Covid teams "derby"! 两支受到新冠疫情影响的球队
2021-06-14

Jarkko

外籍分析师

欧预赛

06/15 03:00

已完赛

西班牙
1:0
瑞典
解读理由:

Spain and Sweden are fortunately the only teams so far with Covid-cases, and hopefully it will remain so. Material-wise the difference is huge, and as the match is played at Sevilla under very hot conditions the home advantage is massive!

Spain has been a title candidate for the last 10 years or so, and this time it is not different even if they are not quite the biggest favourite this time as the competition is fierce.

The choices of coach Luis Enrique caused some controversy as he seemed to favour players outside of La Liga, but there is no reason to think he would not know what he is doing. The covid caused isolation and cancellation of the first team’s last friendly - it was played by U21 - but they met Portugal the earlier week and should had won the 0-0 game after a strong performance.

Covid did hit Busquets and Diego Llorente, the team have not practised together recently, but as they have a strong team identity it should be no major problem.

The key question is how long will the Swedish defense survive the constant Spain attacks, and another one of is how Spain handle the pressure as a lot is always expected from them, and definitely leaving Sergio Ramos out is not acceptable to show in the central defense.

Sweden lost top attacking piece Kulusevski and midfielder Svanberg to Covid, and also Pontus Jansson is probably out due injury. Also the Swedish cases are newer and there is still a chance to new outbreaks.

Otherwise the Swedish preparations were going well, they did win their latest 5 games, only that the opposition was very weak! Looking back at their latest encounters vs top teams the saldo is a lot more worrying as they lost this handicap twice to Portugal, once v France, and their latest trip to Spain ended in 3-0.

The Swedish top striker in these games is Real Sociedad’s Alex Isak, Spain know him all too well.

As Spain have world class players for two strong lineups it does not really matter who start here, there will be rotation in the group phase games. I would like to see Villarreal’s top scorer Gerard Moreno to steal the position from Morata, and De Gea to give room to Simon in goal. With Sweden there is less room to experiment.

3-0

Possible lineups:


幸运的是,西班牙和瑞典是迄今为止仅有的有新冠病例的球队,希望这种情况会一直如此。实力方面的差异是巨大的,由于比赛在塞维利亚进行,比赛气候非常炎热,主场优势非常大!

西班牙在过去 10 年左右一直是冠军的候选球队,这一次即使他们不是最大的热门,也没有什么不同,因为竞争激烈。

教练路易斯恩里克的选择引起了一些争议,因为他似乎偏爱西甲以外的球员,但没有理由认为他不知道自己在做什么。疫情导致一线队的最后一场友谊赛被取消——由 U21 代替参加——但他们在早些时候遇到了葡萄牙,虽然表现出色但最终比分只有0-0。

布斯克茨和迭戈略伦特感染新冠,球队最近没有一起训练,但由于他们的实力很强,应该没有什么大问题。

关键问题是瑞典的防守能否在西班牙不断的进攻中顶住,另一个是西班牙如何处理压力,因为人们一直对他们寄予厚望,绝对不能让塞尔吉奥·拉莫斯(Sergio Ramos)缺席的问题表现出来。

瑞典失去了顶级攻击手库卢塞夫斯基和中场斯文伯格,而庞图斯·扬松也可能因伤缺阵。此外,瑞典的病例刚刚产生,仍有可能爆发新的疫情。

瑞典队的准备工作进展顺利,他们赢得了最近的5场比赛,但是对手很弱!回顾他们最近与顶级球队的交锋更加令人担忧,他们两次输给葡萄牙,一次输给法国,而他们最近一次对阵西班牙的比赛以 0-3 结束。

这些比赛中瑞典的前锋是皇家社会的亚历克斯·伊萨克,西班牙对他非常了解。

由于西班牙拥有两套强大的阵容,因此谁首发并不重要,小组赛的比赛肯定会有轮换。我预测比利亚雷亚尔的最佳射手杰拉德·莫雷诺从莫拉塔手中抢走首发位置,而德赫亚则会给西蒙让位。在瑞典爆冷的可能性很小。

比分参考3-0

预测首发如下:



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