These HC lines are simply incorrect
2021-06-14

Przem

外籍分析师

美洲杯

06/14 05:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Venezuela have really good chances to avoid big loss in today's match up. I don't see Brazil win 3, 4 or more goals margin.

Brazil failed to make a big win against Venezuela in last 6 matches in a row. Ib these matches only once they were able to score more than 2 goals. Two teams last time played each other in November in World Cup qualification and match finished with Brazil only 1:0 home win.

Brazil of course have high quality in offense, but I see some changes in their tactic and You can see some changes in result as well. Brazil is very solid at the back abd trying to dominate middle zone. They are not so sharp in finishing the product. Brazil failed to score more than 2 goals in 11 of last 15 matches and I expect the same story today. 4 days ago they won 2:0 on away against Paraguay, but they not created so many big chances to score and second goal was scored in last minute.

Venezuela defensive formation is very underrated in this match up. In last 22 matches only 3 times they conceded more than 2 goals. In last 22 matches only 5 times they conceded more than one goal. 4 days ago they recorded 0:0 draw at home against Uruguay and defensive formation looked very good. They allowed dangerous opposition to make only 7 shots.

This line is simply too high.

在我看来,委内瑞拉在今天的比赛中有很好的机会避免重大损失。我不认为巴西会赢得3个、4个或者更多的进球。

巴西在过去的6场比赛中没有取得对委内瑞拉的大胜。在这些比赛中,他们只有一次能够进2球以上。两支球队在去年11月的世界杯预选赛中交手,最终巴西以1:0的比分在主场获胜。

巴西当然有高质量的进攻,但是我看到了他们战术上的一些变化,你也可以看到一些结果上的变化。巴西在后场非常稳固,试图控制中间区域。他们完成这个产品时不够精明。巴西在过去15场比赛中有11场没有进超过2球,我希望今天也会是这样。4天前,他们在客场2:0战胜巴拉圭,但是他们没有创造那么多进球机会,第二粒进球是在最后一分钟打进的。

委内瑞拉的防守阵型在这场比赛中被低估了。在过去的22场比赛中,他们只有3次失球超过2球。在过去的22场比赛中,他们只有5次失球超过一球。4天前,他们在主场0:0战平乌拉圭,防守阵型看起来非常好。他们只让对手有7次射正。

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