I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements. Odds on Lillestrom since morning raised up by 0.25 on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with that trend. I expect even bigger drops prior to the kick off. Haugesund have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Both teams without any new important injuries, so that is not a reason of dropping odds.

Haugesund not deserved to be a underdog here, they didn't lost in 13 of last 19 matches against today's opposition.

Lillestrom not started this season in good style, they lost 3 of last 4 matches so far. In these losses they conceded 7 goals. I saw their match against Stromsgodset and they looked horrible in defense. Even numbers showed that clearly as they had in that match 3.38 expected goals conceded. They won once in current season, at home against Odd 1:0, but that was low quality match.

On the other hand Haugesund looks much more convincing. They are solid at the back as they kept 2 clean sheets in 4 matches so far. They didn't lost in 3 of 4 matches. They lost only against title defender and the strongest team in Norway - Bodo Glimt. They lost 0:2 on away, but no shame at all because match was much closer than result suggest. Expected goals scored for Bodo 1.14, for Haugesund 0.71.

I trust for guests here. Consistency in defensive formation should make difference here.

我一直等到最后一刻因为我想看看最新的赔率变化。从早上开始，利勒斯特伦的赔率在亚洲大市场上提高了0.25，我完全同意这一趋势。我预计在开球前会有更大的下降。海于格松在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

两支球队都没有出现新的重大伤病，所以这不是赔率下降的原因。

海于格松在这里不应该是失败者，他们在最近19场比赛中有13场没有输给今天的对手。

利勒斯特罗姆本赛季开局不是很好，到目前为止他们输了近4场比赛中的3场。在这些失利中，他们丢了7个球。我看了他们对阵斯特罗姆斯德塞特的比赛，他们的防守看起来很糟糕。偶数数字清楚地显示，他们在那场比赛中有3.38个预期失球。他们在本赛季赢过一次，在主场1:0战胜了奥德，但那是一场低质量的比赛。

另一方面，海于格松看起来更有说服力。到目前为止，他们在4场比赛中有2场没有失球。他们在4场比赛中没有输掉3场。他们只输给了冠军后卫和挪威最强的球队——博德闪耀。他们在客场0:2输掉了比赛，但并不感到羞耻，因为比赛比结果显示的要接近得多。博德闪耀的预期进球为1.14，海于格松为0.71。

我看好海于格松不败。防守阵型的一致性在这里应该有所不同。