On Saturday, a couple of games in the German Bundesliga will happen and one of the matches is going to be between Werder Bremen and Leverkusen Bayer. After 7 games, Werder has 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, a total 11 points and 8th place while Leverkusen has 4 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, a total of 14 points and 4th place. In this game, I predict Leverkusen's win.

Werder returned to action with a 4:2 win over Wolfsburg on the road. Despite scoring 2 more goals than their opponents, Werder had only a little advantage in expected goals: 2.04 vs. 1.81. It's also interesting that the team has got all wins only on the road. It's been very tough at home where they have 1 draw and 2 losses, no goals scored and 6 conceded. Werder drew against Dortmund (opponents had a little bit better xG), lost to Bayern 0:5 and Freiburg 0:1. This season Werder has created xG rating of 9.3, xGA is at 9.8 with a difference of -0.5.

Leverkusen has lost only 1 game this season. On Wednesday, Bayer drew on the road against Brest 1:1 in the Champions League despite having a better xG rating, so the players should be very motivated. Away from home, Bayer has 2 wins and 1 draw, a total of 8 goals scored and 4 conceded. Wins were against Gladbach and Hoffenheim while the draw was against Bayern. In that game, Bayer showcased great defense and they proved that they can also defend not only score a bunch of goals. Leverkusen has created xG rating of 16.2, xGA is at 9.2 with a difference of 7.

Bayer could see some roster changes but I'm still going with them. The team is much better than Werder and we have seen hosts struggling at home. Leverkusen has won the last 3 matchups, including a 3:0 win in Bremen last season.

周六，德甲将有几场比赛，其中一场是云达不莱梅和勒沃库森之间的比赛。7场比赛结束后，云达3胜2平2负，积11分，排名第8，勒沃库森4胜2平1负，积14分，排名第4。这场比赛，我预测勒沃库森会赢。

云达在客场4:2战胜沃尔夫斯堡的比赛中恢复了状态。尽管比对手多进了2个球，云达在预期进球数上只有一点优势：2.04比1.81。有趣的是，这支球队所有的胜利都是在客场取得的。主场比赛非常艰难，他们1平2负，没有进球，丢了6个球。云达战平多特蒙德（对手的xG稍好一些），0:5输给拜仁，0:1输给弗赖堡。本赛季云达的xG评分为9.3，xGA评分为9.8，两者相差-0.5。

勒沃库森本赛季只输过1场比赛。周三，拜耳在欧冠客场1:1战平布雷斯特，尽管他们有更好的xG评级，所以球员们应该很有动力。客场，拜耳2胜1平，共进8球失4球。胜利是对格拉德巴赫和霍芬海姆，平局是对拜仁。在那场比赛中，拜耳展示了出色的防守，他们证明了他们不仅可以进球，还可以防守。勒沃库森的xG评分为16.2，xGA评分为9.2，相差7。

拜耳可能会有一些阵容变动，但我还是会和他们一起去。这支球队比云达强得多，我们也看到了东道主在主场的挣扎。勒沃库森赢得了最近3场比赛，包括上赛季3:0战胜不莱梅。