In the actual table Dortmund are 6 points ahead, in the performance data the difference is only 3 points. St Pauli might have a bigger chance than the odds suggest!

The national team break is over again and the Bundesliga will return as usual on Friday, when Borussia Dortmund, one of the regular top teams in the series, will face St. Pauli, who got promoted to Bundesliga for this season. So the level difference is big, but Dortmund have not been able to maintain the level from night to night and there is also an important Champions League match next week, so the visitors have a good chance to surprise.

Dortmund's early season has been varied - it includes several very crushing victories, but also many quieter performances. Before the break, Dortmund deservedly went without points as a guest of another Berlin side, Union, by losing 2-1. Karim Adeyemi and Yan Couto are sidelined for the upcoming match, and in addition to them, there are still question marks over the fitness of Niklas Sule and Maximilian Beier.

St. Pauli's season has started expectedly difficult, when after six rounds there are only four points in the balance. The only win came as a guest of SC Freiburg, besides which the points were deservedly equalized against RB Leipzig. The performances have not been particularly bad, but there have been problems with scoring, and the situation is not made easier by the fact that the visitors are unable to create enough scoring chances. Among the visitors, Elias Saad is on the sidelines and Eric Smith and Philipp Treu's fitness is uncertain.

I see St. Paul's chances as bigger than the market and thus the guests' +1.5 goal handicap bet is valid for the games. At the moment, Dortmund can't be considered a consistent finisher, and besides that, the hosts can already have a hint of their eyes on next week's game against Real Madrid. What usually happens ahead of big Champion's league fixtures is a significant drop of performance, and the likelihood of dropping points increases strongly.

在实际积分榜上多特蒙德领先6分，在表现数据上差距只有3分。圣保利可能有比概率更大的机会！

国家队的休赛期又结束了，德甲联赛将在本周五如常回归。作为联赛常客之一的多特蒙德将对阵本赛季升入德甲的圣保利。所以水平差距很大，但是多特蒙德没能每晚都保持这种水平，下周还有一场重要的欧冠比赛，所以客队有很好的机会给我们一个惊喜。

多特蒙德在赛季初的表现是多变的——包括几场非常大的胜利，但也有很多安静的表现。中场休息前，多特蒙德做客另一支柏林球队联合队，以2-1的比分输掉了比赛。阿德耶米和库托将缺席即将到来的比赛，除此之外，苏莱和贝尔的健康状况仍然是个问号。

圣保利本赛季的开局非常艰难，经过6轮比赛，他们只剩下4分的差距。唯一的一场胜利是在做客弗莱堡时取得的，除此之外，对莱比锡的比赛也将积分扳平。他们的表现并不是特别糟糕，但得分方面存在问题，客队无法创造足够的得分机会，这让情况变得更糟。在客队中，伊莱亚斯·萨阿德缺阵，埃里克·史密斯和菲利普·特鲁的健康状况也不确定。

我认为圣保罗的机会大于市场，因此客人的+1.5进球障碍赌注对比赛有效。目前，多特蒙德不能被认为是一个稳定的终结者，除此之外，东道主已经可以在下周对阵皇马的比赛中得到暗示。在重要的冠军联赛赛程之前，通常会发生的是表现的显著下降，而失分的可能性也会大大增加。