Aston Villa VS Bologna

Aston Villa and Bologna for this UEFA Champions League league phase round 3 clash at Villa Park in Birmingham early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the highest of UEFA's three international club competitions. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of only mediocre quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another promising opportunity to extend the very hot streak of six consecutive winners betting on this league! I will post more top-quality picks on the Champions League later soon! I want to highlight that Aston Villa finished in 4th place in the English Premier League - clearly the best league in the world! Bologna, on the other hand, finished in 5th place in the Serie A last season. They took 68 points, 26 points less than the champions, Inter.. The Serie A is the 4th-best league on the planet. However, Bologna's number of expected points (xPTS) was "only" 59.40  I want to emphasize that they lost several key players after last season – most important ones being Zirkzee (Man United) and Calafiori (Arsenal) Already in my in-depth preseason analysis I expected to be significantly worse this season.. Indeed, I was right as they have taken only nine points in eight Serie A matches! Their score difference is negative – 9:11. Moreover, Bologna have won only one match in this league this season! Their recent form is rather lame - as they have won only one of their last 10 matches... Aston Villa, on the other hand, have not lost any of their last nine games, winning 7/9! Let's also remember that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Aston Villa are the bigger team here - by a big wide margin! Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of some 615 million euros! The Bologna squad is valued at 277 million - which is unarguably too high! Three of their players are overvalued.  Aston Villa deserve to be very clear favourites here! Odds of close to 1.70 are widely available on the betting betting market. We will eagerly place a bet on the hosts! Villa will be without Olsen - Mings is questionable. As for Bologna, Cambiaghi, El Azzuozi, Aebischer and Ferguson are injured..

Aston Villa were excellent, exceeding expectations - and often underrated by the bookies - last season and seem to be – once again – this season as well! Villa have started the Champions League with two fine victories. In the Champions League opening round Aston Villa crushed Young Boys, champions of Switzerland last season, 3-0 away from home. It was a terrific performance from the team from Birmingham! The expected goals (xG) numbers were very imbalanced - 2.45-0.39 in Villa's favour. In the second round they beat a top-7 team in the world - German Bayern Munchen 1-0 in front of their ecstatic fans! The bookmakers, once again, rather unsurprisingly underrated Villa, seeing them as very clear underdogs – priced around 4.50-5.30 to take all three points. Villa's excellent but often underrated manager, Emery. had created a brilliant, perhaps even more defensive tactic than expected – which the Villa players executed almost perfectly! Bayern Munich did have a pretty high 67% ball possession and did record more goal attempts and shots on target but generated only 1.29 in xG – a somewhat low number for Bayern Munich this season.. Yes, Aston Villa did need some luck to get all three points but their performance, their goalkeeper, a World Champion with Argentina, Emiliano Martinez  - in particular - was excellent!

Villa's latest defeat came on the 24th of August against Arsenal, a top-4 team in the world, at home as clear underdogs on the betting market -  0-2. However, Villa generated more than Arsenal in xG – 1.88-1.55. The final score did, indeed, flatter Arsenal! Last Saturday Villa took a fine 3-1 win over Fulham away from home as underdogs according to the bookies! They had only 48% ball possession but recorded more goal attempts (14-10) and shots on target. Before this Villa played a goalless draw with Manchester United at Villa Park. Both teams seemed to be  rather tired from previous UEFA Champions League – UEFA and Europa League matches. The game had slower tempo – and level as a whole – than football fans probably would have expected. Villa recorded more goal attempts, shots off target (7-4) but Manchester United United had more shots on target. The xG numbers were 0.87-0.63 in Villa's favour. Before this Villa were very far from their best and only got a point (2-2) from Ipswich away from home. However, I need to emphasize that Ipswich played probably their best match of the season – performing much better than usual! Aston Villa were the stronger team on the pitch for some 65-58 minutes but at the end of the game Ipswich created quite a lot of pressure on the Villa defence. Ipswich could even have scored the winning goal.. Villa were criticized surprisingly harshly for their performance in the football media but as a professional football bettor I did not react too much to this match.. On the 24th of September Aston Villa defeated Wycombe 2-1 on the road in an EFL Cup battle. Before this Villa deservedly beat Wolves at home 3-1 after a strong performance in the second half. Even so, Villa were for some reason,  far from their best in this match. The visitors, on the other hand, performed at a surprisingly high level. Even so, Villa generated 2.21 in xG, Wolves' number was only 0.77. Villa currently occupy the 4th place in the Premier League standings with an impressive 17 points to their account and have a score difference of 15;10. They have an excellent chance of finishing in the top-5, possibly even top-4! Villa can definitely improve further!

Bologna were disappointing in their most recent match. They were priced around 2.00 to beat Genoa on the road. It was, however, a 2-2 draw. Bologna did generate a little more in xG though. Before this Bologna were clear favourites to beat Parma, a newly-promoted team, at home. However, no goals were scored. Bologna did record one more shot on goal and a marginally more in xG though. In the 2nd round, in the 2nd round of Champions League, Bologna lost 0-2 to Liverpool in England. Bologna were not poor but Liverpool fully deserved all three points. Before this Bologna faced Atalanta at home and took a very undeserved 1-1 draw. Indeed, the visitors recorded a whopping 23 goal attempts. Bologna were very lame offensively  - and had just one shot on goal. Their player, Lucumi, was sent off in the 51st minute though. However, Bologna were lame even before the red card! The visitors generated 2.65 in xG – Bologna managed a very low 0.25.

GOOD LUCK!

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阿斯顿维拉VS博洛尼亚

北京时间周三凌晨，阿斯顿维拉和博洛尼亚将在伯明翰维拉公园进行欧冠第三轮比赛。这是欧足联三届国际俱乐部比赛中最高的一次。以联赛的标准来看，足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者只能期待一场质量一般的比赛。最重要的是，我的球迷和我还有另一个很有希望的机会来延续这个联赛的六连胜！我将在不久的将来发布更多关于冠军联赛的高质量的选择！我想强调的是，阿斯顿维拉在英超联赛中排名第四——显然是世界上最好的联赛！另一方面，博洛尼亚上赛季在意甲排名第五。他们拿了68分，比冠军国米少26分。意甲联赛是世界上排名第四的联赛。然而，博洛尼亚的预期积分（xPTS）“只有”59.40。我想强调的是，他们在上赛季之后失去了几名关键球员——最重要的是齐克切（曼联）和卡拉菲奥里（阿森纳）。在我深入的季前赛分析中，我预计本赛季的情况会更糟。事实上，我是对的，他们在8场意甲比赛中只拿到了9分！他们的比分是负的，9:11。此外，博洛尼亚本赛季在联赛中只赢了一场比赛！他们最近的状态相当差劲，因为他们在最近10场比赛中只赢了一场。另一方面，阿斯顿维拉在最近的9场比赛中没有输过一场，7胜9负！让我们也记住，根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站，Transfermarkt.com，阿斯顿维拉是这里更大的球队-以很大的差距！事实上，他们的球员估计总市值约为6.15亿欧元！博洛尼亚队的价值为2.77亿美元——毫无疑问这太高了！他们的三个球员被高估了。阿斯顿维拉应该是非常明显的大热门！接近1.70的赔率在投注市场上广泛存在。我们将热切地把赌注押在东道主身上！维拉将失去奥尔森，明斯也不确定。至于博洛尼亚，坎比亚吉、阿祖齐、艾比舍尔和弗格森都受伤了。

阿斯顿维拉的表现非常出色，超出了人们的预期——而且经常被博彩公司低估——上个赛季似乎也是如此——本赛季也是如此！维拉在欧冠联赛开局就取得了两场漂亮的胜利。在欧冠揭幕战中，阿斯顿维拉客场3-0击败了上赛季瑞士冠军年轻男孩队。伯明翰队的表现太棒了！预期进球（xG）数据非常不平衡——2.45-0.39对维拉有利。在第二轮比赛中，他们在欣喜若狂的球迷面前以1比0击败了世界排名第七的球队——德国拜仁慕尼黑！庄家们再一次毫不意外地低估了维拉，认为他们是非常明显的失败者，他们的定价在4.50-5.30左右，可以拿到全部三分。维拉的优秀但经常被低估的教练，埃梅里。创造了一个精彩的，甚至比预期更具防御性的战术——维拉球员几乎完美地执行了这个战术！拜仁慕尼黑的控球率确实高达67%，并且有更多的进球尝试和射正，但xG值只有1.29，这个数字对于本赛季的拜仁来说有点低。是的，阿斯顿维拉确实需要一些运气才能拿到全部三分，但他们的表现，他们的门将，阿根廷的世界冠军，尤其是埃米利亚诺·马丁内斯——非常出色！

维拉最近的一次失利是在8月24日对阵阿森纳，这是一支世界排名前四的球队，在主场以0比2的比分明显处于劣势。然而，维拉的进球比阿森纳多，比分为xG - 1.88-1.55。最后的比分确实让阿森纳感到高兴！根据博彩公司的数据，上周六维拉在客场3:1完胜富勒姆。他们只有48%的控球率，但射门次数（14-10）和射正次数更多。在此之前，维拉在维拉公园与曼联踢了一场0比0的平局。两支球队在之前的欧冠和欧联杯比赛中似乎都很疲惫。这场比赛的节奏和水平可能比球迷们预期的要慢。维拉的进球次数和射偏次数更多（7-4），但曼联的射正次数更多。xG值为0.87-0.63，对维拉有利。在此之前，维拉还远未达到最佳状态，只在客场从伊普斯维奇获得1分（2-2）。然而，我需要强调的是伊普斯维奇可能打出了他们在海上最好的比赛

儿子——表现比平时好多了！在65-58分钟的比赛中，阿斯顿维拉是一支实力更强的球队，但在比赛结束时，伊普斯维奇给维拉的后防线制造了相当大的压力。伊普斯维奇甚至可以打进致胜一球。维拉的表现出人意料地受到了足球媒体的严厉批评，但作为一名职业足球投注者，我对这场比赛没有太多反应。9月24日，阿斯顿维拉在客场2-1击败了维康比。在此之前，维拉在下半场表现强劲，在主场3-1击败狼队，当之无愧。即便如此，由于某些原因，维拉在这场比赛中仍远未达到最佳状态。另一方面，来访者的表现却出人意料地高。即便如此，维拉的单场进球为2.21，狼队的单场进球仅为0.77。维拉目前在英超积分榜上以17分的成绩排名第四，两队的积分差距为15.10分。他们很有可能进入前五，甚至前四！维拉肯定可以进一步提高！

博洛尼亚队在最近的比赛中表现令人失望。他们在客场击败热那亚的价格在2英镑左右。然而，双方以2比2战平。博洛尼亚在xG中确实产生了更多。在此之前，博洛尼亚很有可能在主场击败新进球队帕尔马。然而，没有进球。博洛尼亚队的射门次数多了一次，但在xG的射门次数略多一些。在欧冠第2轮，博洛尼亚在英格兰0-2不敌利物浦。博洛尼亚并不差，但利物浦完全配得上这三分。在此之前，博洛尼亚在主场面对亚特兰大，并取得了一个非常不应得的1-1平局。事实上，客队的进球次数高达23次。博洛尼亚的进攻很差劲，只有一脚射门。然而，他们的球员卢库米在第51分钟被罚下。然而，博洛尼亚在红牌之前就已经很差劲了！客队在本赛季的进球数为2.65，博洛尼亚只有非常低的0.25。

好运！