do not deserve to be favourites away against another strong team.

Betis on the other hand at home look like this:

3-1-1. Three well-deserved wins, but all the teams have been relegation candidates. Girona and Mallorca matches both were very even.

Do they be favourites against a strong and defensive-minded team? No.

A draw then if the goal expectation for this match is low?

Yes. 0-0 or 1-1 this is, best value with these odds.

本周参加欧洲杯的皇家贝蒂斯和马德里航空公司将于周日在塞维利亚的贝尼托球场相遇Villamarín。贝蒂斯将在周四的欧洲联赛中对阵哥本哈根，马竞将在周三的欧冠联赛中对阵里尔。在西甲联赛方面，贝蒂斯排名第七，阿特拉西亚排名第三，两者的积分差为5分。

在xg积分榜上，他们的期望积分基本相等，但马竞的比赛提供的进球机会较少。在这一点上，这在很大程度上取决于球队遇到了谁，xg表不应该过于严格地分析，也许马竞的赛程更轻松一些，但他们做得很好！

贝蒂斯在周四的比赛中有一些轮换，所以在周日的比赛中没有太多的休息优势。曼努埃尔·佩莱格里尼的球队本赛季初在联赛中表现出色，但他们连续第二次未能在欧洲获胜，现在看起来很困难。

顶级球员纳坦将在周日的东道主比赛中停赛，但马克·巴尔特拉和迭戈·略伦特组成了一个完美的防守组合。马克·罗卡的健康状况仍然是个问号，但是伊斯科、洛·塞尔索和威廉·卡瓦略都不在状态。

本周，亚特兰大也在欧洲忧伤之地徘徊，里尔队以1-3的比分从大都会队手中拿下三分。这场失利已经是他们在欧冠联赛中连续第二次输给迭戈·西蒙尼的球队，但他们在整个赛季初都踢得很好。现在看来，马德里的红白两色已经回到了它的“根”，紧凑的团队防守已经成为西蒙尼比赛计划的核心。亚特兰蒂斯是所有球队中丢球最少的，这听起来很熟悉！

克莱姆·朗格莱，罗宾·勒·诺曼德，可能还有巴勃罗·巴里奥斯，阿斯皮利奎塔和马科斯·略伦特将在周日的比赛中缺阵。雷尼尔多·曼达瓦，阿克塞尔·维特塞尔，当然还有老伙计约瑟·María吉姆萨内斯是前三名的有力竞争者。作为科克和罗德里戈·德保罗在中场的搭档，康纳·加拉格尔在西班牙备受关注。

在这种情况下，贝蒂斯应该在市场上获得更多的升值，当然，值得记住的是洛塞尔索的缺席。atlassitico在秋季表现强劲，但东道主也有充分的理由这么说！

但是，马竞的客场比赛……他们是弱点。

2-3-0的平衡是可以的，但是看看他们的表现和x - g数据就会发现，在八月初客场对阵马竞的比赛中，他们是一支更好的球队，从这个角度来看，他们不应该成为客场对阵另一支强队的夺冠热门。

另一方面，主场的贝蒂斯是这样的：

3-1-1。三场当之无愧的胜利，但所有球队都是降级的候选球队。赫罗纳和马洛卡的比赛都非常势均力敌。

面对一支强大的防守球队，他们会成为夺冠热门吗？不。

如果对这场比赛的进球期望很低，那么平局呢？

是的，0-0或1-1这是赔率的最佳值。