On Saturday night, a couple of games will happen in the English Premier League and one of the matches will be between Fulham and Aston Villa. After 7 games, Fulham has 3 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses, a total of 11 points and 8th position while Aston Villa has 4 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, a total of 14 points and 5th place. In this game, I predict that Villa won't lose.
Right before the break, Fulham lost to Man City 2:3 on the road despite having a much better xG rating. Before this game, Fulham had 2 draws against Ipswich and West Ham and two wins over Newcastle and Forest. Fulham has been a solid home team with 2 wins and 1 draw so far but it must be said that only the win over Newcastle can be labeled as good because the other win was against Leicester. Fulham's created xG after 7 games is 10.8, xGA is at 8.1 with a difference of +2.7.
Aston Villa head into the break with a 0:0 draw against Man United but a few days earlier they beat Bayern in the Champions League. Villa is having a Champions League game next week but they can't forget about the Premier League, especially on the road. Aston Villa has lost just once this season and that was against Arsenal. On the road, Villa has wins over West Ham and Leicester while splitting points against Ipswich. Aston Villa has generated xG of 9.8, xGA is at 6.8 with a difference of +3.
Fulham is set to be without Carlos Vinicius, Jorge Cuenca, and potentially Sasa Lukic. As for Aston Villa, Saturday's game will likely come too soon for long-term absentees Boubacar Kamara and Tyrone Mings. John McGinn could also miss out, while Ezri Konsa, Amadou Onana, Jacob Ramsey, and Jaden Philogene are all doubts.
While Fulham is a solid home team, I'm going with Aston Villa. The team has performed better so far and they are a better team overall. History is also on our side because Aston Villa has won 5 out of the last 6 matches.
周六晚上,英超将有几场比赛,其中一场是富勒姆和阿斯顿维拉之间的比赛。7场比赛结束后,富勒姆3胜2平2负,积11分排名第8,而阿斯顿维拉4胜2平1负,积14分排名第5。在这场比赛中,我预测维拉不会输。
就在中场休息前,富勒姆客场2:3输给了曼城,尽管他们的xG值要高得多。在本场比赛之前,富勒姆2平伊普斯维奇和西汉姆,2胜纽卡斯尔和森林。富勒姆在主场取得了2胜1平的好成绩,但必须指出的是,只有对纽卡斯尔的胜利才是好的,因为另一场胜利是对莱斯特城的胜利。富勒姆在7场比赛后创造的xG是10.8,xGA是8.1,差了+2.7。
阿斯顿维拉以0:0战平曼联进入中场休息,但几天前他们在冠军联赛中击败了拜仁。维拉下周有一场欧冠比赛,但他们不能忘记英超联赛,尤其是客场。阿斯顿维拉本赛季只输过一次,那是对阿森纳的比赛。在客场,维拉战胜了西汉姆联和莱斯特城,同时在与伊普斯维奇的比赛中分了两半。阿斯顿维拉的xG为9.8,xGA为6.8,两者相差+3。
富勒姆将失去卡洛斯·维尼修斯,豪尔赫·昆卡,可能还有萨萨·卢基奇。对于阿斯顿维拉来说,对于长期缺阵的卡马拉和明斯来说,周六的比赛可能来得太快了。约翰·麦克金也可能缺席,而埃兹里·孔萨、阿马杜·奥纳纳、雅各布·拉姆齐和杰登·菲洛金都是未知数。
虽然富勒姆是一个稳固的主队,但我还是支持阿斯顿维拉。到目前为止,球队的表现更好了,他们整体上是一支更好的球队。历史也站在我们这边,因为阿斯顿维拉在过去的6场比赛中赢了5场。