Leipzig, been bad or unlucky?
2024-10-23

Jarkko

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Marco Rose's Bundesliga runner-up RB Leipzig defeated Mainz 2-0 in the UCL general at the Mewa Arena on Saturday. Rose's protégés, who took their fifth win in seven games already decided the match in the opening period with hits from Xavi Simons and Willi Orban. The expected goal (xG) was scratched around 2.0-0.5 in favor of Leipzig.


In the first two rounds of the Champions League, Leipzig was first beaten by Atletico Madrid 1-2 at the Metropolitano Stadium. Benjamin Sesko was responsible for the East German club's only hit in that game. In their second game, Leipzig lost to Juventus 2-3 at home at Red Bull Arena. In that game, on the other hand, both of Leipzig's goals were scored by none other than Sesko. The Slovenian sharpshooter is dangerous!

Leipzig are without central defender David Raum with an ankle injury, and from the midfield, Assan Ouedraogo and Xaver Schlager, who have knee problems, and Nicolas Seiwald, who is suffering from concussions.

RB Leipzig (3-4-1-2) possible starting roster: Gulacsi; Orban, Klostermann, Lukeba; Geertruida, Haidara, Vermeeren, Nusa; Simmons; Sesko, Openda.

Liverpool, the top club in the Premier League led by Arne Slot, defeated Chelsea 2-1 in their UCL general at Anfield last Sunday. Mohamed Salah gave the hosts a 1-0 lead in the opening period and set the stage for Curtis Jones' 2-1 winning goal at the beginning of the second period just a few minutes after Chelsea's Nicolas Jackson equalized. Goal Expected (xG) was recorded as 1.7-1.0 in favor of Liverpool.

In the Champions League matches, Liverpool have beaten AC Milan 3-1 at San Siro and Bologna 2-0 at Anfield. In Milan, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk and Dominik Szoboszlai scored for Pool, and at Anfield, Alexis Mac Allister and Salah destroyed Bologna.

Liverpool's number one keeper Alisson is suffering from a hamstring injury, Harvey Elliott is in the midfield due to a broken ankle, as well as Federico Chiesa is injured in the forwards and Diogo Jota is suffering from a muscle injury. The latter will probably be replaced at the top by Darwin Nunez. Caoimhin Kelleher once again takes Alisson's goal between the posts. I see no problems there.

Liverpool's (4-2-3-1) possible starting roster: Kelleher; Gomez, Konate, van Dijk, Tsimikas; Mac Allister, Gravenberch; Salah, Jones, Diaz; Nunez.

Apart from the actual top German clubs, there is a big class difference, Leipzig this season are almost a mediocre one, at least according to both eye test and xG-data.

Leipzig are 7th in the performance-based table, only slightly ahead of clubs like Augsburg and Union Berlin? Would you take -1.5 ahc against them?


Leipzig defenders hardly can handle the attack Liverpool will throw at them, and while the Chelsea match was a big one this weekend, LFC have very good depth to keep things churning. Sure, any win would do for Liverpool, but there is better value in a bigger handicap. Good luck!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周六,在梅瓦竞技场举行的欧冠联赛(UCL)总体赛上,马尔科·罗斯所在的德甲亚军莱比锡RB以2比0击败美因茨。罗斯的团队在七场比赛中取得了第五场胜利,在开局阶段,哈维·西蒙斯和威利·欧尔班的命中就决定了比赛的胜负。预期目标(xG)被划为2.0-0.5左右,有利于莱比锡。


在冠军联赛的前两轮比赛中,莱比锡队在大都会体育场以1-2的比分首次被马德里竞技击败。本杰明Sesko东德负责俱乐部只有在游戏。在第二场比赛中,莱比锡在红牛球场主场以2-3不敌尤文图斯。另一方面,在那场比赛中,莱比锡的两个进球都是由塞斯科打进的。斯洛文尼亚神枪手很危险!

莱比锡的中卫劳姆因脚踝受伤而缺阵,中场的韦德拉奥戈和施拉格膝部受伤,塞瓦尔德则受到脑震荡的困扰。

RB莱比锡(3-4-1-2)可能的首发阵容:古拉克斯;欧尔班、克洛斯特曼、卢克巴;Geertruida, Haidara, Vermeeren, Nusa;席梦思床品公司;Sesko Openda。

上周日在安菲尔德举行的欧冠总体赛上,由阿恩·斯洛特率领的英超顶级俱乐部利物浦以2比1击败了切尔西。上半场,萨拉赫帮助东道主1-0领先,下半场开始时,他又为柯蒂斯·琼斯2-1的进球创造了条件,几分钟后,切尔西的尼古拉斯·杰克逊扳平了比分。预期进球(xG)为1.7-1.0,利物浦队获胜。

在欧冠比赛中,利物浦在圣西罗3-1击败AC米兰,在安菲尔德2-0击败博洛尼亚。在米兰,科纳特、范迪克和绍博什莱为普尔进球,而在安菲尔德,麦克阿利斯特和萨拉赫摧毁了博洛尼亚。

利物浦的头号门将阿利松腿筋受伤,哈维·艾略特因脚踝骨折而在中场,费德里科·基耶萨在前锋受伤,迪奥戈·约塔在肌肉受伤。后者可能会被达尔文·努涅斯(Darwin Nunez)取代。科伊姆欣·凯莱赫再次在门柱之间攻破了阿利森的球门。我看没有问题。

利物浦可能的首发阵容:凯莱赫;戈麦斯、科纳特、范迪克、齐米卡斯;格雷文伯奇的麦克·阿利斯特;萨拉赫、琼斯、迪亚兹;涅斯。

除了实际的德国顶级俱乐部,还有很大的等级差异,莱比锡本赛季几乎是一个平庸的,至少从眼睛测试和x - g数据来看。

莱比锡在成绩排行榜上排名第七,仅略高于奥格斯堡和柏林联盟等俱乐部。你会用-1.5 ahc对付他们吗?


莱比锡的后卫几乎无法应对利物浦的进攻,尽管本周末与切尔西的比赛是一场重头戏,但利物浦有很好的深度来保持比赛的节奏。当然,任何胜利都对利物浦有利,但更大的不利条件更有价值。好运!

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。